Saturday September 15th 2007
yesterday: 5-6 -3.34
September: 99-99 +3.49
ml 43-38 +0.49
rl 2-5 -6.88
totals 34-21 +9.34
parlays & IFs 20-35 +0.54
system picks 0-3 yesterday; 22-25 in September (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-1 yesterday; 32-16 in September (666%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Mets 62% (-155)+1
(1)cubs 54 (-110)+1
Hou 54 (-145)-6
Wash 52 (+100)+2
Mil 58 (-165)-5
Col 72 (-146)+12 RL 58 (+135)+15
sf 64 (-110)+11
Lad 59 (-152)-2
Tor 78 (-252)+6 RL 65 (-116)+11
nyy 56 (-128)-1
Oak 64 (-153)+3
laa 54 (-130)-3
Clev 61 (-191)-5
Min 60 (-184)-5
tb 65 (-111)+12 RL 50 (+145)+9
(2)cubs 58 (-105)+6
system totals
pitt@Hou ov9.5 64% (+100)+14 --Darling is an under-ump; kills this one
cin@Mil ov10 69 (-118)+14 --DiMuro a slight under-ump; whole crew
fla@Col ov11 69 (-103)+18 --ump Guccione is even
sf@Sd un8 68 (-101)+17 --ump Nauert is even
tex@Oak un9 66 (+111)+18 --Marquez a slight over-lean; kills this one
Slept in until 3 am this Saturday morning. Wasn't too impressed when I checked out the scores; hit all 3 of my extra picks but missed all 3 of the system picks?D'Rays doesn't surprise me but either one of the Mets or the Jays?who seemed likely winners?and I turn a plus on the day. Hit my lone total as system totals are keeping me out of the red for September; this has been one very tough month.
System picks for Saturday are the Rockies, the Giants and (gasp) the Devil Rays. Rockies Jimenez is going to be a superb starter for years to come, by my early assessments, while Marlins' Mitre has really been stinking up the mound over his past 5 starts; Rockies will hold their own with the sticks and I think the home squad should take this one rather easily; considering part of my action on the runline as the Rockies, for several years now, win most of their games by multiple runs?if they win at all. Tomko has essentially become fade material and faces a very strong Cain here, who's had his way the Padsticks in the past; this is a very conservative call as I reduced it quite a bit due to them (thankfully) dropping the series opener; still, they kept it close against Young, Bonds should be playing as it's a night game, and I just believe that Tomko is a strong go-against right now; not going mental on this one but it looks good. D'Rays?corksuckers?should be able to easily take this one with Kazmir facing Ramirez?no excuses?no bullpen fvckups this time, boys?hopefully Kazmir can last at least 8 for me as I have to try it; M's are best against lefties, but so are the D'Rays (D'Rays OPS vs L .816 while M's vs L is .810; 'Rays more productive, though, at a run for every 6.4 AB's to the M's a run every 6.6 AB's; M's hitting .320 last 10 vs L (Braden,Robertson) while D'Rays hitting .363 last 10 vs L (Lester,Birkins)()()). Blue Jays will be a system pick when it opens but we'll be looking at near -200 so I'll be looking at the runline; Jays drop this one and I think I pass on them the rest of the way?I have been saying to fade them, haven't I? (along with Cards and a couple others)?guess I'm not listening to myself as I'm a fan, or some lame excuse like that?.sigh?
Cubs with a chance to take both games, though I'd be a bit surprised if the Cards lost both ends; I may just spectate for those ones.
None of the totals listed interest me at all. I might not play any totals for Saturday, but will do a quick (hopefully) look at team totals.
Will post all plays.
This losing does suck.
For better days.
Just needing some luck.
GL
yesterday: 5-6 -3.34
September: 99-99 +3.49
ml 43-38 +0.49
rl 2-5 -6.88
totals 34-21 +9.34
parlays & IFs 20-35 +0.54
system picks 0-3 yesterday; 22-25 in September (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-1 yesterday; 32-16 in September (666%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Mets 62% (-155)+1
(1)cubs 54 (-110)+1
Hou 54 (-145)-6
Wash 52 (+100)+2
Mil 58 (-165)-5
Col 72 (-146)+12 RL 58 (+135)+15
sf 64 (-110)+11
Lad 59 (-152)-2
Tor 78 (-252)+6 RL 65 (-116)+11
nyy 56 (-128)-1
Oak 64 (-153)+3
laa 54 (-130)-3
Clev 61 (-191)-5
Min 60 (-184)-5
tb 65 (-111)+12 RL 50 (+145)+9
(2)cubs 58 (-105)+6
system totals
pitt@Hou ov9.5 64% (+100)+14 --Darling is an under-ump; kills this one
cin@Mil ov10 69 (-118)+14 --DiMuro a slight under-ump; whole crew
fla@Col ov11 69 (-103)+18 --ump Guccione is even
sf@Sd un8 68 (-101)+17 --ump Nauert is even
tex@Oak un9 66 (+111)+18 --Marquez a slight over-lean; kills this one
Slept in until 3 am this Saturday morning. Wasn't too impressed when I checked out the scores; hit all 3 of my extra picks but missed all 3 of the system picks?D'Rays doesn't surprise me but either one of the Mets or the Jays?who seemed likely winners?and I turn a plus on the day. Hit my lone total as system totals are keeping me out of the red for September; this has been one very tough month.
System picks for Saturday are the Rockies, the Giants and (gasp) the Devil Rays. Rockies Jimenez is going to be a superb starter for years to come, by my early assessments, while Marlins' Mitre has really been stinking up the mound over his past 5 starts; Rockies will hold their own with the sticks and I think the home squad should take this one rather easily; considering part of my action on the runline as the Rockies, for several years now, win most of their games by multiple runs?if they win at all. Tomko has essentially become fade material and faces a very strong Cain here, who's had his way the Padsticks in the past; this is a very conservative call as I reduced it quite a bit due to them (thankfully) dropping the series opener; still, they kept it close against Young, Bonds should be playing as it's a night game, and I just believe that Tomko is a strong go-against right now; not going mental on this one but it looks good. D'Rays?corksuckers?should be able to easily take this one with Kazmir facing Ramirez?no excuses?no bullpen fvckups this time, boys?hopefully Kazmir can last at least 8 for me as I have to try it; M's are best against lefties, but so are the D'Rays (D'Rays OPS vs L .816 while M's vs L is .810; 'Rays more productive, though, at a run for every 6.4 AB's to the M's a run every 6.6 AB's; M's hitting .320 last 10 vs L (Braden,Robertson) while D'Rays hitting .363 last 10 vs L (Lester,Birkins)()()). Blue Jays will be a system pick when it opens but we'll be looking at near -200 so I'll be looking at the runline; Jays drop this one and I think I pass on them the rest of the way?I have been saying to fade them, haven't I? (along with Cards and a couple others)?guess I'm not listening to myself as I'm a fan, or some lame excuse like that?.sigh?
Cubs with a chance to take both games, though I'd be a bit surprised if the Cards lost both ends; I may just spectate for those ones.
None of the totals listed interest me at all. I might not play any totals for Saturday, but will do a quick (hopefully) look at team totals.
Will post all plays.
This losing does suck.
For better days.
Just needing some luck.
GL
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