Public Picks week 8 (60%+ of tickets)

[EXTRAPOLATER]

By % of bets, not % of money (% of money not provided for most presently)

Bengals -6 78% LOSS 38-39
49ers +2.5 87% LOSS 15-26
Falcons -7.5 76% LOSS 10-34
bills -7.5 77% WIN 40-9
Patriots -7 63% WIN 32-13
buccaneers -3.5 67% WIN 23-3
Colts -14.5 63% WIN 38-14
cowboys +3.5 84% LOSS 24-44
Steelers +3 68%
Chiefs -12.5 66%

vikings@Chargers ov45 77% WIN 10@37
49ers@Texans ov41.5 68% LOSS 15@26
giants@Eagles ov43.5 74% WIN 20@38
browns@Patriots ov40.5 71% WIN 13@32
jets@Bengals ov44.5 64% WIN 39@38
commanders@Chiefs un48 61%


source:

NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages | The Action Network

Get public betting percentages on every NFL game to see which teams might be overvalued and undervalued by bettors.

www.actionnetwork.com

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Maybe there's some fine print at their site--will check later--but I'm curious how they calculate these percentages.

Take one example, the Falcons at 76% of tickets. I suspect this includes any tickets that have the Falcons at -7 instead of their "best odds" number of -7.5. More importantly, I would be interested if this percentage includes any tickets containing the Falcons on a teaser.

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Follow-up to that question of what counts as a ticket--straight bets only or counting teaser legs as well. They have a separate category for moneyline plays so they obviously include those in tickets, and I see nothing contradicting my belief that tickets included would include, say, 2-team parlays with the side in question being one of the two. Nothing about teaser tickets being including or excluded, but they state:

What is NFL Public Betting?​

NFL public betting shows the percentage of bets placed on each side of a wager, usually tracked across major sportsbooks.

Key metrics to know:

• Percentage (%) of Bets – The share of total tickets placed on a particular side. Example: If we track 20,000 bets on the Steelers-Bills game and 13,000 are on the Buffalo Bills, that’s 65% of bets on Buffalo.

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Now I'm curious what the overall NFL handle is on teasers compared to straights, as this split--for number of tickets--could sway their calculations massively.

Drop word if you think that these percentages DO NOT include any teaser tickets, as I would presently suggest that they probably do.

If nothing else, the difference between the ticket percentage and the money percentage would seem to be instructive. They discuss this concept at their site, linked above.