Saturday April 14th

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
8,050
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63
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Saturday April 14th 2007

yesterday: 5-5 +5.45 (0-4 on parlays; 5-0 ml)
2007: 43-38 +7.59
ml 27-17 +4.37
rl 4-2 +1.93
totals 6-5 -0.73
parlays 6-14 +2.02
system sides now 15-9 (any+10,+7at60+,+5at65+)

notes:
--Arroyo 4-4 w/3.12 era vs Cubs in 60.2; Hill 1-2 6.23 era in limited vs (17.1 IP
-----only 11 hits and 22 K w/4 HR)
--O.Hernandez 2-1 w/2.25 era in 3 vs
--Jennings 1-3 w/7.96 era in 6 gs vs Phillies
-----Hamels 1-0 w 19 K in 15.2 vs Astros
--Olsen 9.88 era vs Braves in 13.2 IP
-----Davies 9.22 era vs Marlins in 13.2 IP
--Zito looking to reduce 8.18 era through 1st two
-----Armas 1-4 5.28 era vs Giants in 5 gs
--Capuano 4-3 5.43 era vs Cards in 9 gs
-----Wells 6-6 3.97 era in 17 gs vs Brewers
--Cook 3-3 5.17 vs D'Backs in 10 gs
-----Livan 6-8 vs Rocks w/5.00 era in 20 gs
--Peavy 6-1 2.40 vs LA including 2-1 4.09 in 6 at Dodger Stadium
-----Schmidt 11-9 4.78 era vs Padres; he has 3.10 lifetime era at D.Stadium
--Byrd 5-2 5.05 era in 9 vs Chisox
--Durbin 2-0 1.77 era vs Jays 3 gs
-----Burnett 11.88 era 2 gs vs Tigers with 10 K and no homers in the 8.1 IP
--Escobar 6-7 4.64 vs Bosox
-----Schilling 4-1 3.44 era vs Angels (6 HR in 34 IP)
--Padilla 1-3 vs M's 5.74 era in 26.2 IP
-----Batista 1-3 5.20 vs Rangers in 27.2 IP
--Perez a perfect 2-0 in 2 gs vs O's w1.20 era (1 HR, 18 K in 15 IP)
-----Cabrera 3-0 in 4 gs vs KC w/2.35 era
--Jackson a 23.14 era vs Twins in his 2.1 IP vs
-----Ponson 6-8 vs TB w/4.31 era in 22 games
--Pavano no decision in 1 quality start vs A's
-----Blanton 0-2 w/13.50 era in 2 gs vs Yanks


system sides

Cubs 53% (-125)-3
Stl 59 (wells-capuano)
Mets 72 (-240)+1 RL 57 (-125)+1
Phil 66 (-149)+6 (w/Williams)
Atl 53 (-125)-3
Pitt 52 (+100)+2
Ariz 64 (-129)+7
sd 58 (-116)+4
Tor 61 (-169)-2
Bost 60 (-149)even
tex 57 (-110)+4
Balt 63 (-169)even
cws 58 (+115)+11
Min 66 (-139)+7
nyy 51 (-130)-6

system totals

wash@Mets un9 67% (-120)+12
sd@LA un7 67 (-115)+13
det@Tor ov9.5 66 (+100)+16
cws@Clev ov9.5 74 (-125)+18

Yesterday was very nice. Came very close to being extremely nice, but the parlays were killed by Santana and Webb blunders. Nice 5-0 on the moneylines to bring that total into the positive.
Sunday's board currently has only 5 games in the 60's, but 3 of them are high 60's (Braves,Mets,Twins).
Be back later with my plays, though I'll be smart to take it easy after yesterday's success.
 
Last edited:

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
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Feb 22, 2001
8,050
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63
Toronto
Viva Hernandez!

Viva Hernandez!

PLAYS

system sides

Phillies -149 2.23/1.5
D'Backs -129 1.93/1.5
chisox +115 1.2/1.38
Twins -139 1.39/1

other sides

Mets -1.5 -125 2/1.6
padres -116 1.62/1.4
Jays -1.5 +120 1/1.2

totals
cws@Clev ov9.5 -125 1.75/1.4
--favorable ump (Poncino) for this one

I was slammed on 4 parlays yesterday, so it's a tough call for today.
I think I'd happily take anything on the plus side with this mess today.

GL
 
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EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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adjustment? what adjustment?

adjustment? what adjustment?

Bosox 60% was for Schilling & Escobar, but I wouldn't move it much for a Carrasco start (maybe to 61% if that) because the Angels have a strong pen and Carrasco is pretty good.

Leavin' it at 60, for statistical purposes.
-150 is the break even point.
Bosox rightly faves, but no play here.
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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fine...

fine...

nyy 51% was for Pavano-Blanton, but if it's Rasner-Blanton then the call is
A's 51 (+120)+5

51's are coming in at an 11 of 18 rate (61%).

May this to bring everlasting curse to the Yankees.
Damn Yankees!

Go Jays!

:00hour
:weed:
:SIB
 

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
from the puff-puff files

from the puff-puff files

adding

Cubs -124 1.24/1

Hopefully this version of 'taking it east' works out okay.
May you smoke your bookie or at least some fine herb.
Later

:SIB
 
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