10:10 PM [909] WAS NATIONALS -245 ( M SCHERZER -R / C REA -R )
4:05 PM [918] BOS RED SOX -165 ( A SAMPSON -R / R PORCELLO -R )
4:05 PM [919] LA ANGELS -105 ( T LINCECUM -R / A TRIGGS -R )
6:10 PM [922] CLE INDIANS -210 ( J SHIELDS -R / D SALAZAR -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.52 ....betdsi line
3:05 PM [902] TOTAL u7-105 (ARI DBACKS vrs PHI PHILLIES) ( Z GREINKE -R / J EICKHOFF -R )
4:10 PM [903] COL ROCKIES +118 ( T CHATWOOD -R / W CHEN -L )
2:10 PM [913] NY YANKEES -151 ( M PINEDA -R / R NOLASCO -R )
8:15 PM [924] KC ROYALS -145 ( M BOYD -L / E VOLQUEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 10.95 ....betdsi line
3:05 PM [902] PHI PHILLIES +148 ( Z GREINKE -R / J EICKHOFF -R )
8:15 PM [905] ATL BRAVES +225 ( A BLAIR -R / S MATZ -L )
8:15 PM [907] PIT PIRATES +200 ( J NIESE -L / J LESTER -L )
10:10 PM [911] MIL BREWERS +147 ( C ANDERSON -R / M BOLSINGER -R )
4:15 PM [929] TEX RANGERS +163 ( N MARTINEZ -R / C MARTINEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 156 ....betdsi line :scared
MLB parlays: 9-75, -2.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
damn, my 7 teamer lost yesterday because I had LA SPARKS -6.5, and they won by 6!
few days ago I lost a 5 teamer 'cause I had WA on RL instead of ML!
---so we're getting close to hitting one of these bigger parlays!!
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Pineda has his slider back on track and it has been the key to his recent success. He has a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts, spanning 18 2/3 innings, after posting a 6.92 mark in his first 10.
Michael Pineda has plenty of blow-up potential. However, he also has a high-upside matchup on Saturday, facing a Twins team that's well below average against righty pitching (88 wRC+) and sports a 23 percent whiff rate. Pineda has his flaws, but that 9.9 K/9 is very attractive in a favorable matchup like this one.
With a road tilt against the Padres, it's no surprise that Max Scherzer is perched atop Saturday's rankings. It's a matchup that, on paper, looks largely one-sided. That's what you get when one of baseball's best pitchers faces one of baseball's worst offenses. The Padres rank dead-last in baseball in both wOBA (.278) and wRC+ (75) against right-handed pitching while whiffing 24 percent of the time. For his part, Scherzer is fanning nearly 32 percent of the batters he faces, and he owns a 2.41 ERA in his last seven starts.
Zack Greinke can't match Scherzer's upside, as his 7.6 K/9 attests. Still, after a rough April (5.50 ERA), he's posted a 2.57 ERA in eight starts since, including just two runs allowed over his last three starts combined. That makes him a safe play against a Phillies team that can't hit right-handed pitching (75 wRC+) and strikes out at a healthy 22.3 percent clip.
The difference, Eickhoff said after the victory over the Cubs, is a greater reliance on his slider.
"I think I've always been comfortable with it," he said. "I think it just came down to throwing it more. I knew it was going to be a successful pitch for me. ... That was a huge thing, just a third pitch to think about for the hitters (along with his fastball and curveball)."
His slider was again an important part of his arsenal against the Blue Jays.
"We have a game plan," Eickhoff said, according to MLB.com. "We kind of deviate from that or change from that as the game progresses or how I'm feeling.
---------
Reed, the Reds? No. 3 prospect according to MLBPipeline.com, will make his Major League debut. In 11 starts this year with Triple-A Louisville, the left-hander has posted a 6-3 record and a 3.20 ERA in 64 2/3 innings, striking out 63 batters and issuing just 17 walks.
top prospect Cody Reed is set to make his big-league debut tomorrow. Since we?ve likely passed the Super Two deadline, he should be up for good.
Reed enjoyed a breakout season in 2015, when he posted an impressive 24% strikeout rate and 2.93 FIP between High-A and Double-A. That was enough to make him a fixture on prospect lists last winter. He placed in the middle third of most top 100 rankings.
Reed built on last year?s success at the Triple-A level this year. Although he?s faced better competition, his strikeout and walk rates have remained on par with last year?s numbers. The end result has been a 3.20 ERA and 3.37 FIP. Not bad at all for a 23-year-old facing borderline big-league hitters.
Reed?s excellent numbers, along with his 6-foot-5 frame, make him one of KATOH?s favorite pitchers. My system was enamored by Reed?s 2015 performance, and loves him even more now that he?s proven himself at Triple-A. His projected 3.8 WAR over the next six seasons put him 86th overall, and 15th among pitchers. Adding his 2016 numbers to the mix, his projection ticks up to 5.3 WAR, making him one of the most promising pitching prospects in baseball right now...
