Billy Coleman
5 Star Fld. Marlins
3 Star Cold Rockies
3 Star UNDER Mets
3 Star UNDER White Sox
========================
Rocketman Sports
Plays are rated 1-5 units!
Cincinnati @ Cleveland 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Cincinnati (Van Poppel/Elarton) Listed
Cincinnati is 26-16 against right handed starters this year. Cincinnati is 8-1 when playing on Saturday this year. Elarton is 0-6 with a 9.80 ERA overall this year, 0-4 with a 11.03 ERA at home this year, and 0-2 with a 9.64 ERA his last 3 starts.
Florida @ Detroit 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Florida (Penny/Robertson) Listed
Florida is 80-54 in interleague games since 1997. Florida is 117-72 +44 units last 3 years when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Detroit is 23-52 since 1997 after 3 or more consecutive wins. Detroit is 31-76 since 1997 and 20-61 last 3 years at home when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Detroit is 34-92 last 3 years overall when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Penny is 6-3 with a 2.62 ERA overall this year including a 2.52 ERA on the road. Robertson has a 6.31 ERA at home this year.
Atlanta @ Chicago White Sox 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Atlanta (Thomson/Loaiza) Listed
Atlanta is 21-14 since 1997 and 13-7 last 3 years as a road underdog of +125 to +150. Atlanta is 27-10 in interleague games last 3 years. Thomson has a 1.80 ERA his last 3 starts. Atlanta is 4-0 vs White Sox since 1997. Thomson is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA vs White Sox since 1997.
Chicago Cubs @ Anaheim 10:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Anaheim (Rusch/Colon) Listed
Cubs are 1-6 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Rusch is 0-3 with a 10.13 ERA vs Anaheim since 1997.
============================================
Sean Michaels
(rated the same)
1) Houston
2) Fla
3) Atl
4)Minn
5) Tex
6)Mont.
=============================
Net Prophet for Sat 6/12:
MLB:
Kansas City (George) +126 over NY Mets (Leiter)
Oakland (Redman) -174 over Pittsburgh (Vogelsong)
Atlanta (Thompson) +150 over Chicago WS (Loaiza)
St. Louis (Carpenter) -130 over Texas (Drese)
Seattle/Montreal UNDER 7' -110
=====================================
NSA
20 ANGELS (AGAIN)
======================
WinOnBaseball
Five plays for Saturday:
OVER 10.5 SD (TANKERSLEY)/NYY (LIEBER) +105 - 1 UNIT - 1:05pm Pacific
Tankersley has looked good in his two starts, but those were against Milwaukee. His downfall has always been his control, as he's been known to walk a lot of batters. New York's lineup can take advantage of that much better than Milwaukee's. Lieber has been struggling, and San Diego's lineup has performed well against groundball pitchers like him.
UNDER 8.5 FLA (PENNY)/DET (ROBERTSON) -118 - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Penny has been pitching at a high level all year long. He got beat against the Mets his last time out, but he always seems to have bad luck against them. The team gave him an extra day off, so he should be strong. Robertson has been pitching better than his ERA would indicate. If you throw out two disastrous starts against the Angels, his ERA would be in the mid 2's. His strikeout rate has been very impressive. The Florida lineup as a whole performs worse against lefties.
UNDER 9 ATL (THOMSON)/CHW (LOAIZA) -109 - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Not counting his last start (threw only 25 pitches due to rain), Thomson has pitched 7 innings in his last three starts. This is important, as Thomson has always had problems with stamina. Over that span, he has given up only 2 ER. A quality righty like him should fare well against the righty dominated Sox lineup. Loaiza's stuff should be hard to handle against a lineup that hasn't really faced him.
STL (CARPENTER) -124 over Tex (Drese) - 1 UNIT - 5:05pm Pacific
Drese sports a 2.37 ERA at Arlington. I'm inclined to think that this is an aberration, as he had an ERA over 7 at home last year. Moreover, his road ERA is double his home ERA, so something is wrong with that picture. Chances are that his home ERA will begin to inflate as it begins to normalize. The Cardinal lineup can more than handle their own against a groundballer like Drese, and I think they can start pumping up his home ERA. Carpenter has been excellent, and he's reached a point where a line like this seems like a bargain given his defense playing behind him, the bullpen, and offensive support. Pujols may play as DH, which will obviously help, but I'm not counting on it.
OVER 9.5 CHC (RUSCH)/ANA (COLON) +106 - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
Colon has pitched poorly in his last 8 or 9 starts. He could be hiding an injury, as his poor spell started at around the same time he was complaining of back stiffness. His velocity has been down, as he hasn't been hitting his usual mid-upper 90s on the radar gun anymore. Rusch has started off pretty well, but he doesn't have good stuff, so I expect him to fall back to Earth some. Garrett Anderson back in the lineup will help the Angels tremendously. Both teams should be able to score fairly easily in this one.
========================================
BOB G
72-40 64% +49.5
2*-SF/BAL over 9.5 (gm 2)
===============================
AAA
Montreal Expos +160 (Vargas/Moyer) 3%
=================================
Rainman
Colorado+115
Atl/CWS under 9
Minnesota +120
==================================
5 Star Fld. Marlins
3 Star Cold Rockies
3 Star UNDER Mets
3 Star UNDER White Sox
========================
Rocketman Sports
Plays are rated 1-5 units!
