Not going to be shy... just playing smaller than most... nice 4-2 start to the season, but should have been better except Baylor reaks & Miami, Ohio is a disaster. Won't play anything over 3* early as I have to see teams play before going bigger. Never could take two favorites like tonight in the past (Rice & Temple) but learning to lay chalk when it makes sense.
Okie State -6.5 (-120) for 3* - Game looks like a mismatch IMO... WASU should finish 8th to 10th in Pac 10 and have major QB issues after Brink graduating. Okie State should be solid as their OL shoud dominate and Zach can play QB. WASU still playing a long ways from home (Seattle isn't close to campus if you look on a map).
Syracuse +11 for 3* - I believe the Big 10 will be down and Northworstern has been terrible ATS recently as chalk. I'm not a big trend guy, but the Mildcats don't tackle well and will have problems extending the margin of victory. I hope Syracuse has improved and expect this game to be within double digits.
Pitt -13 for 3* - Don't love this play, but game is on National TV. Pitt should be MUCH improved and BG still plays in the MAC which is Midget America Conference... expect a 37-17 win or possibly worse. BG is a less than physical team who should get manhandled on the line of scrimmage.
East Carolina +9 for 3* - Glennon is a loser IMO and ECU gave Va Tech all they wanted @ Blacksburgh last year... ECU is playing in Charlotte and Skip Holtz is 26-11 ATS since he began coaching at ECU. The Pirates have the talent to take this game to the wire IMO and SU Win won't shock anyone especially with Glennon playing QB.
Florida -34 for 2* - Too many points to go bigger, but Florida should crush Hawaii 52-10 or maybe worse. Hawaii doesn't resemble their team from last year that got beaten like a drumstick by Georgia... this game should be a woodshed... how many time zones is Hawaii traveling to play this game @ 6:30 AM or maybe earlier Hawaii time??? Can't go bigger as Florida will probably have their 2nd & 3rd stringers playing after half.
Missouri -9 for 3* - I believe the Tigers could go undefeated through the regular season. Their toughest game is probably Texas in Austin and teh Horns appear down a few notches from normal. Chase Daniel and Macklin are Heisman candidates IMO & MU's defense appears MUCH improved. I expect a 2 to 3 TD win by MU and I don't expect them to let up like last year if they get a nice lead.
LSU -19 for 3* - Okay, I know Appy State's QB, Armanti Edwards is faster than anyone except for LSU's 5-5 RB (name escapes me). LSU is way too big on the line of scrimmage to make this a game plus this line is 27 @ Bet US... my offshore has a nice line on this game and I expect a 41-14 butt kicking. If Appy State plays this game close, I'll feel dumb... however, a woodshed seems in order.
Will add more plays as the day progresses... like to play a lot of plays for average money rather than pick a few and bet big. It's still early and I'm backing a lot of chalk with 5 favorites & 2 Doggies. Have more dogs later in the day. Chalk is 6-2 ATS to start the season & favorites typically role early in the year for the first couple weeks.
GLTA
Okie State -6.5 (-120) for 3* - Game looks like a mismatch IMO... WASU should finish 8th to 10th in Pac 10 and have major QB issues after Brink graduating. Okie State should be solid as their OL shoud dominate and Zach can play QB. WASU still playing a long ways from home (Seattle isn't close to campus if you look on a map).
Syracuse +11 for 3* - I believe the Big 10 will be down and Northworstern has been terrible ATS recently as chalk. I'm not a big trend guy, but the Mildcats don't tackle well and will have problems extending the margin of victory. I hope Syracuse has improved and expect this game to be within double digits.
Pitt -13 for 3* - Don't love this play, but game is on National TV. Pitt should be MUCH improved and BG still plays in the MAC which is Midget America Conference... expect a 37-17 win or possibly worse. BG is a less than physical team who should get manhandled on the line of scrimmage.
East Carolina +9 for 3* - Glennon is a loser IMO and ECU gave Va Tech all they wanted @ Blacksburgh last year... ECU is playing in Charlotte and Skip Holtz is 26-11 ATS since he began coaching at ECU. The Pirates have the talent to take this game to the wire IMO and SU Win won't shock anyone especially with Glennon playing QB.
Florida -34 for 2* - Too many points to go bigger, but Florida should crush Hawaii 52-10 or maybe worse. Hawaii doesn't resemble their team from last year that got beaten like a drumstick by Georgia... this game should be a woodshed... how many time zones is Hawaii traveling to play this game @ 6:30 AM or maybe earlier Hawaii time??? Can't go bigger as Florida will probably have their 2nd & 3rd stringers playing after half.
Missouri -9 for 3* - I believe the Tigers could go undefeated through the regular season. Their toughest game is probably Texas in Austin and teh Horns appear down a few notches from normal. Chase Daniel and Macklin are Heisman candidates IMO & MU's defense appears MUCH improved. I expect a 2 to 3 TD win by MU and I don't expect them to let up like last year if they get a nice lead.
LSU -19 for 3* - Okay, I know Appy State's QB, Armanti Edwards is faster than anyone except for LSU's 5-5 RB (name escapes me). LSU is way too big on the line of scrimmage to make this a game plus this line is 27 @ Bet US... my offshore has a nice line on this game and I expect a 41-14 butt kicking. If Appy State plays this game close, I'll feel dumb... however, a woodshed seems in order.
Will add more plays as the day progresses... like to play a lot of plays for average money rather than pick a few and bet big. It's still early and I'm backing a lot of chalk with 5 favorites & 2 Doggies. Have more dogs later in the day. Chalk is 6-2 ATS to start the season & favorites typically role early in the year for the first couple weeks.
GLTA
