Sat parlays!

[Terryray]

1:05 PM ET MLB Over 9 -105 MIN TWINS v NY YANKEES M PINEDA -R/E SANTANA -R
2:10 PM ET MLB CHI WHITE SOX M GONZALEZ -R/R DICKEY -R +113
1:05 PM ET MLB TB RAYS K GAUSMAN -R/M ANDRIESE -R +130

1 unit bet pays 8.56 ....betdsi line ... another parlay later

MLB parlays: 9-86, -13.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9

ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:

Ervin Santana pitches for the Twins on Saturday and looks to get consecutive wins over the Yankees for the first time in nearly 10 years...He is 2-9 with a 5.98 ERA in his last 14 starts against New York...Santana looks to continue his excellent control of late. Santana has 21 walks in 72 2/3 innings but none in his last three starts.--It is the first time in his career he has not issued a walk in three straight outings.

Andriese returns from the bullpen, where he?s made two appearances after going 5-0 as a starter in his first seven outings. The right-hander has shown a lot of growth since last season when he went back and forth between Triple-A and the Majors.


Twins vs. Yankees
Play: Over 9

Hard to believe, but the Twins have only gone under the total once during their last 19 games. The over is 16-1-2 in Minnesota's past 19 games. This may be the biggest below-the-radar streak of the season.

It's a string worth riding especially given the starting pitching matchup and the Twins' horrendous bullpen.

Twins starter Ervin Santana is clearly on the downside of his career. He's in bad form, too, giving up 27 runs in his last 35 innings. The Yankees just saw him last week. The Yankees get a boost to their offense with the expected return today of Mark Teixeira.

The Yankees have scored 37 runs in their last six games, an average of 6.1 runs per game. No bullpen has allowed more runs this season than the Twins.

Yankees starter Michael Pineda has a 6.20 home ERA and a 4.09 lifetime ERA versus the Twins. The only consistent thing about Pineda is his inconsistency.

ATHLETICS VS. ANGELS
PLAY: ATHLETICS +134

I don?t really have much of a problem going against Angels righty Jhoulys Chacin, who?s is pretty lousy form right now. Chacin has had some control problems recently, walking 13 batters in his last 17.1 innings. His stuff just isn?t good enough to survive issuing free passes at that rate. Chacin will occasionally light it up for a night, but the reality is he?s just a back of the rotation guy, and with his current form, I feel okay about trying to beat him.

This will be the debut for Dillon Overton, a lefty prospect who has been red hot recently at AAA. Overton has surrendered only two unearned runs overall in his last three starts. Unseen lefties can be difficult to figure out, and Overton has a deceptive crossfire delivery as well. He?s a pretty good prospect, who missed his first pro year after having TJS, but has moved quickly since.

The Halos have lost five straight, and Mike Scioscia admitted after the Friday game that the team is pressing. Oakland is a bad baseball team, but so are the Angels, and I think the home team is a bit overpriced tonight against a first-time rookie southpaw who has a chance to do well. I?ll take the price with the A?s.

Indians vs. Tigers
Play:Indians -133

Friday's free pick on the Toronto Blue Jays turned out a sour loser as the Jays failed to take advantage of a bases loaded with one out situation at the top of the ninth. For Saturday's free pick I'm backing the red hot Cleveland Indians as they take on AL Central rivals Detroit Tigers for Game 2 of a three-game set.

The Tribe are riding a seven game winning streak and will get a look at Anibal Sanchez (4-7, 5.97) today. Sanchez returns to the starting rotation after a three-week stay in the bullpen. He surrendered a total of 29 runs through his last six starts, and he's conceded 11 runs over 11 innings in two losses to the Indians this season. Yan Gomes is 7-for-14 in previous meetings with Sanchez.

The Tribe turn to Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 3.26 ERA). He's struggled with Detroit in the past and he's is 2-4 with a 7.62 ERA over his career at Comerica Park. I like Carrasco to come out with a strong performance today though. He tossed 7 1/3 solid innings of two-run ball against the White Sox his last time out and we can note that he's allowed just a pair of runs in 10 innings during the day this season.

