ytd 43 - 25 +1770
last week 2-6 -810
Well the horrible week was bound to happen sooner or later. Just hope it isn't the start of a 2nd half slide..
BUF +2 220/200
Unless Buffalo has really given up on the year I really like this play. They still have a great defense and have only given up over 20 pts twice: both games vs the Pats. Rams on the road on grass is a nice go against. Last time that happened Miami got their 1st and only win of the season in convincing fashion. Now the Rams will play vs a better defense and better offense even though that is not saying much. Plus the weather will be much colder in Buffalo than it was in Miami. Rams also in a good let down spot off the win vs the Seahags. When they lost to Miami they were off a big win vs t.b. on MNF. Bills had a nice run going before playing the Pats and I was happy to see Senor Capper post their nice ATS record the week after playing the Pats.
CLE +1 (-105) 210/200
Quincy Carter a road favorite? I know he has played pretty well but still think the Jets have benefitted from a weak schedule and Browns have played well at home other than a loss vs the Steelers but that is no disgrace. Not much to add just think the home dog looks good here.
WAS +11 220/200
Risky play here as my main angle on this play is the fact Philly is off 3 huge games in a row: vs the Ravens and all the Ray vs TO stuff, in state game vs the Steelers, and Monday nighter vs the hated cowboys. Throw in that TO/chick from that stupid show fiasco and that makes it even better. Eagles are weak vs the run and Portis will be the best RB the Eagles have seen in at least a month. Skins also have a solid defense. Ramsey has now at least had a week to get ready but him being so immobile really worries me. In the end I just think Philly is due a game to go thru the motions and play just well enough to win. During the Andy Reid era they have been more profitable on the road then at home.
JAXu36.5 220/200
Was on the JAX under last week and that was quite a tough loss. Still think that game would go under 8 out of 10 times. Jags ran the ball 50 times in that game and their offensive coordinator was quoted as saying he may run it 60 times this week. Obviously he won't but I still expect them to keep w/ the boring, effective game plan of good defense and ball control. Tennesse completely outgained the Bears last week and still lost so they may play a more conservative game this week.
GL to all today! Strong lean to Pittsburgh. Cincy may be improved but all I see is a team that beat up 2 of the weaker teams in the weak NFC. No disrespect as winning on the road is tough in this league (vs WAS) and they looked very good in both games. But think they run into a buzzsaw today. Staley being out is the main thing keeping me off this bet. I know Bettis has been very effective but I still don't trust him to be a full time back.
last week 2-6 -810
Well the horrible week was bound to happen sooner or later. Just hope it isn't the start of a 2nd half slide..
BUF +2 220/200
Unless Buffalo has really given up on the year I really like this play. They still have a great defense and have only given up over 20 pts twice: both games vs the Pats. Rams on the road on grass is a nice go against. Last time that happened Miami got their 1st and only win of the season in convincing fashion. Now the Rams will play vs a better defense and better offense even though that is not saying much. Plus the weather will be much colder in Buffalo than it was in Miami. Rams also in a good let down spot off the win vs the Seahags. When they lost to Miami they were off a big win vs t.b. on MNF. Bills had a nice run going before playing the Pats and I was happy to see Senor Capper post their nice ATS record the week after playing the Pats.
CLE +1 (-105) 210/200
Quincy Carter a road favorite? I know he has played pretty well but still think the Jets have benefitted from a weak schedule and Browns have played well at home other than a loss vs the Steelers but that is no disgrace. Not much to add just think the home dog looks good here.
WAS +11 220/200
Risky play here as my main angle on this play is the fact Philly is off 3 huge games in a row: vs the Ravens and all the Ray vs TO stuff, in state game vs the Steelers, and Monday nighter vs the hated cowboys. Throw in that TO/chick from that stupid show fiasco and that makes it even better. Eagles are weak vs the run and Portis will be the best RB the Eagles have seen in at least a month. Skins also have a solid defense. Ramsey has now at least had a week to get ready but him being so immobile really worries me. In the end I just think Philly is due a game to go thru the motions and play just well enough to win. During the Andy Reid era they have been more profitable on the road then at home.
JAXu36.5 220/200
Was on the JAX under last week and that was quite a tough loss. Still think that game would go under 8 out of 10 times. Jags ran the ball 50 times in that game and their offensive coordinator was quoted as saying he may run it 60 times this week. Obviously he won't but I still expect them to keep w/ the boring, effective game plan of good defense and ball control. Tennesse completely outgained the Bears last week and still lost so they may play a more conservative game this week.
GL to all today! Strong lean to Pittsburgh. Cincy may be improved but all I see is a team that beat up 2 of the weaker teams in the weak NFC. No disrespect as winning on the road is tough in this league (vs WAS) and they looked very good in both games. But think they run into a buzzsaw today. Staley being out is the main thing keeping me off this bet. I know Bettis has been very effective but I still don't trust him to be a full time back.
