Corey Dillon (Bengals) Total Rushing Yards
I have found over the last few weeks that these prop bets appear to be easier to judge. I have had three wins from four bets over the last two weeks. I don't post very often on this forum as my knowledge of American sport is much less than most on here. However, I have spent many hours trying to find angles, trends etc for a number of American sports and as a result my own sports betting for the U.K. and Europe has taken a bit of a nose-dive. I am prepared to make sacrifices if it is benefical in the long term.
Reasons to support this play.
Nolan pointed out that Dillon is possibly losing patience with the Bengals and this would point to me that his numbers should improve as he puts his credentials on the line for other teams to notice for the off-season trades.
Based on this seasons stats the prop line should be about 85-90 total rushing yards. Dillon has ran for 694 yards (8 games) @ average 86.8 YPG and 4.3 YPG. Averaged 112.8 YPG over last 4 games. As the season progresses, so do Dillon's numbers as his career stats show; Sept 4.1 YPR, Oct 4.3, Nov 4.5, Dec 4.7
Against the Browns: 2002 22 / 108 @ 4.9
2001 20 / 63 @ 3.2, 31 / 140 @ 4.5
2000 27 / 137 @ 5.1, 12 / 41 @ 3.4
1999 28 / 168 @ 6.0, 28 / 192 @ 6.9
Average 24 carries for 121.9 YPG. Thats 32 more than his career average of 90.2
Cleveland's defense against the rush isn't much to write home about either. They've allowed 139 RYPG this year which is 29th in the league. If you think this might be a blipp, think again. Since 1999 they've finished 30th, 28th and 29th in the league against the rush.
If you were the Bengals offensive co-ordinator you would give the ball to Dillon to carry at least 24 times on these figures. If so, this is a must call on OVER THE TOTAL.
I have found over the last few weeks that these prop bets appear to be easier to judge. I have had three wins from four bets over the last two weeks. I don't post very often on this forum as my knowledge of American sport is much less than most on here. However, I have spent many hours trying to find angles, trends etc for a number of American sports and as a result my own sports betting for the U.K. and Europe has taken a bit of a nose-dive. I am prepared to make sacrifices if it is benefical in the long term.
Reasons to support this play.
Nolan pointed out that Dillon is possibly losing patience with the Bengals and this would point to me that his numbers should improve as he puts his credentials on the line for other teams to notice for the off-season trades.
Based on this seasons stats the prop line should be about 85-90 total rushing yards. Dillon has ran for 694 yards (8 games) @ average 86.8 YPG and 4.3 YPG. Averaged 112.8 YPG over last 4 games. As the season progresses, so do Dillon's numbers as his career stats show; Sept 4.1 YPR, Oct 4.3, Nov 4.5, Dec 4.7
Against the Browns: 2002 22 / 108 @ 4.9
2001 20 / 63 @ 3.2, 31 / 140 @ 4.5
2000 27 / 137 @ 5.1, 12 / 41 @ 3.4
1999 28 / 168 @ 6.0, 28 / 192 @ 6.9
Average 24 carries for 121.9 YPG. Thats 32 more than his career average of 90.2
Cleveland's defense against the rush isn't much to write home about either. They've allowed 139 RYPG this year which is 29th in the league. If you think this might be a blipp, think again. Since 1999 they've finished 30th, 28th and 29th in the league against the rush.
If you were the Bengals offensive co-ordinator you would give the ball to Dillon to carry at least 24 times on these figures. If so, this is a must call on OVER THE TOTAL.
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