Saturday August 25th 2007
yesterday: 4-5 -0.47
August: 166-134 +79.29
ml 70-41 +49.38
rl 8-8 -0.36
totals 37-25 +10.13
parlays & IFs 51-60 +20.14
system picks 2-0 yesterday; 41-19 in August (68%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-3 yesterday; 46-32 in August (59%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Mets 68% (-153)+7 RL 52 (+144)+11
pitt 52 (+106)+3
Phil 59 (-124)+3
Cin 51 (-108)-1
atl 64 (-130)+7
Col 56 (-140)-3
mil 63 (-123)+7
cubs 58 (-114)+4
Cws 51 (+112)+3
min 60 (-140)+1 (Garza-Burres)
nyy 64 (-144)+4 RL 50 (+110)+2
clev 55 (-134)-3
Tb 57 (-120)+2
Tex 52 (+124)+7
tor 56 (+123)+11
system totals
lad@Mets un9 68% (-115)+14 --Schrieber is a major over-ump; kills this one
pitt@Hou ov9.5 68 (-110)+15 --ump Timmons is even
fla@Cin ov11 66 (-103)+15 --ump Fairchild is even
wash@Col un10 70 (-105)+18 --Everitt is a bit of an UNDER-ump (8-17 this year)
min@Balt un9.5 71 (-115)+17 --Cuzzi is a good UNDER-ump
oak@Tb un8.5 71 (-105)+19 --Runge is a bit of an UNDER-lean
seat@Tex ov11.5 74 (+100)+24 --Joyce is an acceptable OVER-ump
That friggin' last second TV play (Jays) cost me my winning streak. Oh well; got some real burns (Cordero in the 9th killing my big under) and some decent breaks (Pirates finally pulling it out in extras) so I guess things balanced out. 3-1 on the moneyline picking up 5u but a dreadful 1-4 on totals dropping the same. Good new is system sides went either 13-3 (Yanks lose) or 14-2 (they win) on Friday and system pick's 2-0 yesterday makes them 7-0 over the past 4 days. Nothing matters but the weekend?from a Tuesday point of view. Light a candle in the kitchen?feel the steam begin to brew. Switchin' to Glide!
Mets, Braves, Brewers and Blue Jays are system picks for Saturday. I pulled another all-dayer so I can muster little argument at this point in time; Mets and Jays both facing the much preferred lefty and have the better SPs going. Braves have the better SP going as well and also have the edge at the plate, as is true with all system picks today. Brewers have the edge at SP and bullpen, the latter of which should be key as Correia cannot be expected to go deep. Also with value are the Cubs, Yankees and Rangers?a tiny bit of value a few other places.
Totals really burned me yesterday so I might chillax on them for Saturday.
Already on the Colorado and Tampa games under, however.
Will post what's played. Might make the grade.
GL
yesterday: 4-5 -0.47
August: 166-134 +79.29
ml 70-41 +49.38
rl 8-8 -0.36
totals 37-25 +10.13
parlays & IFs 51-60 +20.14
system picks 2-0 yesterday; 41-19 in August (68%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-3 yesterday; 46-32 in August (59%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Mets 68% (-153)+7 RL 52 (+144)+11
pitt 52 (+106)+3
Phil 59 (-124)+3
Cin 51 (-108)-1
atl 64 (-130)+7
Col 56 (-140)-3
mil 63 (-123)+7
cubs 58 (-114)+4
Cws 51 (+112)+3
min 60 (-140)+1 (Garza-Burres)
nyy 64 (-144)+4 RL 50 (+110)+2
clev 55 (-134)-3
Tb 57 (-120)+2
Tex 52 (+124)+7
tor 56 (+123)+11
system totals
lad@Mets un9 68% (-115)+14 --Schrieber is a major over-ump; kills this one
pitt@Hou ov9.5 68 (-110)+15 --ump Timmons is even
fla@Cin ov11 66 (-103)+15 --ump Fairchild is even
wash@Col un10 70 (-105)+18 --Everitt is a bit of an UNDER-ump (8-17 this year)
min@Balt un9.5 71 (-115)+17 --Cuzzi is a good UNDER-ump
oak@Tb un8.5 71 (-105)+19 --Runge is a bit of an UNDER-lean
seat@Tex ov11.5 74 (+100)+24 --Joyce is an acceptable OVER-ump
That friggin' last second TV play (Jays) cost me my winning streak. Oh well; got some real burns (Cordero in the 9th killing my big under) and some decent breaks (Pirates finally pulling it out in extras) so I guess things balanced out. 3-1 on the moneyline picking up 5u but a dreadful 1-4 on totals dropping the same. Good new is system sides went either 13-3 (Yanks lose) or 14-2 (they win) on Friday and system pick's 2-0 yesterday makes them 7-0 over the past 4 days. Nothing matters but the weekend?from a Tuesday point of view. Light a candle in the kitchen?feel the steam begin to brew. Switchin' to Glide!
Mets, Braves, Brewers and Blue Jays are system picks for Saturday. I pulled another all-dayer so I can muster little argument at this point in time; Mets and Jays both facing the much preferred lefty and have the better SPs going. Braves have the better SP going as well and also have the edge at the plate, as is true with all system picks today. Brewers have the edge at SP and bullpen, the latter of which should be key as Correia cannot be expected to go deep. Also with value are the Cubs, Yankees and Rangers?a tiny bit of value a few other places.
Totals really burned me yesterday so I might chillax on them for Saturday.
Already on the Colorado and Tampa games under, however.
Will post what's played. Might make the grade.
GL
