Saturday September 22nd

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Saturday September 22nd 2007

yesterday: 11-8 +3.49
September: 145-135 +19.72
ml 60-50 +7.09
rl 5-7 -2.78
totals 45-28 +12.42
parlays & IFs 35-50 +2.99
system picks 2-1 yesterday; near .500 for Sept. (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-1 yesterday; 48-26 in September (64.9%)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Cubs 62% (-230)-8 pit 38 (+212)+5
phil 53 (-137)-5
Atl 53 (-161)-9 mil 47 (+153)+7
mets 62 (-155)+1
hou 58 (-105)+6
cin 57 (-109)+4
Ariz 69 (-203)+2 RL 55 (+105)+6
Sd 60 (-134)+2
cws 56 (+106)+7
Nyy 65 (Hughes-Marcum)
Clev 58 (-133)even
Det 68 (-189)+2 RL 54 (+105)+5
bost 60 (-160)-2
Tex 64 (-140)+5
Laa 55 (Escobar-Batista)
Laa 51 (Colon-Batista)

system totals

mil@Atl un8.5 84% (-119)+29 --ump Hudson is even
tor@Nyy un9? 65 (if Kennedy-McGowan) --ump Hernandez is even
oak@Clev ov9 78 (-102)+27 --Gibson is a good OVER-ump
kc@Det un10 67 (-115)+13 --Fletcher is a decent UNDER-ump including 3-12 in '07


Yesterday was acceptable as I end the losing streak at one day. Still, friggin' D'Rays pen allows a little less than 4 runs in the 9th inning and I would have claimed my biggest total of the day. Not surprising, at least, Lost a bit on sides, made a bit on totals, and did my best work off of the parlays and IFs?Padres could have won and I claim 3 more parlays to complete a sweep there. Nothing I can do but count my blessings where they came.

Saturday's board is not a thing of beauty. I'm going to have to look long and hard before I try any sides today. Only play that really catches my eye is that under at Turner. I might try the other totals listed, as well.

Hoping for a good weekend but baseball may not do it on Saturday.
Going to finish off with my college football plays; not my specialty but I always seem to pick up a few bucks from the NCAA.

Enough about me?have you heard the one about the radish and the lake of fire?

Will post picks.
GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

New car, caviar, four-star daydream...think I'll buy me a football team.

New car, caviar, four-star daydream...think I'll buy me a football team.

PLAYS

sides

brewers +155 1/1.55
Padres -134 1/0.75

totals

mil@Atl un8.5 -119 2.97/2.5
oak@Clev ov9 -102 1.02/1
kc@Det un10 -115 0.92/0.8

2-teamer
--mets ml
--D'Backs ml
+137
0.74/1

2-teamer
--mets ml
--Tigers ml
+147
0.61/0.89

2-teamer
--mets ml
--Rangers ml
+172
0.59/1.01

2-teamer
--Tigers ml
--Rangers ml
+150
0.6/0.9

15-team IF bet
1.astros 0.84/0.8
2.Tigers -1.5 0.6/0.6
3.mil-Atl un8.5 0.6/0.5
4.oak-Clev ov9 0.84/0.8
5.penn st 1.3/1
6.S.Florida -13 1.1/1
7.Cubs -1.5 1.15/1
8.phillies 1.4/1
9.mets -1.5 1.1/1
10.Rangers -1.5 1.2/1.5
11.chisox 1.05/1
12.Padres 2.1/1.5
13.bc lions 1.7/1.7
14.san jose st 1/1.4
15.kentucky 1/2.1
0.84 to win max.16.9

15-team IF bet
1.reds 0.66/0.6
2.Rangers -1.5 0.5/0.63
3.D'Backs -1.5 0.52/0.5
4.kc-Det un10 0.72/0.6
5.purdue -14 0.77/0.77
6.Pittsburgh -7 0.9/0.6
7.bc lions 0.8/0.8
8.Ohio St -21 1.5/1
9.brewers 1/1.45
10.mets -1.5 1.1/1
11.kent st 1.69/1.3
12.Bowling Green -21 1.8/1.5
13.S.Flordia -13 1.65/1.5
14.California -14 2.2/2
15.phillies 2.1/1.5
0.66 to win max.15.75

