why is the total in the first halves of NBA games bigger than the game total? i mean the Utah 1st half is 102, and the total for game is 101? Just the opposite in college hoops.:shrug:
anyway thanks.
anyway thanks.
Question for NBA cappers
- Thread starter theGibber1
- Start date
I have noticed that myself in the 2 offshores I use. I think part of it is when the line 1st comes out sometimes the game total moves a certain way, but the halftime total stays the same. However if that is the way it is when the line 1st comes out then I am not sure. I am mostly a lurker and am sure some of the regualrs can answer it much better.
I got burned sunday when the ORL/CLE game total was 208 and I liked the under so I took the halftime under at 110.5 figuring I get an extra point and a half and don't need to worry about OT ruining it. Total after one half of play=111. Total at the end of the game= 207. I still think it was the right thing to do as long as neither team shows a definite trend of scoring more in the 1st half then the second.
I got burned sunday when the ORL/CLE game total was 208 and I liked the under so I took the halftime under at 110.5 figuring I get an extra point and a half and don't need to worry about OT ruining it. Total after one half of play=111. Total at the end of the game= 207. I still think it was the right thing to do as long as neither team shows a definite trend of scoring more in the 1st half then the second.
I don't have stats to back this up, but anyone tha watches a lot of NBA games will likely agree.........
Third quarters of NBA games are traditionaly the lowest scoring of the quarters. Also, the first part of the 4th quarter tends to be a bit slower paced, as the team in the lead begins working the clock.
When defenses press, it also usually starts in either the 3rd of 4th quarter.
The opposite point of view about the halves totals is that you do get a lot of intentional fouls late in he game, which can push a total OVER. This happens in games where one team is down by 4-8 points. If you think the game wil b very close, intentionlly fouls may not be a factor. Blowouts also tend to be lower scoring in te 2H.
I think it's very important to try and speculate -- WHAT IS THE SCORE LIKELY TO BE WITH TWO MINUTES REMIANING? If you can correctly predict those games that are blowouts/tight games, versus games where the margin is 4 to 8 points, then that's half the battle right there.
FWIW, I have no ability to predict 1H totals, but have done reasonably well in 2Hs by looking at shootin percentages, rebounding, and the general flow of the game -- where it's often wise to go the OPPOSITE in he 2H.
Good luck,
Nolan Dalla
Third quarters of NBA games are traditionaly the lowest scoring of the quarters. Also, the first part of the 4th quarter tends to be a bit slower paced, as the team in the lead begins working the clock.
When defenses press, it also usually starts in either the 3rd of 4th quarter.
The opposite point of view about the halves totals is that you do get a lot of intentional fouls late in he game, which can push a total OVER. This happens in games where one team is down by 4-8 points. If you think the game wil b very close, intentionlly fouls may not be a factor. Blowouts also tend to be lower scoring in te 2H.
I think it's very important to try and speculate -- WHAT IS THE SCORE LIKELY TO BE WITH TWO MINUTES REMIANING? If you can correctly predict those games that are blowouts/tight games, versus games where the margin is 4 to 8 points, then that's half the battle right there.
FWIW, I have no ability to predict 1H totals, but have done reasonably well in 2Hs by looking at shootin percentages, rebounding, and the general flow of the game -- where it's often wise to go the OPPOSITE in he 2H.
Good luck,
Nolan Dalla
I don't see as much foul a rama at the end of NBA games that I see in college. If its close, they'll play tougher defense. If the margin is maybe over 8, they'll just dribble the ball or hold it at the end until the clock runs out. There's no greater sight to an under player than when he see's the offensive team holding the ball and the defense is content to stay put and take their loss as is.