Reed isn?t quite an elite pitching prospect: His minor-league numbers don?t jump off the page, like Julio Urias? or Jameson Taillon?s did
---------
Chatwood has been excellent on the road this season, sporting a Major League-best 0.65 ERA. In his last road start, he held the Dodgers to one run on one hit over eight innings. The Rockies have won five of his last six starts.
Rockies @ Marlins
Chatwood is 5-0, 0.86 in six road starts (under 12-1).
Chen is 1-1, 5.29 in his last six starts; four of his last five went over.
Rockies won six of last eight games; six of their last seven road games stayed under the total. Miami is 6-7 in its last 13 games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
Sampson, a fifth-round pick in 2012, has posted a 3.25 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 61:12 K:BB in 13 starts for Triple-A Tacoma this season. Sampson, 24, was scheduled to pitch on Sunday for Tacoma. In 13 starts for the Rainiers, he?s 7-4 with a 3.25 ERA. In 80 1/3 innings, he?s struck out 61 batters and walked 13.
ARIZONA AT PHILADELPHIA
PLAY: UNDER 7
In terms of current form this is the best starting pitcher matchup on the Saturday board, and by a pretty good margin. Zack Greinke has really rounded into form after a slow start with his new team. We?ve seen what happens when he finds his groove, so I would definitely expect a good game from Greinke today.
Jared Eickhoff is pitching very solid ball for the Phillies. His numbers are pretty legit looking, and his past three start game score average is actually the second best on the board today. The only three-game average that?s superior belongs to Greinke.
Not much on the weather front to discourage here, low 80?s with a very light breeze that doesn?t figure to be impactful. The Diamondbacks had a big offensive outburst on Friday night, but the fact they blew up Adam Morgan wasn?t exactly shocking, and I like Eickhoff to quiet those bats for the most part today.
The number on the game is obviously pretty low, especially for a game at a ballpark that can be a hitter?s haven at times. But it?s a game where if the two starters continue their most recent patterns, runs figure to be at a premium. I?ll gamble on the Diamondbacks and Phillies to stay Under the posted Total.
New York Yankees -133
The Yankees put to end a 4-game losing streak with their win yesterday, a 4-1 victory over the lowly Twins. Minnesota is 20-46 on the season after losing three straight coming in.
I'm going to take the Yankees today behind Michael Pineda. He's 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts, so he's obviously coming around. Pineda is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA in three career starts against Minnesota.
Ricky Nolasco has been terrible all season, going 3-4 with a 5.12 ERA in 13 starts. Nolasco is 0-2 with a 6.50 ERA in six road starts as well. Nolasco is 1-1 with a 7.88 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two career starts against New York as well.
The Yankees are 14-4 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Twins are 20-50 in their last 70 overall.
San Francisco at Tampa Bay
Play: San Francisco +115
Albert Suarez (2-1, 3.33 ERA) will take the ball for San Francisco, and he's been showing some good stuff here his first season in the major leagues. He's posted a 1.04 WHIP over 27 innings of work covering eight appearances (two starts). He'll be backed up by a well rested bullpen after Jeff Samardzija's complete game in yesterday's 5-1 victory.
The Rays turn to Matt Moore (3-4, 5.05) who's coming off seven scoreless innings against Houston, but he had surrendered at least four runs in four of his previous five outings. This will be Moore's first career meeting with the surging Giants who are averaging six runs during a six-game winning streak.
Giants are 8-1 in their last nine games vs. a left-handed starter and 12-3 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees -136
I like the Bronx Bombers here today...Pineda at times can be very good...Often times a weaker lineup can get him going..I feel good in this spot Vs. Twins lineup with him today...Yanks bats got it going again last night and they very well can continue that hitting again today...Nolasco can be decent at times, but he should give up his 3 or 4 ER...Twins pen might come into play early if the Yanks are hitting well early and we can get a few more in that area as well..Bullpens are way off as the Yanks are rock solid in that dept...If the Twins don't get after Pineda early, he will settle in and the Yanks bats and pen get us the W.
Angels -118
I like the value here on the Angels Saturday afternoon. Tim Lincecum will be making his Angels debut and first start in the big leagues since last June. I'm not expecting Lincecum to be dominant again, but this is a good spot for him to succeed. He's looked good in his minor league starts leading up to this one and will be facing an A's team that comes in hitting just .239 against right-handed starters this season. The other big key here is the Angels should be able to provide some run support. Oakland's Andrew Triggs will be making his first ever big league start. He has pitched out of the bullpen and has a not so great 8.00 ERA in 18 innings. Chances are he won't last long and that will get LA into the A's bullpen early.