Indians are 7-2 in Carrasco's last nine road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians have won seven straight meetings this season.

Rockies -133

It's no secret that Coors Field is a hitter's park and that's a big reason why I'm confident backing the Rockies at home on Saturday against the Diamondbacks Shelby Miller. What was suppose to be a boost to the rotation has been a complete bust. Miller is 2-6 with a 6.36 ERA and 1.738 WHIP in 11 starts. He's made two career starts at Coors Field and neither were any good. In his first start there, he gave up 3 runs on 6 hits and 5 walks in just 2 2/3 innings. The next time he gave up 5 runs on 11 hits in 5 innings.

I just don't see him being able to keep this Colorado offense in check. The Rockies are hitting .299 as a team and averaging an even 6.0 runs/game at home this season. Arizona figures to score some runs of their own, but I don't think it will be enough to pull out the win. Colorado will send out Jorge De La Rosa, who has pitched very well since returning from the DL. He's given up just 3 runs on 8 hits in 11 innings. Coming into this season, he was 23-5 with a 3.59 ERA in 41 starts at home over the previous 3 seasons.

Home favorites of -100 to -150 who are starting a pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.750 on the season and a WHIP of 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 51-17 (75%) against the money line since 1997. It's also worth noting that the Rockies as a team are 56-17 in De La Rosa's last 73 home starts and 26-9 in his last 35 home starts against a team with a losing record.

Mets vs. Braves
Play: Under 7

It's a rematch of the 6/19 matchup in New York as the Braves take on the Mets. Julio Teheran threw a one hit complete game shut out against New York last time out. He has a 2.66 ERA in 15 starts with nine of those going under the total. Teheran has a 2.25 ERA and a WHIP of 1.044 in 11 starts with eight of those going under the total. The Mets entered Friday night's game hitting .233 as a team. They are hitting around .210 in their last eight games. Jacob deGrom is 3-4 with a 2.96 ERA in 12 starts with seven of those going under the total. He held the Braves to three runs and five hits in six innings last time out. deGrom has a 2.25 ERA against the Braves and beat them in Atlanta back on April 24th. Atlanta is hitting .236 against right-handed starters. They are on a nice under streak right now as their pitching has held up. These two lineups should struggle against these top notch pitchers.

Oakland vs. LA Angels
Pick: LA Angels

Dillon Overton will be the third starting pitcher to make his major league debut this season for the Oakland A?s, joining Sean Manaea and Daniel Mengden. It?s an indication of the struggles Oakland?s rotation has had in 2016 (team ERA of 4.60 ranks 14th of 15 AL clubs). That said, Overton has certainly earned the promotion, going 8-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 14 games (13 starts) for Nashville, after going 7-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last seven starts! "Our guys are telling us that he's really pitching well and he's come a long way," A's manager Bob Melvin told reporters after Thursday's game. "He's got a complement of pitches that gets him through righties and lefties both. We were impressed with what he did this spring. He's just continued to develop. We're at a point now where not only have we had some injuries and we've been using some guys, this is a guy that we like. He's healthy finally now and pitching well and you like to get a guy here when he's pitching well."

Overton was drafted in the second round by the A's in 2013 but had to have Tommy John surgery before he could make his professional debut. Once healthy, he?s risen swiftly through the minor league system. He'll be opposed by Jhoulys Chacin (3-5, 5.50 ERA), who could lose his spot in the starting rotation with another bad performance. Chacin has an 8.83 ERA over his last four starts (17 ERs allowed in 17.1 IP) with the Angels losing THREE of those four contests. The Angels traded for Chacin on May 11 in a deal with the Braves to fill a slot in the rotation but in order to send him to the minors they would have to designate him for assignment and have him pass through waivers. The more likely scenario would be to move him to the bullpen and make him a long reliever, if he can?t get things straightened out.

