04:05 PM [915] TOR BLUE JAYS -1.5 +115 ( R DICKEY -R / S GRAY -R )
04:05 PM [917] BOS RED SOX +110 ( E RODRIGUEZ -L / C SABATHIA -L )
04:10 PM [920] TOTAL u8-110 (HOU ASTROS vrs SEA MARINERS) ( L MCCULLERS -R / H IWAKUMA -R )
02:20 PM [9929] TEX RANGERS -1.5 +208 ( Y DARVISH -R / J HAMMEL -R )
1 unit bet pays 25 ....betdsi line ... evening parlay later...
MLB parlays: 10-104, -26.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The Rangers made the decision after Darvish, who had been on the disabled list since June 13 with discomfort in his right shoulder, threw a bullpen session on Wednesday at Globe Life Park without any issues. This will be Darvish's first start since June 8 against the Astros. The right-hander made three starts for the Rangers after missing 14 months while recovering from Tommy John surgery before returning to the DL. He has made two starts on his rehab assignment, with the last one coming on Monday in Frisco. Darvish allowed three runs on five innings, throwing 72 pitches and classifying it as a "good overall outing."
The Cubs have gone 3-14 in their last 17 against teams with a winning record. That is staggering. Yu Darvish has been very good coming back from injury
Darvish worked so hard on his rehab that the Rangers had to work on what to do with his extra strength.
"He practically had to learn how to compensate for the added power that he had," Rangers general manager Jon Daniels said Friday. "He worked out so hard on his rehab that his legs got so strong, his lower half got so strong that he was throwing a little bit harder.
"Fortunately for him, for us he's ready to go and obviously he's a huge part of our club."
On one hand, Eduardo Rodriguez, who's long had intriguing potential, is in a good spot to start the second half on the right foot as he travels to the Bronx to face the Yankees, who have been the worst lineup in the American League against lefty pitching this season (87 wRC+). On the other hand, Rodriguez has been a liability this season, as he's allowed five or more runs in half of his six starts this year, including getting walloped by the Rays for nine runs in just 2 2/3 innings his last time out.
Moore has pitched well lately thanks to better command and extra velocity on his fastball. He is 5-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 11 starts at Tropicana Field in '16. He is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts vs. the O's despite them hitting just .196 vs. him.
Baltimore Orioles are: 10-1 in Tillman?s last 11 starts against the AL East....and 4-0 in Tillman?s last 4 starts against the Rays....The Rays have lost 11 of Matt Moore's last 15
Rodriguez's success against the Yankees was part of an impressive rookie season that saw him go 10-6 with a 3.85 ERA. He has struggled to follow it up, going 0-3 with a 10.03 ERA over his last five starts.
The left-hander was so ineffective June 27 at Tampa Bay -- when he allowed nine runs and 11 hits in 2 2/3 innings -- that it earned him a demotion to Triple-A Pawtucket.
In Triple-A, he made two starts while allowing two runs in 10 innings as he used some new mechanics.
"(He) looks like he's gaining some comfort with the hand position that has widely been talked about," manager John Farrell told reporters last week.
---------------
ATLANTA -102 over Colorado
Mike Foltynewicz came to Atlanta from the Astros in the Evan Gattis deal in January of 2015. The former first round pick heads to the mound today after an impressive outing versus the White Sox on July 10th. The big 6'4? flame-thrower tossed seven scoreless innings while striking out 10. We love it when guys can get outs on their own and Folty does just that. He's has 45 K's in 49 innings this season all behind his 95.9 mile per hour heater. His swing and miss rate in his last start was 17% with an xERA of 2.01. Foltynewicz is getting progressively better with each start but perhaps more importantly is that he?s throwing with confidence. There is no denying the talent here and now he has the experience and confidence to go with it. As a small underdog in his home park, Foltynewicz is the true value play here.
Chad Bettis put up some great numbers to start the season considering he plays half his games in Denver. In May and June, Bettis posted a 6-3 record and a 2.69 ERA. He had a high profile start at Dodger Stadium June 6th that got him a win and a ton of attention but it's been all downhill since then. In his last four starts, Bettis has given up 12 runs on 21 hits in 21.1 innings while striking out just eight. With 78 K?s in 102 innings and a 52% groundball rate, Bettis manages to keep his head above water by keeping the ball out of the thin air in Colorado. His dominant start/disaster start split speaks to his "not horribleness." While Bettis has some appeal, it only applies when he?s taking back a tag. As the chalk on the road, his value disappears. The Rocks scored a rare 11 times on the road last night so their appeal is stronger today than it was yesterday. That?s our cue to jump in, as we get the home team and the much better arm in an evenly priced game.