4:05 PM [918] BOS RED SOX -165 ( A SAMPSON -R / R PORCELLO -R )
4:05 PM [919] LA ANGELS -105 ( T LINCECUM -R / A TRIGGS -R )
6:10 PM [922] CLE INDIANS -210 ( J SHIELDS -R / D SALAZAR -R )
1 unit bet pays 5.52 ....betdsi line
3:05 PM [902] TOTAL u7-105 (ARI DBACKS vrs PHI PHILLIES) ( Z GREINKE -R / J EICKHOFF -R )
4:10 PM [903] COL ROCKIES +118 ( T CHATWOOD -R / W CHEN -L )
2:10 PM [913] NY YANKEES -151 ( M PINEDA -R / R NOLASCO -R )
8:15 PM [924] KC ROYALS -145 ( M BOYD -L / E VOLQUEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 10.95 ....betdsi line
3:05 PM [902] PHI PHILLIES +148 ( Z GREINKE -R / J EICKHOFF -R )
8:15 PM [905] ATL BRAVES +225 ( A BLAIR -R / S MATZ -L )
8:15 PM [907] PIT PIRATES +200 ( J NIESE -L / J LESTER -L )
10:10 PM [911] MIL BREWERS +147 ( C ANDERSON -R / M BOLSINGER -R )
4:15 PM [929] TEX RANGERS +163 ( N MARTINEZ -R / C MARTINEZ -R )
1 unit bet pays 156 ....betdsi line :scared
MLB parlays: 9-75, -2.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
damn, my 7 teamer lost yesterday because I had LA SPARKS -6.5, and they won by 6!
few days ago I lost a 5 teamer 'cause I had WA on RL instead of ML!
---so we're getting close to hitting one of these bigger parlays!!
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Pineda has his slider back on track and it has been the key to his recent success. He has a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts, spanning 18 2/3 innings, after posting a 6.92 mark in his first 10.
Michael Pineda has plenty of blow-up potential. However, he also has a high-upside matchup on Saturday, facing a Twins team that's well below average against righty pitching (88 wRC+) and sports a 23 percent whiff rate. Pineda has his flaws, but that 9.9 K/9 is very attractive in a favorable matchup like this one.
With a road tilt against the Padres, it's no surprise that Max Scherzer is perched atop Saturday's rankings. It's a matchup that, on paper, looks largely one-sided. That's what you get when one of baseball's best pitchers faces one of baseball's worst offenses. The Padres rank dead-last in baseball in both wOBA (.278) and wRC+ (75) against right-handed pitching while whiffing 24 percent of the time. For his part, Scherzer is fanning nearly 32 percent of the batters he faces, and he owns a 2.41 ERA in his last seven starts.
Zack Greinke can't match Scherzer's upside, as his 7.6 K/9 attests. Still, after a rough April (5.50 ERA), he's posted a 2.57 ERA in eight starts since, including just two runs allowed over his last three starts combined. That makes him a safe play against a Phillies team that can't hit right-handed pitching (75 wRC+) and strikes out at a healthy 22.3 percent clip.
The difference, Eickhoff said after the victory over the Cubs, is a greater reliance on his slider.
"I think I've always been comfortable with it," he said. "I think it just came down to throwing it more. I knew it was going to be a successful pitch for me. ... That was a huge thing, just a third pitch to think about for the hitters (along with his fastball and curveball)."
His slider was again an important part of his arsenal against the Blue Jays.
"We have a game plan," Eickhoff said, according to MLB.com. "We kind of deviate from that or change from that as the game progresses or how I'm feeling.
---------
Reed, the Reds? No. 3 prospect according to MLBPipeline.com, will make his Major League debut. In 11 starts this year with Triple-A Louisville, the left-hander has posted a 6-3 record and a 3.20 ERA in 64 2/3 innings, striking out 63 batters and issuing just 17 walks.
top prospect Cody Reed is set to make his big-league debut tomorrow. Since we?ve likely passed the Super Two deadline, he should be up for good.
Reed enjoyed a breakout season in 2015, when he posted an impressive 24% strikeout rate and 2.93 FIP between High-A and Double-A. That was enough to make him a fixture on prospect lists last winter. He placed in the middle third of most top 100 rankings.
Reed built on last year?s success at the Triple-A level this year. Although he?s faced better competition, his strikeout and walk rates have remained on par with last year?s numbers. The end result has been a 3.20 ERA and 3.37 FIP. Not bad at all for a 23-year-old facing borderline big-league hitters.
Reed?s excellent numbers, along with his 6-foot-5 frame, make him one of KATOH?s favorite pitchers. My system was enamored by Reed?s 2015 performance, and loves him even more now that he?s proven himself at Triple-A. His projected 3.8 WAR over the next six seasons put him 86th overall, and 15th among pitchers. Adding his 2016 numbers to the mix, his projection ticks up to 5.3 WAR, making him one of the most promising pitching prospects in baseball right now...
