Saturday Unders

Spock

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A hard loss yesterday with 5 goals scored in last 10 mins of the game to deny us the win. :shrug:

Lot of games today which makes the eliminations harder but have narrowed it down to 2-3 games.

I like the Under 5.5 in the Detroit - Blues game. Pronger shud be back which will pump up the team and defence should be more solid. Joseph has great numbers against Blues. Osgoode is a much better goaltender and has been hot in recent times with 2 shutouts in the past 5 games.

Am still considering if I shud make the under play in Detroit/Blues game
.. History does not support the Under here but better goaltending for blues now. Will wait till game time.

Played the following:

Rangers @ Bruins Under 5.5 Goals

The under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
NYR's last seven overall have played under.
The under is 5-1 in BOS's last six overall.

Rangers have been playing well on the defensive end while not scoring a lot of goals.
Boston has given up 2.4 goals and scored 2.4 goals on average in last 5 games. Rangers have scored 1.6 goals and given up 1.4 goals per game in last 5
In last 5 games the Rangers Penalty Killing is at a stellar 91.7% while Boston Penalty Killing is @ 84.2
In last 5 games Rangers Power Play is scoring goals @ 5.3% while Boston is scoring @ 11.1%

After the loss to Pens where they gave up 3 goals to the Pens I expect a much better effort from the Rangers. Boston score a lot of goals @ home but hopefully that is nullified in the way these two teams play each other.

Expected Final Score: Boston 3 NY 1

* HockeyInformer has Dunham playing the game. If so that will be great. Not sure about the Boston goaltender but Shields has great numbers against NY Rangers so hopefully he plays and Raycroft sits.



Florida @ Tampa Bay Under 5 Goals *** Strong Play ***

The under is 25-12 when FLO's on one days rest.
The under is 4-1 in FLO's last five overall.
The under is 3-0-1 in TB's last four overall.

Looks like Luongo is making the start for Florida and the Bullin wall shud be in the net for TB. [Hockeyinformer.com]. I am assuming here that hopefully Luongo plays.

Last 5 games Florida has averaged 1 goal per game while allowing 2.8 goals per game.
Last 5 games TB has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 1.6 goals per game.

A lot of shots allowed by each team in the last 5 games .. almost 30.

A look @ the goaltenders. Florida has played different defence on the road and @ home.

Luongo has played TB in TB 5 times and the result has been 2 pushes and 3 Unders. [one game was when Luongo was with Islanders - Push]

When these two goaltenders have faced each other in Tampa Bay out of 4 games THREE GAMEs have gone Under the total with One Push.

Last 3 times these two goaltenders have faced each other in Florida .. all 3 games have gone Over the Total :shrug:

The Bullin wall has excellent Numbers against Florida and he has been playing well as of late [other than the silly goal the last game out when he thought he had gloved the puck while it was @ his feet]

Expected Final Score: Tampa Bay 2 Florida 1


Good luck to all
Cheers !!!
Spock

$$ Will take a look @ The Provincial Lottery to check their totals.
 

Spock

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For what its worth:

Rangers @ Boston

Rangers in a road game where the total is 5.5 : 8 - 15 Under
Rangers in March games: 2 - 8 Under
Rangers in Saturday games: 4 - 13 Under

Rangers playing on 2 days rest: 4 - 8 Under

Boston in a home game where total is 5.5: 9 - 11 Under
Boston in March games: 6 - 7 Under
Boston in Saturday games: 12 - 8 Under

3 of 5 games played in Boston over last 3 years betn these teams has gone Under the total.

7 of 11 games bet these two teams over last 3 years have gone Under the total.



Florida @ Tampa Bay

Florida after scoring 1 goal or less in the prev. game: 9 - 18 Under
Florida in March games: 3 - 11 Under
Florida in second half of the season: 12 - 25 Under

Florida in Saturday games: 8 - 11 Under
Florida when playing a team with a winning record: 13 - 22 Under
Florida Vs Division Opponents: 7 - 9 Under

TB after a 3 game unbeaten streak: 2 - 10 Under
TB in March games: 4 - 8
TB in Saturday games: 8 - 7
TB when playing a team with losing record: 12 - 20 Under
TB Vs Divisional Opponents: 6 - 12 Under


Cheers !!!
Spock
 

VMAHARAJ

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I usual do may research and then come to the site to see what everyone likes. So I feel good that the only 2 totals I've picked for tonight are the ones you've selected:D


Vince
 

Spock

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Pens @ Philly Under 5 Goals *** Strong Play ***

Sorry no time to put down my reasoning but as I had stated in an earlier thread Pens having a very hard time scoring but have been playing decent defence.

