Saturdays TRENDS.

[TJBELL]

Saturday, October 22nd

Syracuse at Pittsburgh, 12:00 EST
Syracuse: 8-22 ATS as a road underdog
Pittsburgh: 13-3 ATS at home off a conference win

Northwestern at Michigan State, 12:00 EST
Northwestern: 18-7 ATS away off a road game
Michigan State: 18-33 ATS off a conference loss

Michigan at Iowa, 12:00 EST
Michigan: 9-2 Over off an ATS loss
Iowa: 12-2 ATS as a home favorite

Ohio State at Indiana, 12:00 EST
Ohio State: 10-3 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Indiana: 7-0 Under off a road loss

(TC) Florida State at Duke, 3:30 EST
Florida State: 19-7 ATS off BB ATS losses
Duke: 0-6 ATS this season

(TC) NC State at Wake Forest, 3:30 EST
NC State: 3-13 ATS as a favorite
Wake Forest: 7-0 Under off a loss by 6 points or less

Virginia at North Carolina, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Virginia: 5-15 ATS away off an Under
North Carolina: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

(TC) Vanderbilt at South Carolina, 3:30 EST
Vanderbilt: 8-2 ATS off 3+ losses
South Carolina: 9-21 ATS off an Over

(TC) Baylor at Oklahoma, 7:00 EST TBS
Baylor: 8-0 ATS off an ATS loss
Oklahoma: 2-8 ATS off an Under

Arkansas at Georgia, 12:30 EST
Arkansas: 8-2 Over in road games
Georgia: 0-6 ATS off a win by 17+ points

Nebraska at Missouri, 12:30 EST FSN
Nebraska: 28-12 ATS off a road win
Missouri: 7-1 Under off a home win

Northern Illinois at Kent State, 1:00 EST
Northern Illinois: 1-4 ATS off BB conference wins by 10+ points
Kent State: 6-1 ATS off 3+ losses

(TC) Temple at Clemson, 12:40 EST
Temple: 16-32 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Clemson: 6-1 Over off an Under

Ball State at Ohio U, 2:00 EST
Ball State: 5-1 ATS off a home loss by 14+ points
Ohio U: 2-10 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

(TC) East Carolina at Memphis, 3:30 EST
East Carolina: 7-17 ATS off a road win
Memphis: 1-9 ATS off a home conference win

Houston at Mississippi State, 2:30 EST
Houston: 6-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Mississippi State: 1-8 ATS off BB conference losses

BYU at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST NBC
BYU: 18-3 Under off BB Unders
Notre Dame: 1-8 ATS at home off an Under

SMU at Tulsa, 3:00 EST
SMU: 9-0 Under off an ATS loss
Tulsa: 13-32 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points

TCU at Air Force, 3:00 EST
TCU: 5-1 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Air Force: 1-7 ATS off BB Unders

Tennessee at Alabama, 3:30 EST CBS
Tennessee: 17-6 ATS away in October
Alabama: 12-25 ATS at home after allowing 14 points or less

(TC) Washington State at California, 10:15 EST FSN
Washington State: 1-9 ATS in October
California: 4-1 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

(TC) Rutgers at Connecticut, 3:00 EST
Rutgers: 0-8 ATS after forcing 5+ turnovers
Connecticut: 5-1 Under vs. conference opponents

Purdue at Wisconsin, 3:30 EST ABC
Purdue: 1-9 ATS off BB games allowing 450+ total yards
Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS in home games

(TC) Texas A&M at Kansas State, 2:10 EST
Texas A&M: 2-11 ATS off 3+ conference games
Kansas State: 26-13 ATS off a straight up loss

(TC) Oklahoma State at Iowa State, 2:00 EST
Oklahoma State: 14-5 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points
Iowa State: 0-8 ATS off 3+ losses

(TC) Georgia Tech at Miami FL, 12:00 EST ABC
Georgia Tech: 6-1 Under in October
Miami FL: 1-5 ATS off a win by 28+ points