The Angels lost 7-4 on Friday to Oakland, giving them a five-game losing streak. Yes, Chacin has struggled in his four starts in June (26 hits allowed along with with 13 walks to match that 8.83 ERA over 17.1 innings) but we don?t know what to expect from Overton in his major league debut. He becomes the 11th pitcher to start a game for Oakland this season, an American League-high. I?m going to take a shot on the home team.

Johnson vs. Cuevas
Pick: Cuevas

Steve Johnson has become renowned for choking in certain situations, so this -200 line is way too high for Saturday's final. Cuevas has fought hard, recovering from 0-4 down in a final set tiebreak v Baghdatis, defeating Gilles Muller from a set down in today's semi-final. While not renowned for his grass court game, Cuevas has the tools required, big serve & forehand. Johnson is just 2-4 in deciding set tiebreaks, and with Cuevas 5-1 in his 6 career finals the Uruguayan will be confident in adding a 3rd title to his resume in 2016. Johnson's three wins this week have come against opponents with a combined 26-47 record in 2016, compared to Cuevas who eliminated two big serving players in Muller & Baghdatis, the American will be another familiar challenge.

 

[Terryray]

now that's some strong :0074 handicapping in first parlay today! :mj07: jeeze!

04:10 PM [951] CHI CUBS -220 ( J LACKEY -R / P CLEMENS -R )
07:15 PM [962] TOTAL u7EV (NY METS vrs ATL BRAVES) ( J DEGROM -R / J TEHERAN -R )
10:05 PM [964] SFO GIANTS -1.5 -135 ( J HELLICKSON -R / M BUMGARNER -L )
09:20 PM [976] TOTAL u9+105 (BOS RED SOX vrs TEX RANGERS) ( S WRIGHT -R / A GRIFFIN -R )

1 unit bet pays 9.39 ....betdsi line

Goooooood Luck ALLLL!!!! :spotting: :00hour:em71: :drinky: :mj06:

ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:

The over is 6-2-1 in the Rockies? past nine at home vs. right-handed starters.

The Diamondbacks, who used their entire eight-man bullpen Friday night and are likely to recall a reliever, will counter with Shelby Miller. He's 2-6 with a 6.36 ERA in 11 starts overall. at Coors Field, where Miller is 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA in two career starts.

But after being on the disabled list from May 25 through June 19 with a right index finger sprain, Miller was reinstated Monday and started that day at Philadelphia. He allowed one earned run and five hits in 6 2/3 innings with one walk and five strikeouts and was the winning pitcher in Arizona's 3-1 victory.

"I think just taking the break and getting the finger all healed and getting the mental break has helped him," Diamondbacks manager Chip Hale said. "He could work on his stuff, (had) more confidence in his cutter. His split's been real good. And he's been real good in the one game we saw."

----

He went 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA in 9 2/3 innings out of the bullpen.

"We probably won't go much over 100 with him," Ausmus said of Sanchez's pitch limit, a tongue-in-cheek statement. "It's all based on how he feels."


John Lackey just continues to get it done start after start after start. He's now registered quality starts in 10 straight outings. So not only does he carry a nice floor, but he's also whiffing 9.3 batters per nine innings, his highest strikeout rate since, well, ever, so he has a nice ceiling, too. Don't expect a high strikeout total against a Marlins team that's striking out just 19 percent of the time versus righties. Then again, Miami is also below average against righty pitching and sports the second-lowest ISO in the National League (.137), so don't expect much offense, either. Lackey is one of the day's safest plays.

Sanchez returns to the rotation after spending the past few weeks in the bullpen. He showed sharper pitches his last few outings thanks to what he cited as an adjustment in the release point in his delivery.

Tillman is a perfect 7-0 with a 2.81 ERA at home this season, and he has only conceded one run in his two starts against the Rays this season..Odorizzi has a 4.64 career ERA against the Orioles

There's no way around it: Madison Bumgarner is the no-brainer No. 1 option in cash on Saturday. Not only is the Giants ace sporting a career-best 10.2 K/9 to go along with a 1.85 ERA that ranks third-best in baseball, but he also gets a Phillies squad that's the worst in the majors against lefty pitching, with a 57 wRC+ and 24 percent strikeout rate. It's a match made in DFS heaven. Lock it in.

