overall posted record 65-57, not much else to say about that. lot of plays today, maybe we'll break out.
ut st/troy st under 56 *double play*: one of the best totals i've seen all year. troy state has solid d, 6th ranked in the country, though numbers are a little inflated by virtue of playing four div i-aa schools at home. key factor here is that troy offense is horrendous. offensive coordinator was fired three weeks ago, a victim of no-hudddle offense installed this year that was miserable failure. new oc completely changed offensive scheme in midseason with more traditional offense, completely new terminology, the whole shebang. result has been confusion. big picture is that trojans have failed to reach 200 yards total offense in four of last five. they did manage 24 points vs div 1-aa fla a&m last week, but 10 points was scored by the defense. utah state has no rushing game at all, and will be forced to throw the ball today in rainy/wet field conditions. ut state has decent offensive numbers for the year, but against only three teams with decent d they played this year - iowa, nebraska and utah - they scored a grand total of 23 points. i cannot fathom either team breaking 30 today. (btw, at least double plays are 3-1 this year).
ut state +7-: see above notes on troy st offense, and ponder with me how such a team could lay more than a td. troy state still riding the public perception of last year's 7-4 team and early decent showing against overrated nebraska, but this year are 0-7 against div 1-a teams. 4-0 home record all vs div 1-aa teams. ut state winless on the road, but have improved over the season, with last four games all playing within 3 points. low scoring game projected above should make these points all the more valuable.
duke +17: before you laugh at the ol' loophole, answer this question for me: who has the leading rush defense in the acc? if you said the duke blue devils, go to the head of the class. having watched the trials and tribulations of the ga tech offense since hollings went out, and coupled with my generally low opinion of chan gailey's offensive prowess, i say this is too many points.
mtsu -15-: mtsu the early cofavorite to win the c-usa before injuries and brutal early road schedule (7 of first 9 games) took their toll on the blue raiders, who come home to the first of a three game home stand to close the season. raider qb andrico hines returns today from injury along with some other key players to fill out a raider squad that has huge athleticism and speed advantage over ul-m. monroes's woes are well heralded, 1-7 ats this year, 0-5 on the road and 8-49 on the road since joining div 1 in 1994.
uab +4: have watched all week as this line moved 5 points in uab's favor with no reason -opening line was about right imo opinion, and i still liked uab at that price. this game has great significance for both teams. difference i believe is that uab a senior laden club while pirates are young, and uab has a decent defense and ecu does not. very telling pirate stat has defensive secondary with three of top four tackle totals on the team. line has inflated imo because of pirate rally against defenseless houston. different story today.
wyoming +12: a little leery of this game due to all the team turmoil in laramie, but it's been there all season and wyoming has still covered the last five. utah last road win was @ utah state in august - don't see a dd line.
boise st -28 and over 71: here's a little hedge of sorts i picked up from a capper i respect at another board. while the numbers may make you gag, here's the angle. la tech, 0-6 s/u and ats away this year, allowing 38 ppg and 442 ypg on the road this year. boise state offense averages 48 ppg overall and 55 ppg on the blue carpet. in order to lose both ways on this play, la tech would have to hold boise below their home average. that just doesn't appear too dam* likely to me. looks like a basicly free shot at both ways to me (famous last words).
fla st -32: fat chalk ain't my game, but i'll make an exception here. last year, a much different carolina team put a 41-9 pasting on the then 6th ranked seminoles in chapel hill, going out of their way to run it up late in the game. it was bowden's worst loss in 16 years. to point out the obvious, heels are now cannon fodder. in a season of disappointment, this game has been circled more than any other on the seminole calender, even more than the hated gators. as bowden has said, " i would hope that last year's score would have a bearing on this game." payback is a bitch.
cal -17: i know, i know, this game has stay away written all over it, but i can't help myself. am i to believe a football team that, three days ago, stated en mass that they would not board the plane this week if mackovic was still coach will now somehow pull together for a credible team effort, something they haven't done in weeks?, i just don't see it.
oregon -7: wash is basicly done for the season and has washington state on tap next weekend. great spot for an oregon team with superior talent and superior motivation.
sc +15: lou's been tinkering with the defense and special teams this week. i think he's up to something.