(TC) Kansas at Colorado, 7:00 EST
Kansas: 8-21 ATS off a home conference loss
Colorado: 10-2 Over as a home favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Western Michigan at Bowling Green, 4:00 EST
Western Michigan: 2-8 ATS in October
Bowling Green: 9-1 ATS after allowing 9 points or less

(TC) Oregon State at UCLA, 4:00 EST TBS
Oregon State: 8-0 ATS off BB conference games
UCLA: 8-2 Under off 3+ conference games

Fresno State at Idaho, 5:00 EST
Fresno State: 4-20 ATS away in October
Idaho: 5-1 ATS off 3+ games rushing for 125 yards or less

Miami OH at Eastern Michigan, 6:00 EST
Miami OH: 17-7 ATS as a favorite
Eastern Michigan: 6-1 Under this season

Hawaii at San Jose State, 6:00 EST
Hawaii: 13-3 Over off an Over
San Jose State: 1-14 ATS off BB road losses

Tulane at Central Florida, 6:00 EST
Tulane: 8-2 Under on Saturdays
Central Florida: 6-15 ATS off a straight up loss

Army at Akron, 6:00 EST
Army: 3-11 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Akron: 4-1 ATS off a conference loss

(TC) Texas Tech at Texas, 3:30 EST
Texas Tech: 8-2 Over in October
Texas: 6-0 ATS this season

(TC) Kentucky at Mississippi, 2:00 EST
Kentucky: 3-11 ATS off BB games allowing 31+ points
Mississippi: 12-4 Under off a home loss

(TC) Louisville at Cincinnati, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Louisville: 0-10 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Cincinnati: 17-6 ATS at home off a home game

Penn State at Illinois, 7:00 EST ESPN
Penn State: 9-2 Under in road games
Illinois: 1-10 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

West Virginia at South Florida, 7:00 EST ESPNU
West Virginia: 2-8 ATS off BB conference games
South Florida: 4-1 ATS this season

Utah at UNLV, 7:00 EST
Utah: 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
UNLV: 2-8 ATS off a loss by 28+ points

(TC) Wyoming at Colorado State, 3:00 EST
Wyoming: 5-1 ATS off BB losses
Colorado State: 6-1 Under in October

Buffalo at Toledo, 7:00 EST
Buffalo: 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
Toledo: 11-1 ATS in home games

Oregon at Arizona, 7:00 EST
Oregon: 9-2 ATS off a conference game
Arizona: 9-21 ATS at home off a home game

Auburn at LSU, 7:45 EST ESPN
Auburn: 7-0 ATS in October
LSU: 5-20 ATS at home off 3+ conference games

Marshall at UTEP, 9:00 EST
Marshall: 2-9 ATS off a conference game
UTEP: 9-1 ATS in October

New Mexico at San Diego State, 10:00 EST
New Mexico: 8-2 ATS off an Under
San Diego State: 3-10 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

(TC) Arizona State at Stanford, 5:00 EST
Arizona State: 2-9 ATS off a loss as a 14+ point favorite
Stanford: 13-3 Over off a conference win by 7 points or less

(TC) USC at Washington, 3:30 EST
USC: 8-1 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points
Washington: 9-24 ATS off a road loss

(TC) Boise State at Utah State, 6:30 EST ESPNU
Boise State: 35-11 ATS off a conference game
Utah State: 0-8 ATS off a road loss by 28+ points


Write-In Game:

Navy at Rice, 8:00 EST
Navy: 18-6 ATS off a non-conference game
Rice: 1-6 ATS off an Over


Added Games:

North Texas at Louisiana Tech, 4:00 EST
North Texas: 22-9 ATS off a conference win
Louisiana Tech: 0-6 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Louisiana Lafayette at Middle Tennessee State, 5:00 EST
LA Lafayette: 4-13 ATS away off an ATS win
Mid Tenn State: 6-1 Under in lined games

Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State, 7:00 EST
Florida Atl: 1-8 ATS on grass fields
Arkansas State: 8-4 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards

 

[TJBELL]

Coaching Trends:

College Football Coaching Trends:

