still waiting for a regression to the mean. one of these weeks I'm going to get my ass kicked.
miss st (-2.5) 2 units. the bulldogs ran for 299 yards against a&m last year. I look for more of the same today. a&m needed a big 4th quarter rally and OT to beat an Arkansas team that's not as good as this miss st team.
Maryland (ML) 1 unit to win 2.7. I can offer no logical explanation, other than ohio state is starting a freshman qb in his first conference road game, but I think the terps have a shot to win this game.
marshall/odu over (76) 2 units. I'll say it again - I love this qb for odu, heinicke. the monarchs will score. oh, but so will the thundering herd against a porous odu defense. first team to 50 wins.
ecu (-41) 2 units. yeah, this is absolutely insane. but apparently they can't make the lines high enough on smu games. I know i'll be counting on ecu's 3rd & 4th teams to finish out this win, but they may still be better than smu's starters. smu has scored a total of 12 points in 4 games. this game should be 42-0 at halftime and the backups can close it out.
UNC (ML) 2 units to win 2.5. unc will score. and I don't know that the hokies can keep up, even against that terrible defense.
Stanford (-3) 2 units. ah, the annual tradition of nd being overrated. I look for the cardinal to grind out a convincing win today.
Michigan (ML) 3 units to win 3.3. let me get this straight. by now, everyone knows how bad Michigan is. the only teams they've beat this year are Appalachian st and Miami, OH. and yet this line is dropping? huh. well, the best thing for the wolverines right now is probably to get out of the state of Michigan.
Kansas st (-14) 2 units. two big differences between these teams. 1) defense. k st's has been very good. 2) mistakes. tech has made a lot of them. the wildcats won't beat themselves. solid win for k st today.
Kentucky (+3.5) 2 units
Kentucky (ML) 2 units to win 3.2. a combination of Kentucky getting better and south carolina getting worse will pay off for the wildcats today. plus they catch the cocks (catch the cocks is the worst playground game ever) off that disappointing loss against Missouri and looking ahead to a week off followed by a battle with their in-state rivals, the furman paladins.
pitt (+5) 3 units.
pitt (ML) 3 units to win 5.4. I've loved this play since I saw the line on Monday. wow. pitt just got smoked at home by akron (akron!!!) and they're only catching 5 points on the road against a much-improved Virginia team? holy shit. I think we'll see a tough, defensive game, very similar to this matchup last year, which pitt won 14-3.
Arizona st (+12.5) 2 units.
Arizona st (ML) 1 unit to win 3.8. I look for foster to have a huge bounce-back game from last week against a usc defense that has been vulnerable on the ground. the sun devils should be right in this game.
Utah (+13) 2 units. the utes will be the more physical team and they just may catch ucla looking ahead to next week's game against Oregon.
miss st (-2.5) 2 units. the bulldogs ran for 299 yards against a&m last year. I look for more of the same today. a&m needed a big 4th quarter rally and OT to beat an Arkansas team that's not as good as this miss st team.
Maryland (ML) 1 unit to win 2.7. I can offer no logical explanation, other than ohio state is starting a freshman qb in his first conference road game, but I think the terps have a shot to win this game.
marshall/odu over (76) 2 units. I'll say it again - I love this qb for odu, heinicke. the monarchs will score. oh, but so will the thundering herd against a porous odu defense. first team to 50 wins.
ecu (-41) 2 units. yeah, this is absolutely insane. but apparently they can't make the lines high enough on smu games. I know i'll be counting on ecu's 3rd & 4th teams to finish out this win, but they may still be better than smu's starters. smu has scored a total of 12 points in 4 games. this game should be 42-0 at halftime and the backups can close it out.
UNC (ML) 2 units to win 2.5. unc will score. and I don't know that the hokies can keep up, even against that terrible defense.
Stanford (-3) 2 units. ah, the annual tradition of nd being overrated. I look for the cardinal to grind out a convincing win today.
Michigan (ML) 3 units to win 3.3. let me get this straight. by now, everyone knows how bad Michigan is. the only teams they've beat this year are Appalachian st and Miami, OH. and yet this line is dropping? huh. well, the best thing for the wolverines right now is probably to get out of the state of Michigan.
Kansas st (-14) 2 units. two big differences between these teams. 1) defense. k st's has been very good. 2) mistakes. tech has made a lot of them. the wildcats won't beat themselves. solid win for k st today.
Kentucky (+3.5) 2 units
Kentucky (ML) 2 units to win 3.2. a combination of Kentucky getting better and south carolina getting worse will pay off for the wildcats today. plus they catch the cocks (catch the cocks is the worst playground game ever) off that disappointing loss against Missouri and looking ahead to a week off followed by a battle with their in-state rivals, the furman paladins.
pitt (+5) 3 units.
pitt (ML) 3 units to win 5.4. I've loved this play since I saw the line on Monday. wow. pitt just got smoked at home by akron (akron!!!) and they're only catching 5 points on the road against a much-improved Virginia team? holy shit. I think we'll see a tough, defensive game, very similar to this matchup last year, which pitt won 14-3.
Arizona st (+12.5) 2 units.
Arizona st (ML) 1 unit to win 3.8. I look for foster to have a huge bounce-back game from last week against a usc defense that has been vulnerable on the ground. the sun devils should be right in this game.
Utah (+13) 2 units. the utes will be the more physical team and they just may catch ucla looking ahead to next week's game against Oregon.
