plays from 8/28-9/1

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AR182

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first i would like to say that it's good to be capping football again. took the last few years off & now am ready for the action!!


2* n. illinois+10(-140)--not crazy about buying more than 1/2 point on any game, but feel more comfortable with getting the 10.i have read some pretty good points here for taking each side of this game, but the thing that stands out for me the most for taking n.ill. is that maryland has a huge game next week vs. fl. st. st. i don't see md. showing their complete arsenal in this game & i feel that they will just do enough to get by in this game. md. will also try to keep their hurting qb(mcbrien) & running back(perry) on somewhat of a leash so their injuries won't get worst for the fl. st. game.the loss of guard bryant & star kick returner suter will also not help md. for this game.
have read that n. ill. is treating this game like the sugar bowl, so they & their home crowd will be sky high. also with qb haldi returning, along with rb turner, who was the #2 rusher in the country last year(big, strong, & fast), & solid wr's sheldon & Fleck, feel that n. ill should be able to keep this game within the points.

2*under 52(-120) md/n.ill


good luck

more to come
 
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AR182

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2*miami ohio+11---really like this game. iowa is returning 4 starters on offense from last years team, & will be breaking in a new qb & 4/5 of a new offensive line.
miami returns their quality qb from last year,roethlisherger(sp?) & a top rb in clemens. wouldn't be surprised if miami wins this game outright.


good luck

more to come
 
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Bama6895

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I really like that Miami (OH) game also. The first thing that jumped out at me was that Iowa was replacing 4 OL and had a new QB. Plus you have one of the best QBs in the nation on the other side.

I really like Miami as long as that sucker stays above 10.
 
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AR182

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2* smu+24(-108)-- as most know, texas tech plays a "chuck & duck" type offense. they spread the field & use the pass to set up their offense. their veteran qb, kingsbury, has graduated & replacing him, imo, is a huge task. because of this i expect their offense to start out very slow, with even some turnovers. i read that tt has depth problems on the defensive line as 2 starters won't play for this game & their de, duckett is questionable with a broken hand.
on the other hand, smu is returning a qb who played 5 games last year, while going 3-2. they also have their starting rb,kincade, returning & last year gained over 1200 yds. rushing. smu's defense, under coach bennett, has been improving yearly. bennett was a def. cord. at k-state & while there he devised efficient defenses against tex. tech offense.
don't expect smu to win, but think they will stay within the points.


good luck
 
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AR182

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2*clemson+4(-130)--georgia has many players not suiting up for this game. they have to replace 5 senior offensive line starters from last year, as well as their top rb, smith. they also have lost it's 3rd defensive starter when star de thompson dislocated his ankle. also without it's star safety curry & his replacement, blue, as well as 3 other dbs, who are suspended. in other words their secondary is decimated.
clemson returns 8 players on offense, led by their qb, whitehurst, who should feast on that banged up georgia secondary. clemson's def. cord., lovett was at auburn & has limited richt's offenses to an average of 17 pts. per game.
although i am taking clemson, i am doing so wearily. am always suspicious about betting against teams that are in turmoil as georgia appears to be.

good luck
 
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AR182

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2*San Jose St.+25(-118)--for the last few years sjst has been a favorite of mine when they are a dd dog & has covered each of their last 6 road openers. they are 7-3 ats in their last 10 road games. this year sjs is a veteran team with 16 returning starters from last years team, while fla. looks to be in a rebuilding year this season with just 6 starters back from last years offense, & 3 returning starters from last years def. fla. is also breaking in a new qb for this year. also imo, sjs has an edge having played a game already, while fla. has miami next week, so feel that fla. won't show their full arsenal.


good luck
 
A

AR182

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2*under 63(-120)miami/lou.tech--miami def. too quick for lou. tech. which will keep tech's off. in check. miami has fla. next week, so i feel that they save themselves for that game. also read that there will be rain during the game.


2* washington +10(-130)---read many writeups here & alot of other places & the thing that caught my attention was how ohio states off. performed when clarett missed a few games last year. last yr. clarett averaged 5.6 yds. per rush, but when he was out osu averaged 4 yds. per rush & scored about 18.5 pts. per game. althought osu will have a strong defense, they do return 6 starters from last yrs.def. & lost 4 of the top 7 tacklers.
wash. returns their great pass catching combo of pickett to williams(caught 94 passes last yr.). they are hoping that wr frederick to step up & take some pressure off williams. wash. also is returning 3 starters from last yrs. off. line. last yr. wash. def. yielded about 98 rushing yds. per game & their rushing def. returns some of last yrs. players.
wash. has a chance of winning this game outright, but especially like the cushion of taking the points.



good luck.
 
A

AR182

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thanks for the props guys, but it's a long season. there will be peaks & valleys during the year.
the key is to be steady in our betting, whether winning or losing.
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

el guapo
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Jan 10, 2002
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"the bunker"
i see you got off on the "good foot"...

i see you got off on the "good foot"...

well done....hope you won`t mind if i "glom" a couple plays off your itinerary.....

looking good......g.l,bud.
 
M

mjbarley

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AR,

I'll be with you on a couple of your plays:

SMU + 24

SMU has a very solid running game. They return 4 O-Linemen who are good run blockers. Their passing game is virtually non-existent, so if they get behind early, they are in trouble. Texas Tech are inexperienced up front, so may have trouble stopping the run. They have good safeties, but Corners are a question. They'll probably put 8/9 in the box to commit to stopping the run this game. SMU defense is nothing special. They're better at stopping the run, but they can be overpowered by bigger, stronger teams. They are weak against the pass. TT offense has a solid line and good skill players, but they've got a new QB replacing Klingsbury. He'll be good, but may struggle early as he gets comfortable. Nothing real special for any of the kickers, but TT has a great PR. I'll look for a fairly high scoring game here as well. TT 35-24


Mia-OH + 11

Mia may have one of the better QBs in college football, and he's playing behind an experienced O-Line. They have decent skill players at RB and WR, so they should be able to score points. Iowa had a magical year last year, and public perception of them should be a little higher than it should be. On defense, they are strong up front and should be good against the run, but the corners are a question, and Miami may be able to throw the ball on them. The other side should be interesting. Iowa loses Brad Banks and has a new QB, along with 4 new O-Line. They are good athletes, and should be good with time. They have a good RB, so they'll probably be conservative early and run, run, run. Against Miami, that's not a bad thing. They only return 3 starters, and are pretty weak up front, to go along with a pretty weak secondary. They'll be scored on. Iowa has an excellent kicker, and possibly the best special teams in the nation. Miami also has a very good kicker (14-14 LY), but he doesn't have a very strong leg. Leaning towards the over here, as I see Iowa running and scoring, but Mia should have the ability to hang, as well as come back if the deficit is large. Iowa 35-31.

I don't have any real opinions on your other plays.

good luck!

mj
 
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