Public Fades

[theGibber1]

http://sportsbook.com/sportsbook/lines_nba.html

72% of public on Suns

94% of public on over

not an nba better really, but if its anything like football the masses are asses


SA and under are the plays for me

gl

gib

 

[Blackman]

Good luck tonight bud -- fading such heavy public action is never a bad thing.

 

[theGibber1]

thnx

it just seems that when the action is so lopsided the book always comes out on top...

Sportsbooks in Vegas are probably licking their chops

gl

gib

 

[Eternal]

I can't understand why everyone is on Phoenix....San Antoino is so much better balanced. However, with the way Phoenix plays "D"(if you can call it that) I completely understand taking the over.....

1.5 units on SA and 1 unit on the over for me :grins:

 

[pt1gard]

the over has risen 3 pts since opening, but it will prob still fly over, I rarely play totals and wont here but taking under with suns is always dicey

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

theres a reason people on the suns tonight cause its a must win for them and i doubt old man HORRY and BARRY show up tonight liek they did last game. plus MATRIX and AMRE will contribute more than they did last game. but gl anyway.

 

[edludes]

When the total cashes the public will become smart bettors.There are times when the moneys right,theres no place to hide,and tonights total going over is one of them.Phoenix is in a must win situation,and they aren't going to try and slow down the pace,they are going to try and speed the game up and wear out SA.They scored 114 in game one with virtually zero fast break points,double figures less than their normal per game amount.SA has already shown they will score at 110 on a bad day vs this Phoenix D,at Phoenix's preferred pace.I generally agee with the principle of going against the money,and playing along with the house,but not in this spot,or tomarrows under 178 either in Miami for that matter.