I have a feeling IE might have some saber metrics on this if you're into that stuff.
But I see it similar to baseball runlines, only on a smaller scale. In bases you might easily have a 7-4 game, but in hockey the avg is 5 goals, so you'll see a lot of 3-2, 3-1, 4-2 type games. Thus puck lines are more difficult to hit, so you get more + money. e.g. a -150 fav can net you +200 on -1.5. (in bases -150 fav gets you maybe +150 on rl)
On big favs most here play -.5 on regulation (60 mins only, no OT) to reduce their juice. Some lay -1 instead of 1.5 for a go-between of odds.
Just started playing myself last season. Some vets here might offer some good perspective.
IE said:5.58 goals per game this season
5.47 goals per game last season
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