indiana/nw over (59.5) 3 units. this is either the easiest total i've seen in a while, or the biggest sucker bet i'll make this year.
central florida (-2) 1 unit. after getting manhandled by south carolina, missouri players have to have some serious confidence issues. next week, they play vandy, followed by none other than alabama. it's probably starting to sink in that they are in for a long season against teams that play defense, something they are not used to.
iowa (-6.5) 2 units. this line is crazy, right? it's becoming evident that this is the worst iowa team we've seen in a while. so how the hell are they laying nearly a touchdown in this game?
nc st (+2) 3 units. miami is giving up 9.4 yards/pass attempt. only 3 teams in the country are worse (FAU, UAB, and army). glennon's going to have a big day.
duke (+2) 2 units. i think duke will win this game comfortably. duke should have some success on the ground against a wf defense allowing 5 yds/carry. that will open things up for renfree. on the other side of the ball, duke's defense has been solid, especially in the running game. they're allowing 107 yards/game and 3.1 yds/carry. that includes holding stanford to 92 yards on 26 carries.
michigan st (-2.5) 2 units. i look for michigan st to dominate this game on the ground, against an osu defense allowing 4.2 yds/carry. and that's against uab, cal, ucf, and miami, oh. and cal, with easily the best ground game in that group, ran for 224 yards on 41 carries. it should be close for a while, as i'm sure ohio state will put 12 guys in the box (what?), but michigan state should grind this one out.
la tech (-3.5) 2 units. this team is for real. they picked up right where they left off last year. since cameron took over as the starter, they are 8-1 SU and ATS. it's a tough spot for a team like this when they are suddenly favored on the road against an acc team, but i think these guys are up to it.
san jose st (-2.5) 2 units. another team that i can't believe i'm playing as a road fav. but there's been a big drop-off for navy this year, and the spartans already saw the triple option last year.
iowa st (+2) 2 units. texas tech has beaten new mexico, texas state, and northwestern state, and that's enough to make them a road fav against a solid iowa st team? ok.
western kentucky (-2.5) 2 units. yep, the broken record is still playing. the hilltoppers have covered 13 straight games. and the last team that beat them not named 'alabama' or 'lsu' is.... the arkansas st red wolves. and ark st beat wku on a td with 43 seconds left last year. i gotta believe the hilltoppers will be fired up for this game.
central florida (-2) 1 unit. after getting manhandled by south carolina, missouri players have to have some serious confidence issues. next week, they play vandy, followed by none other than alabama. it's probably starting to sink in that they are in for a long season against teams that play defense, something they are not used to.
iowa (-6.5) 2 units. this line is crazy, right? it's becoming evident that this is the worst iowa team we've seen in a while. so how the hell are they laying nearly a touchdown in this game?
nc st (+2) 3 units. miami is giving up 9.4 yards/pass attempt. only 3 teams in the country are worse (FAU, UAB, and army). glennon's going to have a big day.
duke (+2) 2 units. i think duke will win this game comfortably. duke should have some success on the ground against a wf defense allowing 5 yds/carry. that will open things up for renfree. on the other side of the ball, duke's defense has been solid, especially in the running game. they're allowing 107 yards/game and 3.1 yds/carry. that includes holding stanford to 92 yards on 26 carries.
michigan st (-2.5) 2 units. i look for michigan st to dominate this game on the ground, against an osu defense allowing 4.2 yds/carry. and that's against uab, cal, ucf, and miami, oh. and cal, with easily the best ground game in that group, ran for 224 yards on 41 carries. it should be close for a while, as i'm sure ohio state will put 12 guys in the box (what?), but michigan state should grind this one out.
la tech (-3.5) 2 units. this team is for real. they picked up right where they left off last year. since cameron took over as the starter, they are 8-1 SU and ATS. it's a tough spot for a team like this when they are suddenly favored on the road against an acc team, but i think these guys are up to it.
san jose st (-2.5) 2 units. another team that i can't believe i'm playing as a road fav. but there's been a big drop-off for navy this year, and the spartans already saw the triple option last year.
iowa st (+2) 2 units. texas tech has beaten new mexico, texas state, and northwestern state, and that's enough to make them a road fav against a solid iowa st team? ok.
western kentucky (-2.5) 2 units. yep, the broken record is still playing. the hilltoppers have covered 13 straight games. and the last team that beat them not named 'alabama' or 'lsu' is.... the arkansas st red wolves. and ark st beat wku on a td with 43 seconds left last year. i gotta believe the hilltoppers will be fired up for this game.