15-team IF bet
1.chisox 0.63/0.6
2.phillies -1.5 0.5/0.58
3.oregon -17 0.55/0.5
4.S.Florida -13 0.66/0.6
5.LSU -17 0.72/0.6
6.mil-Atl un8.5 0.72/0.6
7.California -14 1.1/1
8.kentucky +7 0.8/0.7
9.oak-Clev ov9 1.05/1
10.astros 1.05/1
11.Cubs -1.5 1.15/1
12.bc lions 1.12/1.12
13.Tigers -1.5 1.3/1.3
14.Rangers -1.5 1/1.25
15.purdue -14 1.85/1.85
0.63 to win max.13.7

15 team IF bet
1.Rangers -1.5 0.7/0.88
2.S.Florida -13 0.55/0.5
3.mil-Atl un8.5 0.6/0.5
4.oregon -17 0.82/0.75
5.oak-Clev ov9 0.52/0.5
6.LSU -17 0.9/0.75
7.Tigers -1.5 0.82/0.82
8.Tennessee -19.5 1.1/1
9.Cubs -1.5 1.15/1
10.Pittsburgh -7 1.5/1
11.astros 1.57/1.5
12.bc lions 1.2/1.2
13.Padres over4.5 1.15/1
14.penn st 1.95/1.5
15.chisox 2.1/2
0.7 to win max.14.9


Not crazy about today's board so just taking a few shots at some good payouts. Under at Turner is my big play. Looks like there could be some better options for Sunday's baseball; I'll probably post a word about the lines here once they open. Should be in an hour or two.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

I'm alright, Jack. Keep your hands off my stack.

I'm alright, Jack. Keep your hands off my stack.

added:

15-team IF bet
1.tor-Nyy un10 0.66/0.6
2.mets -1.5 0.5/0.5
3.brewers 0.5/0.76
4.penn st 0.65/0.5
5.LSU -17 0.84/0.7
6.California -14 0.88/0.8
7.bc lions 0.84/0.84
8.phillies 1.4/1
9.astros 1.1/1
10.Tigers -1.5 1.26/1.2
11.Rangers -1.5 1.2/1.5
12.oregon -17 1.95/1.5
13.Pittsburgh -7 2.1/1.5
14.Arizona St -10 1.95/1.5
15.Texas -38.5 1.65/1.5
0.66 to win max.15.4


Want some action on the Jays game, but I don't think they can win it the way Marcum is going these days. Hoping he can at least keep things reasonable. Expecting something like a 6-3 Yanks victory. Price is too high on the Yankees, including the runline, so I'll give this a go.

Wanna see those Sunday lines already; need to figure out how best to invest for tomorrow's treasure chest.


:weed:

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

for Sunday:

dodgers@D'Backs (Billingsley-Gonzalez)
under 9
is going to be the only system total.
Should be +100 and up, judging by the first line I've seen.

Will comment on the sides when I see some decent lines.


:weed:

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit!

Don't give me that do goody-good bullshit!

I can't resist backing these guys...they're pretty hot.

added:

2-day-2-team (1 really) parlay
--phillies ml (Sat)
--phillies ml (Sun)
+172
0.59/1.01


I've actually got the Phillies runline alive on an IF play because of the White Sox victory; oregon -17 behind it, a college game that I need on a few plays, mostly at -10.

Phillies, Astros, Tigers any way you want to play 'em, and A's are likely system picks for Sunday. I'm just on that under between Billingsley and Gonzalez so far.
And this piece of the Phillies if they win tonight.
Also considering the Dodgers for tomorrow, but I expected it a bit cheaper (-124 currently).

 

[dickiesports]

POLA.

You are amazing I read your threads daily. I see you are not playing the Mets straight but in 3 2-teamers care to elaborate why not straight I am looking for any reason to back them.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

sorry for the late reply...just seeing this now.

Not much value because of the high price, but I kinda liked it and just was trying to get some value from some likely winners.

Looks like I'm in good shape as long as two of three of D'Backs, Tigers and Rangers come in.
Also have 'em -1.5 after the Yankee game under but this latest inning looks to have seriously hurt the chances of that one coming in.

Just the price.
That's why not straight.