Boston +112 over N.Y. YANKEES
We?re not going to go too deep into the starters here because it?s not very relevant. What?s relevant is that both pitchers are replacement level guys that would have a hard time cracking most of the rotations at this level. Even if C.C. Sabathia is superior to Chi-Chi Rodriguez, does it really matter? That?s like saying Bob Barker could defeat Larry King in a 100-yard dash. The bottom line is that the Yanks offense continues to make a lot of bad pitchers look good while the Red Sox offense can make a lot of good pitchers look bad. We told you about Sabathia?s good fortune six starts ago but it has caught up to him. Sabathia's posted two-straight disasters at home, in addition to three of his last four starts overall. He?ll now face a Red Sox lineup that has a .886 OPS over the last 14 days, which is second in the league.
The Yankees continue to be overpriced almost daily and it?s not warranted. New York?s meat, the 4, 5 and 6 guys in the batting lineup consists of Brian McCann (.244), Mark Texeria (.189) and Alex Rodriguez (.221). That trio couldn?t be the 7, 8 and 9 hitters on most AL clubs. New York?s batting lineup is filled with rally killers that strike out often and that have no shot of beating out a double-play ball. C.C. Sabathia is New York?s biggest starting pitcher risk and there is no chance that we?re going to miss fading him today or any day when he?s favored.
Royals at Tigers
Play: Royals
Question: Who is the Royals' best starter? I'd go with Danny Duffy. He's made 11 starts since becoming a part of the Royals' starting rotation and gone 4-1 with a 3.11 ERA. Kansas City is 8-3 in Duffy's starts this season. The key for Duffy is better control. He has a 23-to-one strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last three starts.
Duffy has built up his stamina, too, going into the seventh inning during his last three starts. Kansas City has the stronger bullpen and could get back closer Wade Davis from the DL today.
Mike Pelfrey has a 5.35 career ERA in seven starts versus the Royals. Pelfrey actually is pitching better of late. But at 32 he is who he is - a fringe starter who is lucky to have a rotation start. Pelfrey has a 4.58 ERA on the season and a fastball that couldn't break glass. Pelfrey doesn't go deep into games either. He's yet to pitch past the seven inning this season.
Note, too, that the Tigers will be without Justin Upton. He's on the bereavement list.
Houston @ Seattle
Pick: Seattle +103
Seattle looks to bounce back from Friday when one bad inning cost the Mariners a 7-3 loss to Houston. Seattle has won eight of Hisashi Iwakuma's last 10 starts, including his last appearance when he allowed just one run and five hits in 6 2/3 innings at Kansas City. The right-hander usually gives his team a solid six or seven innings and he is 5-2 at home this year and has a 3.29 ERA at Safeco Field the last three seasons. Lance McCullers had problems against Oakland last Saturday when he didn't make it past four innings, giving up three runs and seven hits and walking four. McCullers has a 6.89 road ERA and the Astros are 3-11 in his last 14 road starts dating to last season.
Chicago at Los Angeles
Pick: Los Angeles
James Shields won 13 games in his first season with the SD Padres last year, which was considered a disappointment. However, he did NOTHING right to open the 2016 with the Padres, going 2-7 with a 4.28 ERA in 11 starts (team was 2-9). He was traded to the Chicago White Sox on June 4 for reliever Erik Johnson and a minor leaguer and things got even worse in his first four starts for Chicago. Incredibly, he allowed 24 earned ERs on 29 hits and 13 walks in just 13.2 innings (note: he failed to last more than two innings in two of the starts), posting an ERA of 15.80. Somehow, he?s managed to turn things around over his last three starts, going 2-1 with a 2.21 ERA.
James Shields is 4-10 with a 5.42 ERA over 18 starts with both the Padres and White Sox in 2016, as those teams are 5-13 in his starts, losing $817 at $100 per game. However, he takes the mound Saturday in Anaheim against the Los Angeles Angels, hoping his last three starts will become the ?new norm.? It could help that in his 14 career starts vs the Angels he?s 7-3 with a 3.29 ERA (teams are 11-3). Opposing Shields will be Matt Shoemaker (4-9, 4.45 ERA). Shoemaker got off to a brutal start in 2016, opening 1-4 with a 9.15 ERA in five April starts. That resulted in a demotion to Triple-A. However, due to injuries to LA?s starting staff, the Angels had little choice but to call up Shoemaker just 10 days later.