Reed isn?t quite an elite pitching prospect: His minor-league numbers don?t jump off the page, like Julio Urias? or Jameson Taillon?s did
---------
Chatwood has been excellent on the road this season, sporting a Major League-best 0.65 ERA. In his last road start, he held the Dodgers to one run on one hit over eight innings. The Rockies have won five of his last six starts.
Rockies @ Marlins
Chatwood is 5-0, 0.86 in six road starts (under 12-1).
Chen is 1-1, 5.29 in his last six starts; four of his last five went over.
Rockies won six of last eight games; six of their last seven road games stayed under the total. Miami is 6-7 in its last 13 games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
Sampson, a fifth-round pick in 2012, has posted a 3.25 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 61:12 K:BB in 13 starts for Triple-A Tacoma this season. Sampson, 24, was scheduled to pitch on Sunday for Tacoma. In 13 starts for the Rainiers, he?s 7-4 with a 3.25 ERA. In 80 1/3 innings, he?s struck out 61 batters and walked 13.
ARIZONA AT PHILADELPHIA
PLAY: UNDER 7
In terms of current form this is the best starting pitcher matchup on the Saturday board, and by a pretty good margin. Zack Greinke has really rounded into form after a slow start with his new team. We?ve seen what happens when he finds his groove, so I would definitely expect a good game from Greinke today.
Jared Eickhoff is pitching very solid ball for the Phillies. His numbers are pretty legit looking, and his past three start game score average is actually the second best on the board today. The only three-game average that?s superior belongs to Greinke.
Not much on the weather front to discourage here, low 80?s with a very light breeze that doesn?t figure to be impactful. The Diamondbacks had a big offensive outburst on Friday night, but the fact they blew up Adam Morgan wasn?t exactly shocking, and I like Eickhoff to quiet those bats for the most part today.
The number on the game is obviously pretty low, especially for a game at a ballpark that can be a hitter?s haven at times. But it?s a game where if the two starters continue their most recent patterns, runs figure to be at a premium. I?ll gamble on the Diamondbacks and Phillies to stay Under the posted Total.
New York Yankees -133
The Yankees put to end a 4-game losing streak with their win yesterday, a 4-1 victory over the lowly Twins. Minnesota is 20-46 on the season after losing three straight coming in.
I'm going to take the Yankees today behind Michael Pineda. He's 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts, so he's obviously coming around. Pineda is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA in three career starts against Minnesota.
Ricky Nolasco has been terrible all season, going 3-4 with a 5.12 ERA in 13 starts. Nolasco is 0-2 with a 6.50 ERA in six road starts as well. Nolasco is 1-1 with a 7.88 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two career starts against New York as well.
The Yankees are 14-4 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Twins are 20-50 in their last 70 overall.
San Francisco at Tampa Bay
Play: San Francisco +115
Albert Suarez (2-1, 3.33 ERA) will take the ball for San Francisco, and he's been showing some good stuff here his first season in the major leagues. He's posted a 1.04 WHIP over 27 innings of work covering eight appearances (two starts). He'll be backed up by a well rested bullpen after Jeff Samardzija's complete game in yesterday's 5-1 victory.
The Rays turn to Matt Moore (3-4, 5.05) who's coming off seven scoreless innings against Houston, but he had surrendered at least four runs in four of his previous five outings. This will be Moore's first career meeting with the surging Giants who are averaging six runs during a six-game winning streak.
Giants are 8-1 in their last nine games vs. a left-handed starter and 12-3 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Yankees -136
I like the Bronx Bombers here today...Pineda at times can be very good...Often times a weaker lineup can get him going..I feel good in this spot Vs. Twins lineup with him today...Yanks bats got it going again last night and they very well can continue that hitting again today...Nolasco can be decent at times, but he should give up his 3 or 4 ER...Twins pen might come into play early if the Yanks are hitting well early and we can get a few more in that area as well..Bullpens are way off as the Yanks are rock solid in that dept...If the Twins don't get after Pineda early, he will settle in and the Yanks bats and pen get us the W.
Angels -118
I like the value here on the Angels Saturday afternoon. Tim Lincecum will be making his Angels debut and first start in the big leagues since last June. I'm not expecting Lincecum to be dominant again, but this is a good spot for him to succeed. He's looked good in his minor league starts leading up to this one and will be facing an A's team that comes in hitting just .239 against right-handed starters this season. The other big key here is the Angels should be able to provide some run support. Oakland's Andrew Triggs will be making his first ever big league start. He has pitched out of the bullpen and has a not so great 8.00 ERA in 18 innings. Chances are he won't last long and that will get LA into the A's bullpen early.