Jacob deGrom also finds himself in an enticing spot, facing a Braves team that boasts a 77 wRC+ versus righty pitching this season. While the Braves do a pretty good job making contact, it's worth noting that deGrom has seen his whiff rate surge of late. After sporting a 5.8 K/9 over his first six starts this season, his K/9 rate has spiked to 11.7 over his last six outings. DeGrom plays second fiddle to Bumgarner on Saturday, but the Mets righty should deliver the goods.

Overton certainly earned it, going 8-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 14 games (13 starts) for Nashville, and he's been especially good lately -- he is 7-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last seven starts.

"Our guys are telling us that he's really pitching well and he's come a long way," A's manager Bob Melvin told reporters after Thursday's game. "He's got a complement of pitches that gets him through righties and lefties both. We were impressed with what he did this spring. He's just continued to develop."

---

Nate Karns gets a solid 55 game score for his home start against St. Louis, but that feels awfully generous. The Cardinals own a 119 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this season, which is tied with Boston for the best mark in baseball. That's red flag No. 1. Red flag No. 2 is the fact that Karns has been blasted by right-handed hitters this season (.374 wOBA), and the Cards' lineup is stacked with righties. Finally, the fact Karns owns a 7.36 ERA in June and has yet to pitch past the fifth inning is red flag No. 3. Saturday is not the time to roll the dice on the Seattle right-hander.

Oakland +129 over L.A. ANGELS

The A's will go back to the prospect pool by plucking Dillon Overton from Triple-A Nashville of the Pacific Coast League. Overton is 24 and comes with some pedigree, as he was one of the premier college arms coming into the 2013 draft and was a second-round pick of the A's. Soon after he signed, Overton had Tommy John surgery. The 6'2? lefty out of Oklahoma is now two years removed from his operation and made it unscathed through his first full minor league season in 2015, reaching double-A Midland. He was in camp this spring and the A's are hoping he'll regain the mid-90s fastball he had at OU, but he works in the 88-92 range now. Overton has learned to pitch without his heater, developing excellent command and feel. He throws across his body which can look a little ugly at times but it gives him some deception. He spots his curveball to both sides of the plate and varies its shape as well. The A's would like to see him add some bulk to his wiry frame, but he hasn't kept any weight on so far. The A's consider Overton close to a finished product with how much velocity he ends up with the only real remaining X-factor. He's has been on an impressive run lately winning his last seven starts with a 1.40 ERA and not allowing an earned run in his last three trips to the mound. Those numbers are noteworthy, as they come in the very hitter friendly Pacific Coast League. Down in Nashville, he's striking out 6.31 batters per nine-innings and has been very stingy giving up the long ball with just two dingers in 13 starts covering 85 innings. Oakland has won two straight over the Angels and could easily make it three here.

We know what we're going to get with Jhoulys Chacin at this point and we don't like it. He gets hit hard and he doesn't strike out many. Like his Angels? teammates, Chacin is coming into this one in poor form. The Venezuelan is struggling in his last seven starts with a 2-3 record to go along with a 6.14 ERA. Over that span, Chacin has given up 25 earned runs in just 36.2 innings pitched. Last time out, Chacin went just two frames and got tagged for five earned runs on six hits versus the Astros. Under the hood it's ugly too. His batting average of balls in play (BAPIP) is .263 which indicates he's actually been quite lucky this season. Chacin enters the day with a 38.8% hard hit ball percentage, the worst of today's starters and there does not appear to be an end in sight. Chacin is barely hanging in as a starter at this point. If the Halos weren?t so desperate for some warm bodies that can give them some innings, Chacin would be in the bullpen or counting heads on the bus ride from the hotel to the stadium. The Angels are a mess, their pen is a mess, Chacin is a mess and so we?re more than happy to roll with an unknown commodity with a great minor-league pedigree.