Rutgers/UCF - But what about....?

DWSmith17

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Sep 14, 2007
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All,

I have been reading some good feedback from all of you on both sides of this game. At a minimum, it should be a good game to watch...

I agree with all of you that this line is fishy and begs the experienced capper to go with Rutgers on this one. I also like the record Cie is having with the unranked home dog system - I've been tailing that all year.

Anyway, I can't help but get one thing out of my mind on this game. Many of you continue to comment on Ray Rice's performance against USF last year as a main factor. Also, many have made comments about Rice starting to cacth on fire.

In looking at the difference between last year and this year, one key item sticks out to me...Brian Leonard is now playing on Sundays. Rice had a great season behind Leonard last year. I am not taking anything away from Rice's ability but his numbers have suffered compared to last year in this regard.

If you look at Rice's stats this year, he has done well against Syracuse, Buffalo and Navy. none of which are top-tier defenses. He has struggled against Cincy and Maryland which are more consistent on the defensive side of the ball.

USF is quite good on defense and hasn't given up a 100+ yd. rushing game to anyone since Rice last year (a span of 14 games).

So, for those of you that bring up the argument that USF hasn't faced a passing game like Rutgers all year, I agree. But we all know that in order to establish a passing game, a decent run game must be established. I could honestly see this game getting one dimensional for Rutgers if they can't establish the run early. And without Leonard in the lineup, I have my doubts that Rice will be very effective early.

I was on the Rutgers bandwagon last year too...but I don't see where they'll be able to keep this one close given the strength of defense for USF.

I'd like to hear all of your feedback on this. Thanks!
 

TouchdownJesus

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Jun 13, 2004
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Good writeup. Overall, I don't know a whole lot about either team but a little bit.

To me, the line looks fishy, but even fishier is that it moved a point in the other direction, trying to entice even more action on South Fla.

Years ago I would have jumped all over South Florida, the #2 team in the nation against an unranked team, and been feeling pretty good about giving only 2-3 points. I'd have probably taken the SF ML and "known" it was a lock. Then been miserable as Rutgers competed and probably won.

Basically the game has "trap" written all over it.

I'm on Rutgers tonight and decided to go fairly big since I've been doing good last couple weeks.

For me, the play is Rutgers...but the even bigger play is to not take South Florida. Bulls may very well win and cover, but in the long run I don't want any part of it.

I think this game goes a lot like Illinois/Wisc. Illini got out to a nice lead and then Wisc came back but ILL got the eventual cover. I think Rutgers starts out good at home and then the game settles down but Knights prevail in the end.

Should be a good one.

Rutgers 27 SFlorida 24
 

DWSmith17

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Sep 14, 2007
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Michigan
For me, the play is Rutgers...but the even bigger play is to not take South Florida. Bulls may very well win and cover, but in the long run I don't want any part of it.


Thanks TDJ. This is why I'll probably stay away tonight. I agree it looks like a trap game to me but I can't be so sure that USF crushes Rutgers.

:shrug: :shrug: :shrug:
 
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