based on how this week has started, it feels like this is the week when i give some back. so i'm going to tread lightly.
ark st/indiana over (66) 2 units. the red wolves (i still want to call them the indians) put up 26 at auburn (only 3 points were in garbage time, so it's pretty legit), so scoring at indiana shouldn't be a problem. indiana is 10th in the country, averaging over 300 yds/game passing. only 8 teams in the country give up more yards/attempt than ark st's 8.59.
minnesota (+5.5) 2 units. freshman rob henry gets his 2nd start in place of mavre. teams always rally around the backup qb in his first start, but then reality tends to set in. henry was 6/18 for 47 yards last week, as purdue got a road win despite only 279 yards of offense and 13 first downs. and they play ohio st next week. as bad as minnesota is, they are 2-0 ATS on the road.
SMU/Navy under (52) 1 unit. navy is 3rd in the country in pass defense, only allowing 141 yds/game. SMU is 22nd against the run, allowing 3.26 yds/carry.
kentucky (+5) 1 unit. so freakin' obvious, isn't it? probably too obvious. uk might have their own letdown after the tough loss to auburn.
wisconsin (+4) 2 units. ohio st has faced one team in the top 55 in rush defense. that was 2 weeks ago at illinois. buckeyes didn't cover that one. so far, ohio st looks like the class of the mac, beating ohio, eastern michigan, and marshall (ok, so marshall isn't in the mac any more. you get my point.).
ark st/indiana over (66) 2 units. the red wolves (i still want to call them the indians) put up 26 at auburn (only 3 points were in garbage time, so it's pretty legit), so scoring at indiana shouldn't be a problem. indiana is 10th in the country, averaging over 300 yds/game passing. only 8 teams in the country give up more yards/attempt than ark st's 8.59.
minnesota (+5.5) 2 units. freshman rob henry gets his 2nd start in place of mavre. teams always rally around the backup qb in his first start, but then reality tends to set in. henry was 6/18 for 47 yards last week, as purdue got a road win despite only 279 yards of offense and 13 first downs. and they play ohio st next week. as bad as minnesota is, they are 2-0 ATS on the road.
SMU/Navy under (52) 1 unit. navy is 3rd in the country in pass defense, only allowing 141 yds/game. SMU is 22nd against the run, allowing 3.26 yds/carry.
kentucky (+5) 1 unit. so freakin' obvious, isn't it? probably too obvious. uk might have their own letdown after the tough loss to auburn.
wisconsin (+4) 2 units. ohio st has faced one team in the top 55 in rush defense. that was 2 weeks ago at illinois. buckeyes didn't cover that one. so far, ohio st looks like the class of the mac, beating ohio, eastern michigan, and marshall (ok, so marshall isn't in the mac any more. you get my point.).