I think final Score will be :

Philly 3 Pens 0

Good luck
Cheers !!!
Spock

$ On the Proline i think the following is a good bet:

Playing:

Rangers @ Bruins Under 5.5 Goals
Florida @ TB Under 5.5 Goals
Pens @ Philly Under 5.5 Goals

$20 --> $103.68

$ will drop another ticket on the florda under, pens under and detroit under.

Good luck to all
Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Chenker

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Spock- really like those two unders glad to see the King of Unders is on them as well- good luck:D
 
Last edited:

ddubs

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Trust me, spock. You DON'T want me on the same side as you, I'm CURSED this yr in betting totals.

Good luck today:D
 

Spock

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Aces am researching that game. My lean is towards the Under.

I will have to look @ more angles but the way these two teams play each other definitely Under is the way to go.

Will definitely be back with a more definite answer.
 

Spock

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Re: Saturday Unders

Spock said:
Played the following:

Rangers @ Bruins Under 5.5 Goals

Expected Final Score: Boston 3 NY 1

* HockeyInformer has Dunham playing the game. If so that will be great. Not sure about the Boston goaltender but Shields has great numbers against NY Rangers so hopefully he plays and Raycroft sits.

Dunham and Shields did play :)

Boy I was way off with the final score .. 3 - 1 score was right but with wrong teams ..

1 down 2 to go for the 3 total parlay .. $20 will win $107.38

Sorry ddubs. :shrug:

Good luck to all
Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Spock

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Adding:

Dallas @ San Jose Sharks Under 5 Goals

Turco has excellent numbers against Sharks. Toskala in last start shut out the Wings and yielded 2 goals in prev start to Boston.

Out of last 9 meetings betn these two teams there have been 5 Unders and 4 Pushes


Not much time for write up as have some work to finish off before games start @ 7 but I think this will be a closely fought game with expected final score of:

The over is 6-2 in DAL's last eight overall.
The under is 5-0-2 in SJ's last seven overall

Something gotta give.

In last 10 games Dallas has gone over the total playing :
Vancouver TWICE
Minny TWICE [once when total was 4.5 and 5 goals were scored]
Atlanta
Edmonton

In last meeting in Dallas, Dallas shut out Sharks for a 3-0 win.
The only worry is the number of shots Sharks will give up to Dallas .. season average is 29.

Dallas 3 Sharks 1

Good luck
Cheers !!!
Spock

Had not posted reasoning for Philly game but hopefully the following will help. Pens have a hard time scoring but have been playing good D. Philly defence has been pretty good as of late. Hopefully we wont see any soft goals. Caron has a pretty GAA and i think this game goes Under.

$ Philly in a home game where total is 5 of less the Under is 18-5
$ Philly in Saturday games the Under is 14 - 4
PIT's last three overall have played under.
The Pens are avg. 1.6 g/gm in their last five overall.
The under is 3-1 in PHI's last four overall.
The Flyers are second in defense at 2.1 gls/gm.

$ was analyzing Montreal Ottowa under but think it may turn into a shootout .. if not i expect around 4 goals to be scored.
 

Spock

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Thanx Chris

Spock said:
Pens @ Philly Under 5 Goals *** Strong Play ***

I think final Score will be :

Philly 3 Pens 0

Man .. this is getting scary ..

predicted the exact score in both Rangers game and Philly game

Final Score : 3 - 1 Rangers Game
3 - 0 Pens Game


Florida / TB tied 0-0 after second. Hopefully the Under hits. Have to buy girlfriend some clothes from the winnings of the parlay.
Did not play proline but played the parlay online for $20 to win
$107.xx US :rolleyes:

Good luck and Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Spock

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Almost got the Expected Scores right in all games so far .. :eek:

3 - 1 in the Rangers game [got teams wrong]
3 - 0 in the Philly game
1 - 1 in TB game [i had it as 2 - 1 but TB could not score on PP in OT]

Recap so far:


NY Rangers @ Boston Under 5.5 Goals *** Winner ***

Pens @ Philly Under 5 Goals *** Winner ***

Florida @ TB Under 5 Goals *** Winner ***

Parlay is a winner also :rolleyes:



Waiting for dallas game and Under & have a play on the Sac @ Chicago over 102 points for second half :eek:

Thanx for the kind comments guys.

Good luck to all
Cheers !!!
Spock
 
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