Southern Miss ? Bower is 5-13 ATS away off 3 straight conference games
Northwestern ? Walker is 14-4 ATS off a SU road win
Michigan State ? Smith is 8-1 Over in October games
Iowa ? Ferentz is 17-6 ATS as a home favorite
Michigan ? Carr is 14-5 ATS off SU home favorite win but ATS loss
Florida State ? Bowden is 17-5 Under after forcing one or less turnovers
NC State ? Amato is 15-6 ATS as a dog or pick
Wake Forest ? Grobe is 1-8 ATS off a SU loss by 6 or less points
Virginia ? Groh is 1-9 ATS away off a SU conference win
Baylor ? Morris is 8-0 ATS off an ATS loss
Arkansas ? Nutt is 10-2 ATS off a SU loss by 17 or more points
Northern Illinois ? Novak is 9-0 ATS vs team who rush for less than 90 yards per game
Clemson ? Bowden is 11-2 ATS at home vs losing teams
Houston ? Briles is 6-0 ATS when line is -3 to +3 points
SMU ? Bennett is 5-14 ATS as a road underdog
Tennessee ? Fullmer is 10-2 ATS away off a SU conference loss
Washington State ? Doba is 1-9 ATS in October
Rutgers ? Schiano is 9-2 ATS vs teams who allow 17 or less points per game
Purdue ? Tiller is 3-12 ATS as a road dog
Wisconsin ? Alvarez is 14-5 ATS off a SU conference win by 7 or less points
Texas A&M ? Franchione is 2-10 ATS in the second half of the season
Kansas State ? Snyder is 6-0 ATS after a 21 or more point conference loss
Miami Florida ? Coker is 4-12 ATS off a SU win by 28 or more points
Georgia Tech ? Gailey is 9-1 Under in October games
Kansas ? Mangino is 4-13 ATS in the second half of the season
Colorado ? Barnett is 13-5 Over home vs conference opponents
Oregon State ? Riley is 15-6 ATS after forcing 3 or more turnovers
Fresno State ? Hill is 3-14 ATS away in October games
Hawaii ? Jones is 8-0 Over vs losing teams
Tulane ? Scelfo is 5-13 ATS after allowing 31 or more points in BB games
Toledo ? Amstutz is 18-5 ATS in home games
Auburn ? Tuberville is 11-1 Under vs team allowing 310 or less yards per game
Arizona State ? Koetter is 4-12 ATS away vs conference opponents
Boise State ? Hawkins is 21-6 ATS in the second half of the season

 

[TJBELL]

Saturday's Games
Televised Games
Michigan State allowed 69 points in losing last two games; they had coaching foul-up at end of half at Ohio State last week, and Coach Smith ripped staff publicly. Spartans are 6-15 vs spread in last 21 tries as home favorite; their last four games all went over. Northwestern won its last two games, covered its last three; the problem is they've allowed 34+ points in five of their six games. Road team covered six of last eight series games.

Iowa is 6-0-2 vs spread in its last eight games vs Michigan, as last two Wolverine visits to this site were close, high-scoring games (M32-26/I30-27). Lot of close games in Big 11 this season as last four Michigan games decided by three or less pts. Iowa is 27-4 vs spread in last 31 home games. Michigan is 0-3 vs the spread this year in game following a win. Hawkeyes won their last three games, all by 17+ points.

Indiana is better under Hoeppner, but they've lost last three in a row vs Buckeyes by scores of 45-17/30-7/35-6, as they ran ball 96 times for 97 yards in those games. Hoosiers are 4-2 in 2005, with both losses by 17 points. Ohio State is 18-32 vs spread in games following their last 50 wins. Road team is 9-3-1 vs spread in series. Buckeyes covered one of last five games on carpet. Indiana 6-12 in last 18 tries as a home underdog.

Florida State covered last four games vs outmanned Duke; only issue here is if Seminoles are banged up, and if so, do the give their subs a look, and have mercy on Duke squad that lost four games in row, three by 25+ points. FSU won last five series tilts by average score of 50-12. Florida State lost at Virginia last week they're 1-3 vs spread in games following their last four losses.