Shoemaker has been a different pitcher since his recall, posting a 3.18 ERA in May, June and so far in July. Don?t dismiss the fact that he owns an 81-12 KW ratio over 76.1 innings since the end of April. He will take the mound tonight in Anaheim having allowed just four ERs over his last five home outings (35.1 innings), serving up three scoreless performances and an overall ERA of 0.98! I?ll back the home team.
Toronto FC at San Jose Earthquakes
Play: Toronto FC +278
A late night match up for Saturday's Free Play and a nice priced underdog with the away side Toronto FC here. Toronto come off a pretty good effort and 1-1 draw in their midweek away match at Colombus while missing and resting some starters ahead of today's match. Leading goalscorer Giovinco was rested and will start tonight, likely along side Hamilton although I expect Jozy Altidore to finally make a return after a hamstring injury that's kept him out over 6 weeks. He'll be the key to getting Giovinco some space and back onto the scoresheet as his scoring drought coincided with the Altidore injury. The TFC backline has been solid all season and although Bradley is still missing from the midfield after an injury with the US men's team in the Copa America the trio of Chapman, Cheyrou and Osorio have filled in well in his absence. Both sides are in need of points to get into the playoff race but with San Jose's form being off the past month I'll take a shot with the away side here. Toronto have what will be a long extended home schedule coming up where they've played well and can be expected to pick up some valuable points so tonight might be a good opportunity to open it up and go for the full 3 ahead of the long homestand. With the price at +278 on a TFC win I'll give it a shot here.
San Diego Padres +1.5 -120
The Padres got the 4-1 win over the Giants yesterday in the series opener. San Diego has a subpar record on the season but they have won 13 of their past 24 home games to at least get back to playing respectable ball at home. They also finally shook their season-long curse against San Francisco as they had been 0-9 against the Giants this season before getting the streak-snapping win yesterday. A lot of times all it takes is one win to spur a streak going in the other direction and we expect that to be the case here. However, the biggest value here is with laying the short price to have the +1.5 runs with San Diego on their home field. Luis Perdomo gets the start for the Padres and he has gone at least 6 innings while allowing 3 earned runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts. We expect another quality start from Perdomo here. The Giants will have Jeff Samardzija toeing the rubber this evening and the San Francisco right-hander is off of a good start but had allowed 16 earned runs in 16 innings over his 3 prior starts.
04:05 PM [917] BOS RED SOX +110 ( E RODRIGUEZ -L / C SABATHIA -L )
04:10 PM [920] TOTAL u8-110 (HOU ASTROS vrs SEA MARINERS) ( L MCCULLERS -R / H IWAKUMA -R )
02:20 PM [9929] TEX RANGERS -1.5 +208 ( Y DARVISH -R / J HAMMEL -R )
1 unit bet pays 25 ....betdsi line ... evening parlay later...
MLB parlays: 10-104, -26.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The Rangers made the decision after Darvish, who had been on the disabled list since June 13 with discomfort in his right shoulder, threw a bullpen session on Wednesday at Globe Life Park without any issues. This will be Darvish's first start since June 8 against the Astros. The right-hander made three starts for the Rangers after missing 14 months while recovering from Tommy John surgery before returning to the DL. He has made two starts on his rehab assignment, with the last one coming on Monday in Frisco. Darvish allowed three runs on five innings, throwing 72 pitches and classifying it as a "good overall outing."
The Cubs have gone 3-14 in their last 17 against teams with a winning record. That is staggering. Yu Darvish has been very good coming back from injury
Darvish worked so hard on his rehab that the Rangers had to work on what to do with his extra strength.
"He practically had to learn how to compensate for the added power that he had," Rangers general manager Jon Daniels said Friday. "He worked out so hard on his rehab that his legs got so strong, his lower half got so strong that he was throwing a little bit harder.
"Fortunately for him, for us he's ready to go and obviously he's a huge part of our club."
On one hand, Eduardo Rodriguez, who's long had intriguing potential, is in a good spot to start the second half on the right foot as he travels to the Bronx to face the Yankees, who have been the worst lineup in the American League against lefty pitching this season (87 wRC+). On the other hand, Rodriguez has been a liability this season, as he's allowed five or more runs in half of his six starts this year, including getting walloped by the Rays for nine runs in just 2 2/3 innings his last time out.
Moore has pitched well lately thanks to better command and extra velocity on his fastball. He is 5-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 11 starts at Tropicana Field in '16. He is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts vs. the O's despite them hitting just .196 vs. him.
