spending most of my time on the breeders cup, so this may not be my best work.
pitt (-3) 2 units. pitt just got crushed at home and now they're laying 3 to a duke team that's sneaking into the top 25? alrighty, fine. i'll play the fucking panthers. conner should have a good day against that duke run defense.
here's my big ten parlay of the year (and possibly my only big ten parlay of the year)...
northwestern (+3.5)/under (43) 3 units to win 7. tough call, because I'm pretty sure northwestern's union said they're only playing hard in one more road game this season, and that's at notre dame. but they catch iowa looking ahead to the battle for The Floyd of Rosedale. and I don't see either offense being able to sustain any drives today.
Maryland (+3.5) 3 units.
Maryland (ML) 2 units to win 2.9. tough spot for the nittany lions, coming off that loss to ohio st. psu is 0-2 as a fav in conference play this year. I just don't see them being focused on this game today. big letdown.
Miami (-14.5) 2 units
Miami over (68.5) 2 units. wow, they really need unc money on this game, don't they? unc will definitely put up a lot of points, but Miami's going to put up a lot more.
bc (ML) 2 units to win 2.7. don't worry about the points. when the forecast is "Cloudy with an 80-percent chance of rain and snow. Winds northwest at 15-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 40." just look at the ground games. bc gets 5.6 yards/carry and allows 3.0. va tech gets 3.9 and allows 4.3. big day for that bc running game.
Syracuse (-3.5) 3 units.
over (52) 2 units. I expect the orange to have success running the ball against a weak nc st run defense. that will open things up for long. and once the orange get the lead, nc st will be chucking the ball all over the place.
Virginia (+4) 2 units
Virginia (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. ok, maybe I'm just being stubborn after losing large plays on Virginia the last 2 weeks. and the cavs have been awful against the option the last few years. but their run defense has been pretty good this year, so I'm giving them one more shot today. parks should have a good game against a weak gt run defense that allows 5.4 yards/carry.
mtsu (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. yikes. holy line drop, batman. well, the cougs have lost 4 straight games and dropped 6 straight ATS. go blue raiders!
Kentucky (+8) 2 units.
Kentucky (ML) 1 unit to win 2.7. mizzou's last 3 home games have resulted in 2 losses and a 10-point win over a bad vandy team. I really like Kentucky's chances to come in here and compete today. speaking of which... if anyone didn't see jojo kemp in the 4th quarter against south Carolina, you missed one of the greatest efforts we'll see in college football this year. any time you score a td and your coach runs out to carry you off the field, you know you done something special.
ODU (+8) 2 units
ODU (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. the monarchs have dropped 4 straight SU & ATS after their big win at rice. but this is purely an anti-vandy play. the commodores have 2 wins on the year. a 1-point win over Charleston Southern and a 3-point win over umass. absolutely have to take 8 points from this team. heinicke has been really good for odu, especially when he has time in the pocket (duh). vandy only has 12 sacks in 8 games. should be a huge difference in effort levels in this game.
Stanford (+8) 2 units
Stanford (ML) 2 units to win 5.5. yeah, I know this Stanford team is nowhere near as good as they've been the last couple years. and I hate to see that they are 0-3 ATS on the road this year. but they have the perfect formula to beat this Oregon team. namely, play very physical and stop the run.
ucla (-6.5) 3 units. only a sucker would play ucla laying almost a td in this game, right? that's what they WANT you to think.
or maybe I'm just a sucker. but this line is begging for Arizona money. if it hits 7, that will tell me ucla is definitely the right play. but grabbing 6.5 now while I can.
Utah (+6.5) 2 units.
Utah (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. despite having Oregon up next, I think the utes will be focused on avenging a tough loss to the wildcats last year, as they blew a 12-point 4th quarter lead to lose by 1.
pitt (-3) 2 units. pitt just got crushed at home and now they're laying 3 to a duke team that's sneaking into the top 25? alrighty, fine. i'll play the fucking panthers. conner should have a good day against that duke run defense.
here's my big ten parlay of the year (and possibly my only big ten parlay of the year)...
northwestern (+3.5)/under (43) 3 units to win 7. tough call, because I'm pretty sure northwestern's union said they're only playing hard in one more road game this season, and that's at notre dame. but they catch iowa looking ahead to the battle for The Floyd of Rosedale. and I don't see either offense being able to sustain any drives today.
Maryland (+3.5) 3 units.
Maryland (ML) 2 units to win 2.9. tough spot for the nittany lions, coming off that loss to ohio st. psu is 0-2 as a fav in conference play this year. I just don't see them being focused on this game today. big letdown.
Miami (-14.5) 2 units
Miami over (68.5) 2 units. wow, they really need unc money on this game, don't they? unc will definitely put up a lot of points, but Miami's going to put up a lot more.
bc (ML) 2 units to win 2.7. don't worry about the points. when the forecast is "Cloudy with an 80-percent chance of rain and snow. Winds northwest at 15-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 40." just look at the ground games. bc gets 5.6 yards/carry and allows 3.0. va tech gets 3.9 and allows 4.3. big day for that bc running game.
Syracuse (-3.5) 3 units.
over (52) 2 units. I expect the orange to have success running the ball against a weak nc st run defense. that will open things up for long. and once the orange get the lead, nc st will be chucking the ball all over the place.
Virginia (+4) 2 units
Virginia (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. ok, maybe I'm just being stubborn after losing large plays on Virginia the last 2 weeks. and the cavs have been awful against the option the last few years. but their run defense has been pretty good this year, so I'm giving them one more shot today. parks should have a good game against a weak gt run defense that allows 5.4 yards/carry.
mtsu (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. yikes. holy line drop, batman. well, the cougs have lost 4 straight games and dropped 6 straight ATS. go blue raiders!
Kentucky (+8) 2 units.
Kentucky (ML) 1 unit to win 2.7. mizzou's last 3 home games have resulted in 2 losses and a 10-point win over a bad vandy team. I really like Kentucky's chances to come in here and compete today. speaking of which... if anyone didn't see jojo kemp in the 4th quarter against south Carolina, you missed one of the greatest efforts we'll see in college football this year. any time you score a td and your coach runs out to carry you off the field, you know you done something special.
ODU (+8) 2 units
ODU (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. the monarchs have dropped 4 straight SU & ATS after their big win at rice. but this is purely an anti-vandy play. the commodores have 2 wins on the year. a 1-point win over Charleston Southern and a 3-point win over umass. absolutely have to take 8 points from this team. heinicke has been really good for odu, especially when he has time in the pocket (duh). vandy only has 12 sacks in 8 games. should be a huge difference in effort levels in this game.
Stanford (+8) 2 units
Stanford (ML) 2 units to win 5.5. yeah, I know this Stanford team is nowhere near as good as they've been the last couple years. and I hate to see that they are 0-3 ATS on the road this year. but they have the perfect formula to beat this Oregon team. namely, play very physical and stop the run.
ucla (-6.5) 3 units. only a sucker would play ucla laying almost a td in this game, right? that's what they WANT you to think.
or maybe I'm just a sucker. but this line is begging for Arizona money. if it hits 7, that will tell me ucla is definitely the right play. but grabbing 6.5 now while I can.Utah (+6.5) 2 units.
Utah (ML) 1 unit to win 2.1. despite having Oregon up next, I think the utes will be focused on avenging a tough loss to the wildcats last year, as they blew a 12-point 4th quarter lead to lose by 1.