gl today whatever you play.
ut st/troy st under 56 *double play*: one of the best totals i've seen all year. troy state has solid d, 6th ranked in the country, though numbers are a little inflated by virtue of playing four div i-aa schools at home. key factor here is that troy offense is horrendous. offensive coordinator was fired three weeks ago, a victim of no-hudddle offense installed this year that was miserable failure. new oc completely changed offensive scheme in midseason with more traditional offense, completely new terminology, the whole shebang. result has been confusion. big picture is that trojans have failed to reach 200 yards total offense in four of last five. they did manage 24 points vs div 1-aa fla a&m last week, but 10 points was scored by the defense. utah state has no rushing game at all, and will be forced to throw the ball today in rainy/wet field conditions. ut state has decent offensive numbers for the year, but against only three teams with decent d they played this year - iowa, nebraska and utah - they scored a grand total of 23 points. i cannot fathom either team breaking 30 today. (btw, at least double plays are 3-1 this year).
ut state +7-: see above notes on troy st offense, and ponder with me how such a team could lay more than a td. troy state still riding the public perception of last year's 7-4 team and early decent showing against overrated nebraska, but this year are 0-7 against div 1-a teams. 4-0 home record all vs div 1-aa teams. ut state winless on the road, but have improved over the season, with last four games all playing within 3 points. low scoring game projected above should make these points all the more valuable.
duke +17: before you laugh at the ol' loophole, answer this question for me: who has the leading rush defense in the acc? if you said the duke blue devils, go to the head of the class. having watched the trials and tribulations of the ga tech offense since hollings went out, and coupled with my generally low opinion of chan gailey's offensive prowess, i say this is too many points.
mtsu -15-: mtsu the early cofavorite to win the c-usa before injuries and brutal early road schedule (7 of first 9 games) took their toll on the blue raiders, who come home to the first of a three game home stand to close the season. raider qb andrico hines returns today from injury along with some other key players to fill out a raider squad that has huge athleticism and speed advantage over ul-m. monroes's woes are well heralded, 1-7 ats this year, 0-5 on the road and 8-49 on the road since joining div 1 in 1994.
uab +4: have watched all week as this line moved 5 points in uab's favor with no reason -opening line was about right imo opinion, and i still liked uab at that price. this game has great significance for both teams. difference i believe is that uab a senior laden club while pirates are young, and uab has a decent defense and ecu does not. very telling pirate stat has defensive secondary with three of top four tackle totals on the team. line has inflated imo because of pirate rally against defenseless houston. different story today.
wyoming +12: a little leery of this game due to all the team turmoil in laramie, but it's been there all season and wyoming has still covered the last five. utah last road win was @ utah state in august - don't see a dd line.
boise st -28 and over 71: here's a little hedge of sorts i picked up from a capper i respect at another board. while the numbers may make you gag, here's the angle. la tech, 0-6 s/u and ats away this year, allowing 38 ppg and 442 ypg on the road this year. boise state offense averages 48 ppg overall and 55 ppg on the blue carpet. in order to lose both ways on this play, la tech would have to hold boise below their home average. that just doesn't appear too dam* likely to me. looks like a basicly free shot at both ways to me (famous last words).
fla st -32: fat chalk ain't my game, but i'll make an exception here. last year, a much different carolina team put a 41-9 pasting on the then 6th ranked seminoles in chapel hill, going out of their way to run it up late in the game. it was bowden's worst loss in 16 years. to point out the obvious, heels are now cannon fodder. in a season of disappointment, this game has been circled more than any other on the seminole calender, even more than the hated gators. as bowden has said, " i would hope that last year's score would have a bearing on this game." payback is a bitch.
cal -17: i know, i know, this game has stay away written all over it, but i can't help myself. am i to believe a football team that, three days ago, stated en mass that they would not board the plane this week if mackovic was still coach will now somehow pull together for a credible team effort, something they haven't done in weeks?, i just don't see it.
oregon -7: wash is basicly done for the season and has washington state on tap next weekend. great spot for an oregon team with superior talent and superior motivation.
sc +15: lou's been tinkering with the defense and special teams this week. i think he's up to something.
gl today whatever you play.
