Saturday September 8th 2007
yesterday: 7-3 +6.09
September: 53-48 +9.36
ml 22-15 +8.66
rl 1-3 -6.52
totals 19-11 +4.77
parlays & IFs 11-19 +2.45
system picks 3-1 yesterday; 14-12 in September (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 4-2 yesterday; 16-9 in September (64%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Mets 66% (-174)+2
Phil 52 (Eaton-VandenHurk)
Phil 56 (Moyer-VandenHurk)
Sf 62 (-124)+6
Pitt 55 (+106)+6
Atl 60 (-160)-2
Cin 65 (-143)+6 RL 50 (+149)+9
sd 52 (+126)+7
stl 54 (-109)+1
min 60 (+101)+10
bost 68 (-193)+2 RL 54 (-115)even
Det 62 (-139)+3
nyy 53 (-149)-7 Kc 47 (+141)+5
tor 61 (-149)+1
Tex 56 (-114)+2
clev 64 (-129)+7
system totals
fla@Phil ov11.5 72% (N/A) --Gibson is a very good OVER-ump (Eaton)
fla@Phil ov11? 71% (N/A) --Gibson goal (Moyer)
lad@Sf un9 72 (-115)+18 --Nelson is a decent UNDER-ump
oak@Tex ov10 68 (-105)+16 --ump Hernandez is even
Relief. I really wanted that Yankees hit. Wouldn't have destroyed me, to miss it, but I wanted to go into this weekend with a full head of steam and that baby assured me of a plus on the day. Also had Rutgers on a couple of teasers, at -10, so that came in too, plus I hit the Stampeders to bag the CFL's first game of the week. Dodgers win woulda almost doubled my baseball plus on the day so my blood IS boiling a little?was the last game of the night for me, and I always like to hit those. Whatevas?I've turned a scary looking September into one with great promise by turning a plus over the past 4 days.
Reds, Twins and Indians are system picks for Saturday. Padres appear to have some value, too, though I'm not crazy about going against the Rockies after they put up 10 on Friday. Indians offense has been quiet so far in this series but I think that Ervin might be a cure for that?Escobar has poor numbers vs the Indians; Sabathia has been a true model of consistency lately?really most of the season?he is especially hot lately?not tossing shutouts but limited opponents to no more than 2 runs game in and game out. Giants and Pirates also appear to have some value; Zito has totally turned around his crappy season by tossing 4 straight Beauties?that's capital "B" "Beauties"; Pirates look possible as Carlos has almost become fade material with the shitty work he's done over his past 5 flippin' starts?guy is a real tool, aye?...regardless, Pirates might be worth a shot but I've got a lot of my money spoken for already this Saturday so I dunno about fading the once mighty Z. Reds the edge pitching and at the plate, as the Brewers are nothing vs righties compared to how they hit lefties. Twins the same; Garza has great potential, I'd say, from what I've seen this year, but ump Bucknor may give him headaches for this one with his miniscule (relatively) strike-zone.
Speaking of totals?remember yesterday how I didn't want to include 2 of the system totals that I posted as I totally disagreed with them?...well, both of them missed but the other 4?the ones I played?all came in; I think that this is just further proof that my success this year is not entirely due to this system I've concocted but has also relied heavily on my own wisdom. As for today's totals, I like the Dodgers-Giants under but nothing else impresses me, so far; an appropriate umpire just makes the play seem better (I gave no bonus?the 72 is a flat call).
Will post plays. Will be conservative, for Saturday, as I've got action happening all over the damn place. Some unexpected expenses have just come up so I sure could use another withdrawel from my accounts. The picks will have to look very strong to me, today, as I'm already in quite deep on the NCAA and, well?not yet on the NFL...going to TRY to take it easy for week 1. For MLB, I'm only on the Twins, so far?about to add the Reds and the Indians but anything else, like I said, will have to look real solid to me or I'll pass.
Crap this was a bitch to edit?a couple of key last minute changes were what did it. Just to show you how imperfect I truly am, I didn't even know that Vladdy sat out Thursday's game (learned that sometime this evening); I've adjusted the Indians line a couple of points due to his questionable status?one of a few key players in MLB that will actually move a call a few percentage points if he's sitting.
I've Rambled On long enough (I've been this way ten years to the day).
LZ
?I mean?
GL
Masquerading as a man with a reason
My charade is the event of the season
And if I claim to be a wise man
It surely means that I don't know.
On a stormy sea of moving emotion
Tossed about I'm like a ship on the ocean
I set a course for winds of fortune
But I hear the voices say...
Carry on my wayward son
There'll be peace when you are done
Lay your weary head to rest
Don't you cry no more.
