here you are, ladies and gentlemen... your fades for Saturday. I heard the guy in peru had Oregon last night, so I am officially the coldest sports bettor in the western hemisphere. thank god for that guy in chad who has lost an amazing 112 straight wagers. I have at least another 7 or 8 to go to catch him.
i'll start by doing y'all a favor...
iowa st (+35) 2 units. I may be the only person in the world betting on iowa st today. I'm taking one for the team. as soon as they read this, sports books everywhere will shout "NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO". I have to do it. I always bet against the "this team has to blow out the other team" argument.
Tulane (ML) 3 units to win 3.6. I always almost always bet against the "this team needs a win for bowl eligibility" argument. it's garbage. you think the linesmakers haven't factored that in already? temple has lost 5 of their last 6 games, and now suddenly they can win just 'cause they "need to"? Tulane rolls.... let's call it 31-20.
k st. (+7) 3 units
k st. (ML) 2 units to win 4.6. yeah, I'm in the minority on this one, too. but I don't think k st is just going to roll over and let Baylor cruise to a win. in fact, I love the wildcats as a dog. and I expect them to avenge last year's loss to the bears. k st had the ball almost 40 minutes in that game, but gave up 3 long tds (93 yards, 72 yards, and 54 yards). they still had chances to win, but fell short. that should provide enough motivation to get a w in waco.
la tech (+8) 2 units
la tech (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. hmmmm... I'm in the majority on this one. sorry, guys. the big question mark is how the herd responds to last week's loss. obviously I'm assuming they will not respond well. while cato gets the attention (and understandably so), they are averaging an obscene 7.1 yards/carry. la tech has actually been solid against the run, allowing only 3.3 yards/carry. I think that will be the difference in this game.
Alabama (-14.5) 3 units. I gotta play one favorite, don't I? of course I'm going to keep wagering against Missouri. I went through this last week, but i'll repeat it. Missouri has been the beneficiary of the easiest schedule in the sec this year. they have played one team that finished with a winning record in conference. that was Georgia. remember that game? their other 7 sec games were literally against the worst 7 teams in the league. they avoided ole miss, miss st, auburn, lsu, and, until today, Alabama.
Georgia tech (+4) 1 unit
Georgia tech (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. I also keep betting against fsu. that has led to some easy wins. but I just keep missing on the ML. I'm actually hearing WAY too much love for a mediocre Georgia tech team today, but I gotta stick with my guns and wager against fsu. IF, IF, IF tech can avoid turnovers, they can certainly win this game.
ohio st (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. I almost always bet teams in their first game with a back-up qb. players just seem to elevate their games in that spot. I look for ohio state's d to slow down the Wisconsin ground game. if that happens, the badgers are in trouble.
i'll start by doing y'all a favor...
iowa st (+35) 2 units. I may be the only person in the world betting on iowa st today. I'm taking one for the team. as soon as they read this, sports books everywhere will shout "NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO". I have to do it. I always bet against the "this team has to blow out the other team" argument.
Tulane (ML) 3 units to win 3.6. I always almost always bet against the "this team needs a win for bowl eligibility" argument. it's garbage. you think the linesmakers haven't factored that in already? temple has lost 5 of their last 6 games, and now suddenly they can win just 'cause they "need to"? Tulane rolls.... let's call it 31-20.
k st. (+7) 3 units
k st. (ML) 2 units to win 4.6. yeah, I'm in the minority on this one, too. but I don't think k st is just going to roll over and let Baylor cruise to a win. in fact, I love the wildcats as a dog. and I expect them to avenge last year's loss to the bears. k st had the ball almost 40 minutes in that game, but gave up 3 long tds (93 yards, 72 yards, and 54 yards). they still had chances to win, but fell short. that should provide enough motivation to get a w in waco.
la tech (+8) 2 units
la tech (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. hmmmm... I'm in the majority on this one. sorry, guys. the big question mark is how the herd responds to last week's loss. obviously I'm assuming they will not respond well. while cato gets the attention (and understandably so), they are averaging an obscene 7.1 yards/carry. la tech has actually been solid against the run, allowing only 3.3 yards/carry. I think that will be the difference in this game.
Alabama (-14.5) 3 units. I gotta play one favorite, don't I? of course I'm going to keep wagering against Missouri. I went through this last week, but i'll repeat it. Missouri has been the beneficiary of the easiest schedule in the sec this year. they have played one team that finished with a winning record in conference. that was Georgia. remember that game? their other 7 sec games were literally against the worst 7 teams in the league. they avoided ole miss, miss st, auburn, lsu, and, until today, Alabama.
Georgia tech (+4) 1 unit
Georgia tech (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. I also keep betting against fsu. that has led to some easy wins. but I just keep missing on the ML. I'm actually hearing WAY too much love for a mediocre Georgia tech team today, but I gotta stick with my guns and wager against fsu. IF, IF, IF tech can avoid turnovers, they can certainly win this game.
ohio st (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. I almost always bet teams in their first game with a back-up qb. players just seem to elevate their games in that spot. I look for ohio state's d to slow down the Wisconsin ground game. if that happens, the badgers are in trouble.
