Saturday Selections

[JT Sneaks]

Yesterday's Recap....

D-Backs -1.5 (E) W

Cincy +190 W

Tigers +150 L

Cincy +1.5 (E) W


Been on the positive side the last five out of six days and with a huge card today things are looking good. Back with early games shortly....


JT

Sneaks

 

[JT Sneaks]

Cleveland @ Yankees

Going to take a pass on what should be a good one. The Indians have the edge as lofton coming back is a huge boost for this club on the offensive side, but with clemens being the Indian killer he is, I couldn't touch it. The total was another pass as I liked the over, but Colon pitches much better on the road than at home, and Clemens again is a Indian killer.

Cincy @ St. Louis

There is no way I am going to drop 2 to 1 on this cardnial team right now, as they cannot hit the ball of late.

Morris has pitched well for the cards as he is 2-1, but the team has alo provided him with some very good run support at about seven runs a game. With no hitting from the red birds don't expect that sam kind of support today. He is only 1-2 against the reds.

Reith is the exact opposite although he is 0-3 in his last three starts he has gotten no run support, as the team averages giving him about 1.33 runs per game. Yesterday the reds juggled the lineup to get more runs and that is exactly what they got. One of those three losses was to the cardinals 2-0.

Foster gets the call behind the plate and the home team is 5-5 in his last ten starts and over the last four years the home team is 41-50. It gets worse for cardinal backers as with foster behind the plate if the home favorite was favored by -185 or higher that home team is just 5-6, not even close to a profit.

The reds got just what they needed to break a slump playing a tem that is just starting a slump, and playing a team that they play well against.

Reds are 31-21 ( +11.9 units) versus the cards since '96
Reds are 15-10 ( +8 units) at St. Louis since '96.
The reds as a road dog in the last three seasons are an outstanding 72-46, plus 37 units!

Cincinnati Reds +210

I also have a play on the total in this game, back in a few.....

JT

Sneaks

 

[jmizeus]

agree JT with the red's pick if i was going w/this one it would be w/the red's right now can't pull the trigger!but if ya had to play it think red's r the side.

gl

 

[JT Sneaks]

Reds @ Cardinals -210 8.5O15

The worry for the total is mother nature as the wind is blowing straight out of this ballpark at 20mphs, and the number is at 3/1 o/u when this happens.

However that is the only arguement you can post for the over.

The pitchers have both pitched well of late and against the other team.....

Morris
Has seen the under come in four out of his last six starts and all three games he has pitched against the reds. His last three home starts have also gone under the number.ERA at home is a low 1.05 with the o/u at 1/5

Reith
As I mentioned before has pitched well this year all three of his starts going under the number, to include one meeting with St. Louis
In day games his era is very low at 1.59

Behind the Plate

Foster has the o/u at 3/6 and is averaging 8.00 runs per game, put him up against the 8.5 and and the o/u is 4/6

Hitting
Forget about it. Neither team is displaying an offense in the last couple of games.In the last ten the reds have the O/U at 2/6 with two pushes. In the two overs the other team put up alot of runs as th bullpen collapsed. However in the last three the bullpen has an era of under two.

St. Louis is just as bad.In the last six the O/u is 1/5, and in the current four game slide the cards have just managed to plate four runs. Yep Averaging one run per game..

Trends

Reds
0-10 o/u last 10 road games
3-16-4 o/u last 23 games
0-4 o/u on road on Saturday this season
0-7-2 o/u on Saturday this season
In a road game where the total is 8.5 or less in the last three years the O/U is 10/22
Cards
3-11 o/u @ home in June since 2000

UNDER 8.5 -105


JT

Sneaks

 

[JT Sneaks]

Big Mac sitting out today's game...

 

[JT Sneaks]

Well with eight runs off six hits in the first two innings in the cards / reds matchup, I digress and move on to the four o'clock games....

Boston @ Toronto

Not touching the total in this one as the jays bullpen has been down right awful posting an era over 7 in the last three games, but when you are watching Wakefield pitch you never know what you are going to get. He has pitched great in his last three games posting a minute WHIP at 0.92. However the knuckle ball can look juicy to certain hitters.

However the side on this looks as though it has some value in it. The sox have won three staright from the jays and four out of the five they have played this year. These two teams are going in opposite directions as the sox have won four out of the last five overall and the jays have lost five out of the last six. The skydome has been anything but comfy for the jays as they have lost the last ten out of twelve at home. The jays are 1-5 in day games, and the sox play well in their own division at 18-10.

With the bullpen pitching horrid of late the jays will need a good outing from hamilton, and in my opinion he is plain horrible the jays are 2-6 in his last eight starts, and the last time he faced the sox they beat him 8-0.

Dale Scott is behind the plate and he is not a homer as a home underdog between +100 and +130 is 11-19 in the last four years.

The jays are finding ways to lose and I think they find another way today.

Boston Red Sox -120

JT

Sneaks

The reds / cards game is already over the total.....damn long ball, but the chicks do dig it

[This message has been edited by JT Sneaks (edited 06-02-2001).]

 

[JT Sneaks]

adding

Baltimore +1.5
San Fran +125


Wish everyone a profitable afternoon...

JT

Sneaks

 

[JT Sneaks]

Minnesota -130 @ Texas 10U15

Pitching:
Radke goes tonight for the twins, and so far this year he has been stellar as the team is 10-1 this year when he gets the start. However in his last couple of starts he has been hittable. In his last three starts opponents are batting .295 against him, and his era is over five. If not for the twins run support, over eight runs a game, the team may not have won. Tonight he pitches against Texas where he has not fared well in the past his team losing seven out of the last eight times.

Radke Trends:
4-12 in June since 98
1-7 vs Texas since 97
6-30-2 o/u on road since 99
2-8-1 o/u in June since 99
2-5-1 o/u @ Texas since 95


He goes against Kenny Rogers for Texas who has turned things around as of late. In his last three starts the team has won all three and he has a 2-0 record in those starts. Facing the twins should help him keep his streak in tact as his team has won five out of the last six times he has faced them.

Roger Trends:
3-0 last 3 starts
5-0 @ home vs Minnesota since 95
2-0 o/u last 2 home starts
0-2 o/u last 2 starts
0-5 o/u @ home vs Minnesota since 95


The hitting dept. finds the twins having a struggle against southpaws hitting only .238 in the last ten. Out of the entire twins lineup there is only one batter that hits over .250 vs. Rogers.
the texas lineup is hitting the ball very well, and although A-Rod struggles against Radke some of the other Rangers hit him and hit him well.

Greer .414
Palmerio .324
I. Rod .342

Trends:

Twins: 4-10 @ Texas last 14 games
5-16 in 5th game of a road trip last 21 times

Rangers: 16-9 last 3 seasons vs. minnesota
9-4 last 3 vs. minn at Texas

Charlie Reliford behind the plate has home dogs between +115 - +130 at W/L 10-6


Texas Rangers +120