Baltimore Orioles are: 10-1 in Tillman?s last 11 starts against the AL East....and 4-0 in Tillman?s last 4 starts against the Rays....The Rays have lost 11 of Matt Moore's last 15
Rodriguez's success against the Yankees was part of an impressive rookie season that saw him go 10-6 with a 3.85 ERA. He has struggled to follow it up, going 0-3 with a 10.03 ERA over his last five starts.
The left-hander was so ineffective June 27 at Tampa Bay -- when he allowed nine runs and 11 hits in 2 2/3 innings -- that it earned him a demotion to Triple-A Pawtucket.
In Triple-A, he made two starts while allowing two runs in 10 innings as he used some new mechanics.
"(He) looks like he's gaining some comfort with the hand position that has widely been talked about," manager John Farrell told reporters last week.
---------------
ATLANTA -102 over Colorado
Mike Foltynewicz came to Atlanta from the Astros in the Evan Gattis deal in January of 2015. The former first round pick heads to the mound today after an impressive outing versus the White Sox on July 10th. The big 6'4? flame-thrower tossed seven scoreless innings while striking out 10. We love it when guys can get outs on their own and Folty does just that. He's has 45 K's in 49 innings this season all behind his 95.9 mile per hour heater. His swing and miss rate in his last start was 17% with an xERA of 2.01. Foltynewicz is getting progressively better with each start but perhaps more importantly is that he?s throwing with confidence. There is no denying the talent here and now he has the experience and confidence to go with it. As a small underdog in his home park, Foltynewicz is the true value play here.
Chad Bettis put up some great numbers to start the season considering he plays half his games in Denver. In May and June, Bettis posted a 6-3 record and a 2.69 ERA. He had a high profile start at Dodger Stadium June 6th that got him a win and a ton of attention but it's been all downhill since then. In his last four starts, Bettis has given up 12 runs on 21 hits in 21.1 innings while striking out just eight. With 78 K?s in 102 innings and a 52% groundball rate, Bettis manages to keep his head above water by keeping the ball out of the thin air in Colorado. His dominant start/disaster start split speaks to his "not horribleness." While Bettis has some appeal, it only applies when he?s taking back a tag. As the chalk on the road, his value disappears. The Rocks scored a rare 11 times on the road last night so their appeal is stronger today than it was yesterday. That?s our cue to jump in, as we get the home team and the much better arm in an evenly priced game.
Boston +112 over N.Y. YANKEES
We?re not going to go too deep into the starters here because it?s not very relevant. What?s relevant is that both pitchers are replacement level guys that would have a hard time cracking most of the rotations at this level. Even if C.C. Sabathia is superior to Chi-Chi Rodriguez, does it really matter? That?s like saying Bob Barker could defeat Larry King in a 100-yard dash. The bottom line is that the Yanks offense continues to make a lot of bad pitchers look good while the Red Sox offense can make a lot of good pitchers look bad. We told you about Sabathia?s good fortune six starts ago but it has caught up to him. Sabathia's posted two-straight disasters at home, in addition to three of his last four starts overall. He?ll now face a Red Sox lineup that has a .886 OPS over the last 14 days, which is second in the league.
The Yankees continue to be overpriced almost daily and it?s not warranted. New York?s meat, the 4, 5 and 6 guys in the batting lineup consists of Brian McCann (.244), Mark Texeria (.189) and Alex Rodriguez (.221). That trio couldn?t be the 7, 8 and 9 hitters on most AL clubs. New York?s batting lineup is filled with rally killers that strike out often and that have no shot of beating out a double-play ball. C.C. Sabathia is New York?s biggest starting pitcher risk and there is no chance that we?re going to miss fading him today or any day when he?s favored.
Royals at Tigers
Play: Royals
Question: Who is the Royals' best starter? I'd go with Danny Duffy. He's made 11 starts since becoming a part of the Royals' starting rotation and gone 4-1 with a 3.11 ERA. Kansas City is 8-3 in Duffy's starts this season. The key for Duffy is better control. He has a 23-to-one strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last three starts.
Duffy has built up his stamina, too, going into the seventh inning during his last three starts. Kansas City has the stronger bullpen and could get back closer Wade Davis from the DL today.
Mike Pelfrey has a 5.35 career ERA in seven starts versus the Royals. Pelfrey actually is pitching better of late. But at 32 he is who he is - a fringe starter who is lucky to have a rotation start. Pelfrey has a 4.58 ERA on the season and a fastball that couldn't break glass. Pelfrey doesn't go deep into games either. He's yet to pitch past the seven inning this season.
