Saturday June 16th

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Saturday June 16th 2007

yesterday: 8-15 -7.24
June: 97-102 -15.93
ml 42-36 -10.48
rl 8-10 -7.87
totals 39-28 +16.71
parlays 8-28 -14.29

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Cubs 51% (-110)-2
Nyy 52 (-132)-5
Tor 70 (-191)+4 RL 56 (+111)+8
det 66 (-102)+15
Bost 56 (-184)-9 sf 44 (+176)+7
Lad 51 (-104)even
ariz 58 (Johnson-Burres)
atl 58 (-104)+7
Pitt 55 (+121)+9
seat 53 (-111)even
fla 52 (+110)+4
Min 59 (-131)+2
Cin 64 (-178)-1
Col 57 (-125)+1
Oak 70 (-169)+7 RL 55 (+125)+10

system totals

sd@Cubs un7? 66% (n/a) --ump Everitt is even
sf@Bost un9 65 (-110)+12 --ump Reliford is even
laa@Lad un8 70 (+100)+20 --ump Foster is even
atl@Clev ov9 67 (-120)+12 --ump Poncino is even
cws@Pitt un9 70 (-114)+16 --ump Cooper is even
seat@Hou ov9.5 76 (+105)+27 --ump Danley is even
fla@Kc ov10.5 66 (+105)+17 --ump Layne is even
mil@Min ov9 73 (+103)+23 --Cuzzi a bit of an under-ump but 10-4 OVERS this year
tb@Col ov10 70 (-105)+18 --ump Hernandez is even
stl@Oak un9 65 (-104)+14 --ump Reynolds is even


Lots of system totals today. They're 37-18 in June; my only saving grace this month.
I'm already on the Jays, Tigers and Braves.
Will post picks once finalized.
GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

I can't forget you or your surprise

I can't forget you or your surprise

PLAYS

padres +107 1/1.07
Blue Jays -191 3.82/2
tigers -102 3.06/3
braves -104 1.24/1.2
Reds -1.5 +116 0.8/0.93
Rockies -125 1/0.8
A's -1.5 +134 0.9/1.21

sf@Bost un9 -110 0.55/0.5
laa@Lad un8 +110 0.71/0.79
cws@Pitt un9 -115 0.59/0.51
seat@Hou ov9.5 +105 0.5/0.52
mil@Min ov9 +103 0.74/0.76

6-teamer
--Blue Jays ml
--tigers ml
--braves ml
--Reds ml
--Rockies ml
--A's ml
+2618
0.49/13


That's a wrap for today.
GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

you can file this

you can file this

under the category of

:mj11:

but here's the

return on investment breakdown for my 6-teamer
----------------------------------------------------------------------
(just to get an idea of what it looks like for a long-shot parlay)

--Jays 70%
--tigers 66%
--braves 58%
--Reds 64%
--Rockies 57%
--A's 70%
gives a 6.84% chance to hit the parlay...
...going to give it 7%, for purposes here

7% (+2618)+3 Value Indicator as you need to hit 3.67% (call it 4%) of your +2618 plays to break even

7 x 26.18 = 183.26
93 x -1.....= -93
------------------------------
..................90.26%

That's pretty high.
I guess it's high because 7% is pretty low.

GL on that one, aye?

Oh well...gimme Jays and Tigers and I should survive the day.

Any votes as to which of these two will lose and really screw up my day?
:shrug:
Both, maybe?
:scared
I sure hope not.
:com:
Let's Go Blue Jays Let's Go!
:00hour
Go Tigers!
:00hour
Go Get Some Sleep!
:com:
:142smilie
:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

better still...

better still...

here's the

return on investment breakdown for super-bargain Tigers
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(was this one your vote?)

tigers 66% (-102)+15

-102 pays 98 cents on the dollar

66 x 0.98 = 64.68
34 x -1.....= -34
----------------------------
..................30.68%

That's outstanding.

Hope the kid's got game, today.
:00hour

:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

one more

one more

then I promise I'll be quiet

return on investment breakdown for Blue Jays
---------------------------------------------------------------------

70% (-191)+4

-191 is 52.3 cents on the dollar

70 x 0.523 = 36.61
30 x -1.......= -30
-----------------------------
......................6.61%

Not so hot. Too expensive.
+4 Value Indicator doesn't even make it a system pick.

Maybe I should have played the runline...

RL 56% (+111)+8

56 x 1.11 = 62.16
44 x -1.....= -44
------------------------------
...................18.16%

Much better ROI there, by
11.55/6.61%
174.7%

Risk is 44% instead of 30 or
14/30%
46.6% greater risk.

Would have been a fine trade-off, had I gone that route (or if you choose to).
Runlines are killing me, though, so I didn't want to have one of my key games as a runline.

Everything is killing me lately.

I didn't live yesterday.

Maybe today, I just can't say.

:SIB

 

[Canucksfan]

Keep up the good work! I appreciate all the efort you put in...been following you very closely...dang Indians cost me a HUGE day yesterday. Oh well...let's get the man today. GL!

 

[ESPNTED]

YES, I 2ND ON THAT TOO!! GOOD JOB ON THESE INFO EX. DOING A GREAT JOB! REALLY HELPFUL! THANKS

 

[Jaxx]

Like detroit and the price.
GL