Saturday

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Memphis/Louisville under (43) 1 unit. Louisville's offense hasn't exactly been lighting it up lately, I don't see the tigers scoring many points today either. should be a low-scoring defensive game. strong lean to the tigers plus the points, too.

Kansas st (-5.5) 3 units. news flash - bob stoops can be outcoached. and who better to do it than bill Snyder? as much as I love this play though, the loss of ty zimmerman for the wildcats is huge. he's a 4-year starter and an all-american. here's a good article about it. http://themercury.com/articles/dylan-schellenberg-ready-to-step-in-for-zimmerman

if you don't want to click the link, here's the first couple sentences about his replacement:
"Dylan Schellenberg doesn?t have a bio in the Kansas State football media guide. The junior is mentioned only twice in the 208-page book ? once on a list of 2012 redshirts and then on the main roster, along with another 130 or so names, many of which you?ve never heard of, either."

anyway, I still love the wildcats. they are playing great right now, and in a huge trap game last week against tcu, still managed to gut out a win. they should take care of the sooners today.

mormans (+1) 3 units. I expect byu to get revenge for the tough loss at nd last year.

lsu (-5) 1 unit. a&m has only covered 1 of their last 5 conference games. lsu will get just enough stops in this one.

a&m/lsu over (73.5) 2 units. ok, I think lsu will get just enough stops, but it won't be a lot of stops. obviously this is not the same lsu defense as in years past. but the offense has picked up the slack. they are going to put up a lot of points today.

temple (-7) 1 unit. I hate laying points with bad teams, but temple has covered 6 straight games this season, and 6 straight vs UConn.

Arizona st (-3) 2 units. wish i'd gotten this at 2.5. the difference will be Arizona state's defense. the sun devils will get revenge for last year's matchup, when they took the lead with 1:30 left, only to let ucla march down the field and kick a 33-yard fg to win the game as time expired.

ole miss (+2.5) 2 units. i'm just too damn stubborn to stop betting against Missouri. their biggest wins, against a decimated Georgia team and a what-the-hell-happened-to-them florida team just don't look that impressive. this is their first game against a team from the west division, and I really think they're going to struggle. also, this will be the first game action for james franklin since 10/12. i'm really curious to see if they play mauk if franklin has problems.
 

Smitty

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,410
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Upstate NY
i'm going to apologize for the k st play right now. I had no idea blake bell wasn't playing today. that's an inexcusable lapse in my handicapping. and it's going to cost me a nice chunk of change. :facepalm:
 
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