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Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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fl/lsu under (45.5) 2 units. both defenses can force the other team to make plays with the passing game, and i'm betting neither team can sustain any success through the air.

minnesota (-2) 2 units. nebraska has turned losing close games into an art form this year and minnesota comes into this game confident after beating nebraska the last 2 years.

k st (+4) 2 units
k st (ML) 2 units to win 3.3. k st had something like 47 straight wins when they had a halftime lead. suddenly they blow a halftime lead in back-to-back games. so they've probably learned their lesson... they're going to let ok take a lead at halftime, and then come storming back to get the win. one really telling stat for mayfield.... at home, he's averaging 12.5 yards/attempt. on the road, that number is 5.9. quite a difference.

pitt (+3.5) 1 unit.
pitt (ML) 1 unit to win 1.3. 2 teams heading in opposite directions. gt has lost 4 straight. pitt is 4-1 and 2-0 in conference. and i'm guessing pitt will be eager to avenge their loss to the yellowjackets last year. this sums up that game:

"Pitt did its part to help during a comical opening 10 minutes that practically gifted Georgia Tech a massive lead before the game was halfway through the first quarter. The Panthers fumbled four times in their first six plays, finding increasingly elaborate ways to give the Yellow Jackets the ball.

Pitt quarterback Chad Voytik fumbled on the game's second snap when he was popped by Georgia Tech's Isaiah Johnson on a read-option. Conner was inches away from a 75-yard touchdown run only to have D.J. White punch it out of Conner's hands and out of bounds in the end zone for a touchback. Isaac Bennett was in the middle of getting pushed back for a loss only to have the ball come loose before getting to the ground. Tyler Boyd made an impressive spin to get out of a tackle following a short grab, only to have the ball knocked out while stretching for extra yardage.

The Yellow Jackets wasted little time turning each miscue into a touchdown, including a 79-yard catch-and-run by Charles Perkins and a pair of scoring sprints by Snoddy.

At one point the Pitt student section chanted "Hold That Ball" out of exasperation. It didn't work. Voytik botched a snap on the Panthers' fifth possession and the Yellow Jackets fell on it once again, giving them five fumble recoveries in the first quarter, or four more than they had the entire season coming in."

michigan (-7) 3 units. 2 things going on here. 1) michigan is legit. especially that defense. 2) michigan state is vastly overrated. sure, they're 6-0. but let's take a look at those games...

37-24 over western mich
31-28 over oregon (not so impressive now, is it?)
35-21 over air force
30-10 over central mich. this game was 17-10 in the 4th quarter.
24-21 over purdue
31-24 over rutgers. sparty had to score a td with about a minute left to win this one.

vandy (ML) 2 units to win 2. the gamecocks' coach just quit on them. just fucking quit. what a piece of shit. hard to believe the team won't quit on the season now.

arizona st (+5) 2 units
arizona st (ML) 2 units to win 3.8. hopefully bercovici ain't gonna throw 5 INTs. sun devils with a very legit chance to win this game.

usc (ML) 1 unit to win 1.8. i'm just going to take a small shot that usc is now free from the distractions of their drunk coach.

san jose (-3) 2 units. i'm going to keep riding the spartans. i think they're pretty solid.
 
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