Plays for 4.5.03

CrazyHorse

giveit2 21
Forum Member
Nov 29, 2000
1,089
0
0
53
Atlanta GA
ytd 7-3 +595

CLE +105 over KC 100/105
CLE/KC u9.5 -115 115/100

Sabathia has pitched well vs KC but really like the fact he has done well vs Sweeny (.250 in 24 AB only 1 HR) and Beltran (.207 in 29 AB). Ibanez has hit .333 but that is in only 9 at bats. If he can pitch great vs 2 out of the 3 best KC hitter I like my chances for CLE win and an under. Also Sweeney fouled a ball off his ankle yesterday and was replaced in the 8th inning. Probably won't affect him but you never know. D. Baez had the day off so he is available for CLE. R. Hernandez pitched lights out vs CWS so will hope for a little regression. Listed ump is a slight over ump the last 3 yrs but still hoping for a 4-2 type game.

SD +125 over LAD 100/125

Really wanted (and still might) to take the under but at 7.5 and -125 at my book it is a little too steep. It is understandable based on the way these 2 pitchers have pitched against these respective teams:


Nomo was 2-1 in four starts last season versus San Diego. In a combined 28 innings, he surrendered 10 earned runs on 18 hits (three home runs) with eight walks and 27 strikeouts. The ?under? went 2-1-1 during those outings.

Lawrence did enjoy a 3-1 record against the Dodgers in four outings, yielding just five runs over 30 1/3 innings on 25 hits with five walks and 16 strikeouts. The ?under? went 3-0-1 during those four games.


Makes a great case for the under but for now I will hold off. But to me Lawrence's #'s vs LA are a little better than Nomo's vs S.D. Phil Nevin is out for the yr but he only hit .154 vs Nomo so it is not a huge loss, at least in this game. Both pitchers pitched great opening day with Nomo being spectacular so hoping for a little regression.


GL to all today, may add a few more later but wanted to get these in now.
 

CrazyHorse

giveit2 21
Forum Member
Nov 29, 2000
1,089
0
0
53
Atlanta GA
adding..

LA/SD u7 +100 100/100

I just didn't want to lay -135 on the under at 7.5. 2 yrs ago I wouldv'e rather done that but in my old age I have gotten too conservative and rarely lay more than -120 on any total. Basically taking under for reasons listed above. Also the ump in this game was 10-23 o/u last yr. With Nomo's great career road #'s, neither team hitting that great this year (.241 for LA to .227 for SD) and both pitcher's dominance against the respective teams I feel it is worth a shot
 

CrazyHorse

giveit2 21
Forum Member
Nov 29, 2000
1,089
0
0
53
Atlanta GA
recap 3-1 +225

ytd 10-4 +820

I have leans to texas and baltimore but will look into those further in the morning. gl to all on sunday!
 
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