Saturday September 1st 2007
yesterday: down about 5 units
2007: up will update later
August: finished up about 75 units, so my best month of '07
ml $$$$$
rl 0
totals $
parlays & IFs $$
system picks 5-3 yesterday; were 59-28 in August (67.8%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 3-1 yesterday; were 58-41 in August (58.6%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Cubs 54% (-166)-9 hou 46 (+158)+7
mets 52 (Pelfrey-James)
phil 64 (-125)+8
Wash 54 (Hanrahan-Sanchez)
Mil 72 (-156)+11 RL 57 (+134)+14
Stl 64 (-215)-5
col 58 (-109)+5
Sd 66 (-150)+6
Min 68 (-157)+6 RL 53 (+132)+9
Nyy 67 (-220)-2 RL 53 (-109)even
Tor 62 (-130)+5
Laa 77 (-255)+5 RL 63 (-118)+8
det 61 (+104)+11
Bost 68 (Bucholz-Olson)
Clev 61 (-148)+1
system totals
pitt@Mil ov9.5 71 (+104)+21 --Cousins is an acceptable OVER-ump
lad@Sd un7 78 (-130)+21 --ump Iassogna is even
kc@Min ov9 65 (-105)+13 --ump Tschida is even
det@Oak un8 71 (-110)+18 --ump Darling is even
Paid the price yesterday for playing heavy juice all over the place; hurt me on my straights and my parlays. Just needed one run by the Yanks in the 9th to secure the over, with the heart of the order coming up, but Torre pinch-hits for both Jeter and Rodriguez which kinda spoiled that. Garza call was the only one that really burned my ass?Twins take the second, easily, 5-0, which I figure was a more likely score for the opener. Not much I can do but try to end another 1-day losing streak.
Phillies, Brewers, Padres, Twins, Angels and Tigers are all system picks for Saturday; quite astounding that there's another 6 to follow a day with 9 (8 with the pitching change); that's got to be the 2-day high for the season, at 14 total. Angels are the only one that's priced outta my lengthy reach so that's the only one I'd try on the runline (the only 60% call for a runline today, anyways). Also appears to be some value with Astros, Rockies and Jays, though the Astros call IS under 50% today (same as yesterday, again showing value with the dog, though). The numbers will have to do for my post today as I pulled an all-dayer and will likely crash soon.
After a few bad days in a row system totals rebounded, somewhat, by going 3-1 yesterday. I like the Miller Park game over and the Petco under. I'm still considering the Metrodome over and the McAfee under. I've actually got the side for all 4 of these so I don't know if I want to play side and total for 4 games?I dunno?all 4 are system sides and all 4 are system totals?don't think THAT happens too much either.
I've got to start playing smarter, in general. Been hurt pretty bad on 3 days since (and including) last Sunday (3 out of the past 6 days, with only one big winner mixed in). Other days I think I've just been getting lucky (save maybe that one big day?was last Monday). Playing the heavy juice too much lately?a good restriction that I came up with for plays over -150 has been taken out of practice, somewhere along the lines, and I think it's time to start employing it again. Just need to play smarter in general?shoulda stuck with my original plays and not pumped up the jam so heavy on the Twins like I decided to. Too many parlays, too. Too many too's (to's,two's,three's,four's?).
Gonna sign out before I get real psycho-philosophical, here.
Been without sleep a little too (ouch) long. (those 2's are really starting to hurt my ears).
Will post all plays. I'm in a daze.
GL
yesterday: down about 5 units
2007: up will update later
August: finished up about 75 units, so my best month of '07
ml $$$$$
rl 0
totals $
parlays & IFs $$
system picks 5-3 yesterday; were 59-28 in August (67.8%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 3-1 yesterday; were 58-41 in August (58.6%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Cubs 54% (-166)-9 hou 46 (+158)+7
mets 52 (Pelfrey-James)
phil 64 (-125)+8
Wash 54 (Hanrahan-Sanchez)
Mil 72 (-156)+11 RL 57 (+134)+14
Stl 64 (-215)-5
col 58 (-109)+5
Sd 66 (-150)+6
Min 68 (-157)+6 RL 53 (+132)+9
Nyy 67 (-220)-2 RL 53 (-109)even
Tor 62 (-130)+5
Laa 77 (-255)+5 RL 63 (-118)+8
det 61 (+104)+11
Bost 68 (Bucholz-Olson)
Clev 61 (-148)+1
system totals
pitt@Mil ov9.5 71 (+104)+21 --Cousins is an acceptable OVER-ump
lad@Sd un7 78 (-130)+21 --ump Iassogna is even
kc@Min ov9 65 (-105)+13 --ump Tschida is even
det@Oak un8 71 (-110)+18 --ump Darling is even
Paid the price yesterday for playing heavy juice all over the place; hurt me on my straights and my parlays. Just needed one run by the Yanks in the 9th to secure the over, with the heart of the order coming up, but Torre pinch-hits for both Jeter and Rodriguez which kinda spoiled that. Garza call was the only one that really burned my ass?Twins take the second, easily, 5-0, which I figure was a more likely score for the opener. Not much I can do but try to end another 1-day losing streak.
Phillies, Brewers, Padres, Twins, Angels and Tigers are all system picks for Saturday; quite astounding that there's another 6 to follow a day with 9 (8 with the pitching change); that's got to be the 2-day high for the season, at 14 total. Angels are the only one that's priced outta my lengthy reach so that's the only one I'd try on the runline (the only 60% call for a runline today, anyways). Also appears to be some value with Astros, Rockies and Jays, though the Astros call IS under 50% today (same as yesterday, again showing value with the dog, though). The numbers will have to do for my post today as I pulled an all-dayer and will likely crash soon.
After a few bad days in a row system totals rebounded, somewhat, by going 3-1 yesterday. I like the Miller Park game over and the Petco under. I'm still considering the Metrodome over and the McAfee under. I've actually got the side for all 4 of these so I don't know if I want to play side and total for 4 games?I dunno?all 4 are system sides and all 4 are system totals?don't think THAT happens too much either.
I've got to start playing smarter, in general. Been hurt pretty bad on 3 days since (and including) last Sunday (3 out of the past 6 days, with only one big winner mixed in). Other days I think I've just been getting lucky (save maybe that one big day?was last Monday). Playing the heavy juice too much lately?a good restriction that I came up with for plays over -150 has been taken out of practice, somewhere along the lines, and I think it's time to start employing it again. Just need to play smarter in general?shoulda stuck with my original plays and not pumped up the jam so heavy on the Twins like I decided to. Too many parlays, too. Too many too's (to's,two's,three's,four's?).
Gonna sign out before I get real psycho-philosophical, here.
Been without sleep a little too (ouch) long. (those 2's are really starting to hurt my ears).
Will post all plays. I'm in a daze.
GL
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