Note, too, that the Tigers will be without Justin Upton. He's on the bereavement list.
Houston @ Seattle
Pick: Seattle +103
Seattle looks to bounce back from Friday when one bad inning cost the Mariners a 7-3 loss to Houston. Seattle has won eight of Hisashi Iwakuma's last 10 starts, including his last appearance when he allowed just one run and five hits in 6 2/3 innings at Kansas City. The right-hander usually gives his team a solid six or seven innings and he is 5-2 at home this year and has a 3.29 ERA at Safeco Field the last three seasons. Lance McCullers had problems against Oakland last Saturday when he didn't make it past four innings, giving up three runs and seven hits and walking four. McCullers has a 6.89 road ERA and the Astros are 3-11 in his last 14 road starts dating to last season.
Chicago at Los Angeles
Pick: Los Angeles
James Shields won 13 games in his first season with the SD Padres last year, which was considered a disappointment. However, he did NOTHING right to open the 2016 with the Padres, going 2-7 with a 4.28 ERA in 11 starts (team was 2-9). He was traded to the Chicago White Sox on June 4 for reliever Erik Johnson and a minor leaguer and things got even worse in his first four starts for Chicago. Incredibly, he allowed 24 earned ERs on 29 hits and 13 walks in just 13.2 innings (note: he failed to last more than two innings in two of the starts), posting an ERA of 15.80. Somehow, he?s managed to turn things around over his last three starts, going 2-1 with a 2.21 ERA.
James Shields is 4-10 with a 5.42 ERA over 18 starts with both the Padres and White Sox in 2016, as those teams are 5-13 in his starts, losing $817 at $100 per game. However, he takes the mound Saturday in Anaheim against the Los Angeles Angels, hoping his last three starts will become the ?new norm.? It could help that in his 14 career starts vs the Angels he?s 7-3 with a 3.29 ERA (teams are 11-3). Opposing Shields will be Matt Shoemaker (4-9, 4.45 ERA). Shoemaker got off to a brutal start in 2016, opening 1-4 with a 9.15 ERA in five April starts. That resulted in a demotion to Triple-A. However, due to injuries to LA?s starting staff, the Angels had little choice but to call up Shoemaker just 10 days later.
Shoemaker has been a different pitcher since his recall, posting a 3.18 ERA in May, June and so far in July. Don?t dismiss the fact that he owns an 81-12 KW ratio over 76.1 innings since the end of April. He will take the mound tonight in Anaheim having allowed just four ERs over his last five home outings (35.1 innings), serving up three scoreless performances and an overall ERA of 0.98! I?ll back the home team.
Toronto FC at San Jose Earthquakes
Play: Toronto FC +278
A late night match up for Saturday's Free Play and a nice priced underdog with the away side Toronto FC here. Toronto come off a pretty good effort and 1-1 draw in their midweek away match at Colombus while missing and resting some starters ahead of today's match. Leading goalscorer Giovinco was rested and will start tonight, likely along side Hamilton although I expect Jozy Altidore to finally make a return after a hamstring injury that's kept him out over 6 weeks. He'll be the key to getting Giovinco some space and back onto the scoresheet as his scoring drought coincided with the Altidore injury. The TFC backline has been solid all season and although Bradley is still missing from the midfield after an injury with the US men's team in the Copa America the trio of Chapman, Cheyrou and Osorio have filled in well in his absence. Both sides are in need of points to get into the playoff race but with San Jose's form being off the past month I'll take a shot with the away side here. Toronto have what will be a long extended home schedule coming up where they've played well and can be expected to pick up some valuable points so tonight might be a good opportunity to open it up and go for the full 3 ahead of the long homestand. With the price at +278 on a TFC win I'll give it a shot here.
San Diego Padres +1.5 -120
The Padres got the 4-1 win over the Giants yesterday in the series opener. San Diego has a subpar record on the season but they have won 13 of their past 24 home games to at least get back to playing respectable ball at home. They also finally shook their season-long curse against San Francisco as they had been 0-9 against the Giants this season before getting the streak-snapping win yesterday. A lot of times all it takes is one win to spur a streak going in the other direction and we expect that to be the case here. However, the biggest value here is with laying the short price to have the +1.5 runs with San Diego on their home field. Luis Perdomo gets the start for the Padres and he has gone at least 6 innings while allowing 3 earned runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts. We expect another quality start from Perdomo here. The Giants will have Jeff Samardzija toeing the rubber this evening and the San Francisco right-hander is off of a good start but had allowed 16 earned runs in 16 innings over his 3 prior starts.