(Kansas, Carry on Wayward Son, Leftoverture, 1976)
yesterday: 7-3 +6.09
September: 53-48 +9.36
ml 22-15 +8.66
rl 1-3 -6.52
totals 19-11 +4.77
parlays & IFs 11-19 +2.45
system picks 3-1 yesterday; 14-12 in September (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 4-2 yesterday; 16-9 in September (64%)
system sides
team win% (line)value indicator
Mets 66% (-174)+2
Phil 52 (Eaton-VandenHurk)
Phil 56 (Moyer-VandenHurk)
Sf 62 (-124)+6
Pitt 55 (+106)+6
Atl 60 (-160)-2
Cin 65 (-143)+6 RL 50 (+149)+9
sd 52 (+126)+7
stl 54 (-109)+1
min 60 (+101)+10
bost 68 (-193)+2 RL 54 (-115)even
Det 62 (-139)+3
nyy 53 (-149)-7 Kc 47 (+141)+5
tor 61 (-149)+1
Tex 56 (-114)+2
clev 64 (-129)+7
system totals
fla@Phil ov11.5 72% (N/A) --Gibson is a very good OVER-ump (Eaton)
fla@Phil ov11? 71% (N/A) --Gibson goal (Moyer)
lad@Sf un9 72 (-115)+18 --Nelson is a decent UNDER-ump
oak@Tex ov10 68 (-105)+16 --ump Hernandez is even
Relief. I really wanted that Yankees hit. Wouldn't have destroyed me, to miss it, but I wanted to go into this weekend with a full head of steam and that baby assured me of a plus on the day. Also had Rutgers on a couple of teasers, at -10, so that came in too, plus I hit the Stampeders to bag the CFL's first game of the week. Dodgers win woulda almost doubled my baseball plus on the day so my blood IS boiling a little?was the last game of the night for me, and I always like to hit those. Whatevas?I've turned a scary looking September into one with great promise by turning a plus over the past 4 days.
Reds, Twins and Indians are system picks for Saturday. Padres appear to have some value, too, though I'm not crazy about going against the Rockies after they put up 10 on Friday. Indians offense has been quiet so far in this series but I think that Ervin might be a cure for that?Escobar has poor numbers vs the Indians; Sabathia has been a true model of consistency lately?really most of the season?he is especially hot lately?not tossing shutouts but limited opponents to no more than 2 runs game in and game out. Giants and Pirates also appear to have some value; Zito has totally turned around his crappy season by tossing 4 straight Beauties?that's capital "B" "Beauties"; Pirates look possible as Carlos has almost become fade material with the shitty work he's done over his past 5 flippin' starts?guy is a real tool, aye?...regardless, Pirates might be worth a shot but I've got a lot of my money spoken for already this Saturday so I dunno about fading the once mighty Z. Reds the edge pitching and at the plate, as the Brewers are nothing vs righties compared to how they hit lefties. Twins the same; Garza has great potential, I'd say, from what I've seen this year, but ump Bucknor may give him headaches for this one with his miniscule (relatively) strike-zone.
Speaking of totals?remember yesterday how I didn't want to include 2 of the system totals that I posted as I totally disagreed with them?...well, both of them missed but the other 4?the ones I played?all came in; I think that this is just further proof that my success this year is not entirely due to this system I've concocted but has also relied heavily on my own wisdom. As for today's totals, I like the Dodgers-Giants under but nothing else impresses me, so far; an appropriate umpire just makes the play seem better (I gave no bonus?the 72 is a flat call).
Will post plays. Will be conservative, for Saturday, as I've got action happening all over the damn place. Some unexpected expenses have just come up so I sure could use another withdrawel from my accounts. The picks will have to look very strong to me, today, as I'm already in quite deep on the NCAA and, well?not yet on the NFL...going to TRY to take it easy for week 1. For MLB, I'm only on the Twins, so far?about to add the Reds and the Indians but anything else, like I said, will have to look real solid to me or I'll pass.
Crap this was a bitch to edit?a couple of key last minute changes were what did it. Just to show you how imperfect I truly am, I didn't even know that Vladdy sat out Thursday's game (learned that sometime this evening); I've adjusted the Indians line a couple of points due to his questionable status?one of a few key players in MLB that will actually move a call a few percentage points if he's sitting.
I've Rambled On long enough (I've been this way ten years to the day).
LZ
?I mean?
GL
Masquerading as a man with a reason
My charade is the event of the season
And if I claim to be a wise man
It surely means that I don't know.
On a stormy sea of moving emotion
Tossed about I'm like a ship on the ocean
I set a course for winds of fortune
But I hear the voices say...
Carry on my wayward son
There'll be peace when you are done
Lay your weary head to rest
Don't you cry no more.
(Kansas, Carry on Wayward Son, Leftoverture, 1976)
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