Sat 4/14.... Streak Betting on Winning & Losing Tms... Day 3

[LordofBalls]

System 3-0 Thurs
System 7-1 Fri
============
Total 10-1 (+871 playing for $100/gm)

***I'm TRACKING THIS.... we'll see how it does ...
not saying you should/shouldn't play it... I may not play any of em myself on Sat..

NOTE: JNG ~~ I will NOT be available for SUN April 15th... so if u can handle that day, great! If not, maybe somebody else can... ?


WINNING STREAK TEAMS... Play on 'em Saturday (or don't)
*Mets W9 (hm v Milw)
*Angels W6 (@ Kc)
*Phils W4 (@ TB)
*Twins W3 (hm v Wsox... ppd Fri, start 'em Sat)
**NEW TM ~ Mariners W3... (hm v A's)
**NEW TM ~ Rockies W3... (@ Nats)


LOSING STREAK TEAMS... Go against 'em again Saturday
*Reds L6
*Tex L5
*KC L4
*Tigers L5
**NEW TM ~ Nats L3 (hm v Colo)



EARLY GMS SAT ~ *I expect u East Coasters to study this stuff and tell me who ya like!

*1pm/10 am pst --
Rockies v Nats (dbl play.. ON Colo.. and against Nats) <In Theory!! It's Max!! probably get great odds on the Rocks...

Yanks v Tigers
Cards v Reds

2pm/11am
Wsox v Twins

4pm/1pm
Tex v Hou

6pm/3pm
Phils v TB

7pm/4pm
Brews v Mets
LAA v KC (dbl play.. ON Angels.. Against KC)

9pm/6pm
A's v Sea








don't think I'll be betting double against Max... will decide tomorrow.

but I'll keep track of the system plays, see how it would work out if $$ was no object lol


g'nite

LoLB

 

[jng]

WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [901] ROCKIES (COLORADO) +187 [Action] 300.00 USD / 561.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [903] CARDINALS (ST. LOUIS) -125 [Action] 375.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [910] METS (NEW YORK) -118 [Action] 354.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [916] RED SOX (BOSTON) -150 [Action] 450.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [917] YANKEES (NEW YORK) -145 [Action] 435.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [924] ASTROS (HOUSTON) -1?-120 [M MINOR -L/C MORTON -R] 360.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [925] ANGELS (LOS ANGELES) -165 [Action] 495.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [925] ANGELS (LOS ANGELES) -1?-105 [G RICHARDS -R/J JUNIS -R] 315.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [928] MARINERS (SEATTLE) -105 [Action] 315.00 USD / 300.00 USD

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 MLB [929] PHILLIES (PHILADELPHIA) +115 [Action] 300.00 USD /345

 

[yyz]

Betting the run line is not smart, as witnessed in last night's Houston game.

The streak continued, yet the bettor lost.

You either commit, or don't.

 

[jng]

Betting the run line is not smart, as witnessed in last night's Houston game.

The streak continued, yet the bettor lost.

You either commit, or don't.

I think you are correct, YYZ.

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Baseball/Baseball-Betting/5TH25LXVL656LP24

29% of MLB games are decided by one run. Obviously, these include dogs and favs.

Old but good article:
https://www.fangraphs.com/tht/ten-things-about-one-run-games/

I think I will stop playing the RL and either pass on a large fav or play the ML which has been inflated in part because of the streak.

I will also increase my play against our Brewers on your advice.

Thanks, YYZ

 

[yyz]

I think you are correct, YYZ.

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Baseball/Baseball-Betting/5TH25LXVL656LP24

29% of MLB games are decided by one run. Obviously, these include dogs and favs.

Old but good article:
https://www.fangraphs.com/tht/ten-things-about-one-run-games/

I think I will stop playing the RL and either pass on a large fav or play the ML which has been inflated in part because of the streak.

I will also increase my play against our Brewers on your advice.

Thanks, YYZ

If you bet the streak, you bet the streak! You can't let -350 scare you. That's just what the books want.

Certainly you can bet less, but I wouldn't ignore it.

The big problem in my opinion, is three games really isn't a streak. Too many teams at one time are 0-3 or 3-0. You can't bet on 5 or more teams every day. Personally, I would go 4 games before betting.

Good luck moving forward!

 

[LordofBalls]

jng... I'm sure u made a nice profit last night... hope ya get it again tonight!! :0074

NOTE:

I will NOT be here on Sunday... there might be doubleheaders w/Yanks v Det.. and Twins v Wsx...

that Nats/Rockies is a helluva gm...Scherzer has given up 1 hit (2 run hr)... now nats have tied it... nailbiter..

Cardinals cruising v a baddd Reds tm

Astros on deck :0corn



IF you play strictly by the system.. here are plays for today:

*Rockies (dbl play) 200/370
*Cards 125/100
*Astros 250/100
*Phils 100/120
*Mets 115/100
*Angels (dbl play) 324/200
*Sea 108/100

Yanks ppd (v det)
Twins ppd (v wsx) .... probable dh on Sunday


LoLB

 

[LordofBalls]

jng... I'm sure u made a nice profit last night... hope ya get it again tonight!! :0074

NOTE:

I will NOT be here on Sunday... there might be doubleheaders w/Yanks v Det.. and Twins v Wsx...

that Nats/Rockies is a helluva gm...Scherzer has given up 1 hit (2 run hr)... now nats have tied it... nailbiter..

Cardinals cruising v a baddd Reds tm

Astros on deck :0corn



IF you play strictly by the system.. here are plays for today:

*Rockies (dbl play) 200/370 (-200)
*Cards 125/100 (+100)
*Astros 250/100 (-250)
*Phils 100/120 (+120)
*Mets 115/100 (-115)
*Angels (dbl play) 324/200 (+200)
*Sea 108/100 (+100)

Yanks ppd (v det)
Twins ppd (v wsx) .... probable dh on Sunday


LoLB

3RD dAY OF TRACKING.... DOING WELL SO FAR

Overall for today... Win 5 ~ Lose 4 (juicy loss on the Astros)
$$$ for the day.... -45 bucks

$$$ L3 days.... +826 (@ 100 per play)

Betting on Winning Streak Tms today ~~ 3-2
Betting on Losing Streak Tms today ~~ 2-2

Prev results...
**Betting on "Losers" was 5-0, now 7-2
**Betting on "Winners" was 5-1, now 8-3

After 3 days overall= 15-5 :SIB

SUNDAY PLAYS:

"Winning Streak Tms".... Bet ON these tms...
*Angels W7...
*Phils W5...
*Sea W4...
*Twins W3...
New ~ Rsox W3...
New ~ StL W3
New ~ Ariz W3

"Losing Streak Tms".... Bet AGAINST these tms...
*Reds L7
*KC L5
*Tigers L5
New ~ TBay L3
New ~ Doggers L3

**Double Plays on
-Angels (v Kc)
-Ariz (v LAD)


Check w jng tomorrow if any questions... GL