SMU (+7.5) 2 units. dammit, the line is dropping fast. smu has finally found their rhythm offensively the last 3 games. after beating purdue in the season opener, here's a list of the teams Cincinnati has beat:
northwestern st
Miami, oh
temple
UConn
Memphis
they also lost to a terrible south florida team. i'm not saying smu is great, but they have a legitimate chance to win this game.
Minnesota (-2.5) 1 unit. I've come full circle on this game. the line appears to be begging for minny money, but I've decided the linesmakers just haven't caught up to the gophers yet. they've got to be playing with a ton of confidence now and should beat a psu team that has been really bad in their 2 road games.
Kentucky (+14) 1 unit. the wildcats have to be feeling great about their huge win over Alabama last week (shhhh.... nobody tell them that it was Alabama STATE). I think this is a perfect letdown situation for the tigers and somehow Kentucky keeps this close.
Vanderbilt (+10) 2 units. I gotta take 10 points from a gator offense that may not score 10 points. and florida has south Carolina next week. I haven't heard much about the 'double-digit rushing dog' strategy in a couple years, but it's worked the few times I've used it this year. and vandy averages 3.8 yds/carry and florida averages 3.7.
vandy/uf under (41) 2 units. final score.... florida 6-3 in double OT.
Kansas st (+2.5) 4 units. looooove the wildcats today. two teams moving in completely opposite directions. after losing to north Dakota (gulp) to start the season and, even worse, losing to texas a few weeks later, k st started turning things around with close losses to ok st and Baylor. then they smoked wvu and iowa st. suddenly they are playing with a ton of confidence. tech on the other hand got off to the great start by beating a bunch of tomato cans and they rose to #10 in the country. their freshman qb started the season throwing 11 TDs and only 5 INTs. his last two games? 4 TDs and 4 INTs. and he threw 71 passes last week. his arm's gotta be tired now. there's also some talk that brewer will play, but I love betting against qbs seeing the field for the first time in midseason.
UTSA (-9) 2 units. hopefully i'm not going to the well too many times with the roadrunners, but this looks like the same situation as last week's Tulane game at FAU. simply no respect for the green wave, despite their 6-2 start. they were getting points at a bad FAU team and now they're getting 9 points from a team they are leading in the standings. looks like the green wave will be 6-4 by the end of the day.
Michigan (-6.5) 1 unit. Michigan hasn't lost at home under hoke. the huskers needed a hail mary to beat a reeling northwestern team last week. I look for the wolverines to bounce back today.
Wisconsin (-8.5) 1 unit. the badgers will be the most physical team byu has seen since Utah. and the cougars lost to Utah. I really think Wisconsin is going to roll in this game.
Indiana (-9) 2 units. ok, i'm giving the hoosiers one more shot. Illinois snatched defeat from the jaws of victory last week, as they almost won their first big 10 game since 2011. I look for them to get into a shootout with Indiana today, but ultimately that will favor the hoosiers and they should pull away late.
Illinois/Indiana over (79) 2 units. they haven't been able to post totals high enough for the hoosiers yet this year. Indiana has gone over in 7 straight conference games, by an average of over 22 points/game. their only under this year was when bowling green couldn't manage to score more than 10 points.
Virginia tech (+6) 1 unit. even with duke Johnson out and Miami's blowout loss to fsu, this line seems to be begging for Miami money. i'll probably take a shot on the ML, too. logan Thomas can look terrible, and he can look pretty good. i'm betting on good today.
west virgina (+5.5) 2 units. this one's almost too easy. texas is 1-4 ATS their last 5 as a favorite, and they'd be 0-5 if k st hadn't fumbled at the texas 5 and the texas 30 in the last 2 minutes of that game. in their 2 conference home games, wvu beat ok st and gave texas tech a scare. and after a road win at tcu last week, the mountaineers should win today.
northwestern st
Miami, oh
temple
UConn
Memphis
they also lost to a terrible south florida team. i'm not saying smu is great, but they have a legitimate chance to win this game.
Minnesota (-2.5) 1 unit. I've come full circle on this game. the line appears to be begging for minny money, but I've decided the linesmakers just haven't caught up to the gophers yet. they've got to be playing with a ton of confidence now and should beat a psu team that has been really bad in their 2 road games.
Kentucky (+14) 1 unit. the wildcats have to be feeling great about their huge win over Alabama last week (shhhh.... nobody tell them that it was Alabama STATE). I think this is a perfect letdown situation for the tigers and somehow Kentucky keeps this close.
Vanderbilt (+10) 2 units. I gotta take 10 points from a gator offense that may not score 10 points. and florida has south Carolina next week. I haven't heard much about the 'double-digit rushing dog' strategy in a couple years, but it's worked the few times I've used it this year. and vandy averages 3.8 yds/carry and florida averages 3.7.
vandy/uf under (41) 2 units. final score.... florida 6-3 in double OT.
Kansas st (+2.5) 4 units. looooove the wildcats today. two teams moving in completely opposite directions. after losing to north Dakota (gulp) to start the season and, even worse, losing to texas a few weeks later, k st started turning things around with close losses to ok st and Baylor. then they smoked wvu and iowa st. suddenly they are playing with a ton of confidence. tech on the other hand got off to the great start by beating a bunch of tomato cans and they rose to #10 in the country. their freshman qb started the season throwing 11 TDs and only 5 INTs. his last two games? 4 TDs and 4 INTs. and he threw 71 passes last week. his arm's gotta be tired now. there's also some talk that brewer will play, but I love betting against qbs seeing the field for the first time in midseason.
UTSA (-9) 2 units. hopefully i'm not going to the well too many times with the roadrunners, but this looks like the same situation as last week's Tulane game at FAU. simply no respect for the green wave, despite their 6-2 start. they were getting points at a bad FAU team and now they're getting 9 points from a team they are leading in the standings. looks like the green wave will be 6-4 by the end of the day.
Michigan (-6.5) 1 unit. Michigan hasn't lost at home under hoke. the huskers needed a hail mary to beat a reeling northwestern team last week. I look for the wolverines to bounce back today.
Wisconsin (-8.5) 1 unit. the badgers will be the most physical team byu has seen since Utah. and the cougars lost to Utah. I really think Wisconsin is going to roll in this game.
Indiana (-9) 2 units. ok, i'm giving the hoosiers one more shot. Illinois snatched defeat from the jaws of victory last week, as they almost won their first big 10 game since 2011. I look for them to get into a shootout with Indiana today, but ultimately that will favor the hoosiers and they should pull away late.
Illinois/Indiana over (79) 2 units. they haven't been able to post totals high enough for the hoosiers yet this year. Indiana has gone over in 7 straight conference games, by an average of over 22 points/game. their only under this year was when bowling green couldn't manage to score more than 10 points.
Virginia tech (+6) 1 unit. even with duke Johnson out and Miami's blowout loss to fsu, this line seems to be begging for Miami money. i'll probably take a shot on the ML, too. logan Thomas can look terrible, and he can look pretty good. i'm betting on good today.
west virgina (+5.5) 2 units. this one's almost too easy. texas is 1-4 ATS their last 5 as a favorite, and they'd be 0-5 if k st hadn't fumbled at the texas 5 and the texas 30 in the last 2 minutes of that game. in their 2 conference home games, wvu beat ok st and gave texas tech a scare. and after a road win at tcu last week, the mountaineers should win today.