Cincinnati @ Cleveland 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Cincinnati (Van Poppel/Elarton) Listed
Cincinnati is 26-16 against right handed starters this year. Cincinnati is 8-1 when playing on Saturday this year. Elarton is 0-6 with a 9.80 ERA overall this year, 0-4 with a 11.03 ERA at home this year, and 0-2 with a 9.64 ERA his last 3 starts.
Florida @ Detroit 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Florida (Penny/Robertson) Listed
Florida is 80-54 in interleague games since 1997. Florida is 117-72 +44 units last 3 years when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Detroit is 23-52 since 1997 after 3 or more consecutive wins. Detroit is 31-76 since 1997 and 20-61 last 3 years at home when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Detroit is 34-92 last 3 years overall when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Penny is 6-3 with a 2.62 ERA overall this year including a 2.52 ERA on the road. Robertson has a 6.31 ERA at home this year.
Atlanta @ Chicago White Sox 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Atlanta (Thomson/Loaiza) Listed
Atlanta is 21-14 since 1997 and 13-7 last 3 years as a road underdog of +125 to +150. Atlanta is 27-10 in interleague games last 3 years. Thomson has a 1.80 ERA his last 3 starts. Atlanta is 4-0 vs White Sox since 1997. Thomson is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA vs White Sox since 1997.
Chicago Cubs @ Anaheim 10:05 PM EST
Play On: 3* Anaheim (Rusch/Colon) Listed
Cubs are 1-6 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Rusch is 0-3 with a 10.13 ERA vs Anaheim since 1997.
============================================
Sean Michaels
(rated the same)
1) Houston
2) Fla
3) Atl
4)Minn
5) Tex
6)Mont.
=============================
Net Prophet for Sat 6/12:
MLB:
Kansas City (George) +126 over NY Mets (Leiter)
Oakland (Redman) -174 over Pittsburgh (Vogelsong)
Atlanta (Thompson) +150 over Chicago WS (Loaiza)
St. Louis (Carpenter) -130 over Texas (Drese)
Seattle/Montreal UNDER 7' -110
=====================================
NSA
20 ANGELS (AGAIN)
======================
WinOnBaseball
Five plays for Saturday:
OVER 10.5 SD (TANKERSLEY)/NYY (LIEBER) +105 - 1 UNIT - 1:05pm Pacific
Tankersley has looked good in his two starts, but those were against Milwaukee. His downfall has always been his control, as he's been known to walk a lot of batters. New York's lineup can take advantage of that much better than Milwaukee's. Lieber has been struggling, and San Diego's lineup has performed well against groundball pitchers like him.
UNDER 8.5 FLA (PENNY)/DET (ROBERTSON) -118 - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Penny has been pitching at a high level all year long. He got beat against the Mets his last time out, but he always seems to have bad luck against them. The team gave him an extra day off, so he should be strong. Robertson has been pitching better than his ERA would indicate. If you throw out two disastrous starts against the Angels, his ERA would be in the mid 2's. His strikeout rate has been very impressive. The Florida lineup as a whole performs worse against lefties.
UNDER 9 ATL (THOMSON)/CHW (LOAIZA) -109 - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Not counting his last start (threw only 25 pitches due to rain), Thomson has pitched 7 innings in his last three starts. This is important, as Thomson has always had problems with stamina. Over that span, he has given up only 2 ER. A quality righty like him should fare well against the righty dominated Sox lineup. Loaiza's stuff should be hard to handle against a lineup that hasn't really faced him.
STL (CARPENTER) -124 over Tex (Drese) - 1 UNIT - 5:05pm Pacific
Drese sports a 2.37 ERA at Arlington. I'm inclined to think that this is an aberration, as he had an ERA over 7 at home last year. Moreover, his road ERA is double his home ERA, so something is wrong with that picture. Chances are that his home ERA will begin to inflate as it begins to normalize. The Cardinal lineup can more than handle their own against a groundballer like Drese, and I think they can start pumping up his home ERA. Carpenter has been excellent, and he's reached a point where a line like this seems like a bargain given his defense playing behind him, the bullpen, and offensive support. Pujols may play as DH, which will obviously help, but I'm not counting on it.
OVER 9.5 CHC (RUSCH)/ANA (COLON) +106 - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
Colon has pitched poorly in his last 8 or 9 starts. He could be hiding an injury, as his poor spell started at around the same time he was complaining of back stiffness. His velocity has been down, as he hasn't been hitting his usual mid-upper 90s on the radar gun anymore. Rusch has started off pretty well, but he doesn't have good stuff, so I expect him to fall back to Earth some. Garrett Anderson back in the lineup will help the Angels tremendously. Both teams should be able to score fairly easily in this one.
========================================
BOB G
72-40 64% +49.5
2*-SF/BAL over 9.5 (gm 2)
===============================
AAA
Montreal Expos +160 (Vargas/Moyer) 3%
=================================
Rainman
Colorado+115
Atl/CWS under 9
Minnesota +120
==================================
