Saturday Plays

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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can't believe we're getting close to the end of the season already. way too many games today. gonna try to narrow it down a little.

ball st (+7) 1 unit. last year, indiana needed a 4th quarter fg to beat ball state 24-23. this year, the cardinals are 5-0 ATS on the road and 4-0 ATS as a dog. indiana is between 2 conference games. close game here.

arkansas (-5.5) 1 unit. i was kinda surprised to see south carolina's run defense is 74th in the country, allowing 169 yds/game. to put that in perspective, they are tied with buffalo and one spot ahead of duke. hogs should run wild today.*

kansas (-20) 2 units. no reason to think kansas' streak ends today. 7-0 ATS so far, and should be 8-0 at the end of the day. their 14th ranked rush offense gets to take on nebraska's 119th ranked rush defense. i'll say that again. nebraska's 119th ranked rush defense. :scared wow. never thought i'd see the day. anyways, nebraska put everything they had into last week's game against a week texas team, and still fell just short. kansas should be able to run all day long. they even have the revenge angle on their side, as they lost in OT at nebraska last year, despite 10 more first downs and a 7-minute edge in time of possession.

navy (+3) 1 unit. sure, navy gave up 59 to delaware last week in a 7-point loss. but you know what? delaware's offense is BETTER than notre dame's. they average 39.5 per game. could nd do that, even against a D1-AA schedule? probably not. nd's rush defense is 93rd in the country, allowing 192 yards per game. the midshipmen break the streak today.

arizona st (+8) 1 unit. can oregon play another flawless game 2 weeks in a row? i have to believe there will be some letdown.

oklahoma st (+3) 2 units. absolutely love this game, but i just have a bad feeling in the back of my head. otherwise this would be a 3-unit play. texas is simply not that good. i look for a big effort from the cowboys as they get the win here.

missouri (-4) 1 unit. i think the tigers will get back to their covering ways, as they are 6-1 ATS.

boston college (-7) 1 unit. i'm hearing a lot of talk on espn about an upset alert here. have any of these people SEEN florida state this year? THEY ARE NOT GOOD. florida state's 92nd ranked rushing game will go nowhere, forcing weatherford to throw. bc is tied for the lead with 18 INTs. they'll get a few more today.

* i am contractually obligated to use that expression when referring to arkansas football
 

Morris

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Like that Ark call may tail you on that one GL today!!

Fla St played a flawless game last week. Opps against Duke , nevermind! :142smilie
 

Box and one

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Smitty..like the arkansas play..Mcfadden and jones are tough....ahhh Navy...no way..lol...ND can't wait to see this defense...hopefully Nd's defense can stop Navy...GL...today..
 

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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thanks, guys. go hogs!

box, the biggest concern for me is navy's qb. if that kid with the ridiculous hawaiin/samoan name is healthy (and i think he played most of the game last week, so that's encouraging), i see navy running up and down the field at will. who knows? i've been wrong once or twice before. :)
 
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