POD
Parlay (-131)
Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds (-295)
Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays (-315)
Note on recent MLB run of favorites - FYI cut and paste
The gap between the haves and have-nots has been widening in MLB, with the chalk dominating almost nightly. MLB favorites usually plateau about 57-59%. After faves got off to a bad start, it was a slow grind as they finally climbed to 58% by the All-Star break. But that was nothing compared with the recent run: Faves were 147-65 (69.3%, excluding pick-?ems and pushes) in August through Monday. That came after faves and dogs split 21-21 over the last three days of July, including dogs going 9-6 on July 31. After faves went 11-4 on Aug. 1, they split 4-4 on Aug. 2 and went just 8-7 on Aug. 3. But then they went 124-50 (71.3%) over the next 13 days. It has been profitable betting them on the -1.5 run line and turning them into dogs at plus money, or parlaying them.
Popular favorites to parlay have been the Giants, Dodgers, Padres (until recently), Rays, Red Sox and White Sox. But it has actually been more profitable to bet straight or in parlays on whichever teams are playing the Cubs, Diamondbacks, Pirates, Orioles and Rangers.
Entering Tuesday?s action, the Cubs and Orioles had lost 12 games in a row, with the Nationals on a seven-game skid. The winning streaks haven?t been as long nor do they consistently include the same teams like we see on the losing side, but the Cardinals were on a six-game winning streak.
We?ll keep pounding away on and against these teams as long as it works, especially when we see so many blowouts where we?re not afraid to lay the -1.5 runs on the chalk.
Edit: to emphasize as long as it works