Road team covered seven of last nine Baylor-Oklahoma games; Morriss has Bears playing better football, but all three Sooners' wins this season are by 16+ points. Oklahoma won last five tilts vs Baylor by average score of 43-7, so even though Bears 4-0 vs spread on road this season, lot to ask, asking them to compete for 60:00 vs team that has waxed them every year. Sooners 3-6 vs spread in last nine tries as home favorite.

Last year was first time in 98 meetings Missouri was favored to beat Nebraska; this is #2; Tiger QB Smith had concussion last week in OT win over Iowa State, but freshman QB Daniel bailed them out and provided hope for future. Huskers 2-5 in their last seven tries as road dog; their first road game was last week, and they beat spunky Baylor squad. Mizzou had two defensive TD's last week in narrow escape over Cyclones.

BYU covered just five of its last 16 non-league road games, but they won last two games to even record at 3-3, here, they visit a Notre Dame squad that spilled its guts last week, came up short. Three of four Notre Dame wins this year have been by 19+ pts, but dogs covered both their home games. Irish are 3-6 in last 9 tries as home favorite. BYU has 431+ total yards in five of last six games. Wonder if they cut the grass on this field yet?

Visitor is 12-1 vs spread in this intense rivalry, with Tennessee 6-0 vs number in last six visits to this site. Both sides have key performers out for year with injury, Alabama has better situation at QB, but they've lost last two home tilts vs Vols by scores of 35-24/51-43. Tennessee is 9-4 in last 13 tries as road dog, but in last four games, only once have they run for more than 80 yards a bad sign. Bama is 0-3 as home favorite this season; they won in last minute at Ole Miss last week, in sub-par performance.

Cal lost last two games, allowing 70 points; QB Ayoob was just 13-39 passing, so hard to lay lot of points to Wazoo club that is 11-3 vs spread in last 14 series games and won last three games SU, winning last two at this site, 21-17/48-38. Coogs lost three in row, last two by FG each, as they've allowed 25 ppg just in the second half of last three games. All five Cal wins this season are by 15 or more points.

Visitor won last three Purdue-Wisconsin games, covering eight of last 11, with three tilts decided by total of just 12 points. It is four losses in row for Boilers, who allowed 39.8 ppg; they're just 3-11 vs spread in last 14 tries as road dog, while Badgers have allowed 85 points in last two games, but are 7-2-1 in last ten as a home favorite. Wisconsin had miracle win at Minnesota a week ago, scoring two TD's in last 2:3- for 38-34 upset win.

UCLA is 6-0, but last three wins are by 4,7,3 points; they've let opponents run ball for 659 yards and score 81 points in last two games, now they face old friend Moore, who transferred up to Corvallis after getting beat out for UCLA starting QB job, so a special game for him. Dogs covered six of last eight series tilts, with visitor winning last three. Beavers are 8-4-1 vs spread vs UCLA, but just 4-9 vs spread in last 13 games on natural grass.

Texas Tech lost four of last five games vs Texas, losing last two visits to this site by 43-7/43-40 scores; average total in last three series games is 78. Dogs are 8-4 vs spread in series, but Tech is just 8-15 vs spread in last 23 games on grass, as rhythm passing harder when not on fast carpet. Five of six Texas wins this year are by 25+ points; they're 2-0-1 as home favorite, with all six of their games this season going over total. Tech is 5-2 in its last seven tries as road underdog.

Louisville pounded Cincinnati last year, 70-7, in series where the favorite has covered seven of last eight games. Cards won their last two visits to this site, 28-13/43-40. Three of four Louisville wins this year are by 36+ points, but they've lost two of three on foreign soil, including OT loss at West Virginia last week. Cards are 0-3 as road favorite this year. Cincinnati is 3-0 at home, but all three of their losses are by 18+ points.

Illinois allowed 41.8 ppg in last four games, losing last three, as they've held only one foe under 30 points. Nittany Lions have to guard against letdown after last play loss at Ann Arbor last week, and Ohio State win week before that. Visitor covered five of last six Penn State-Illinois games, but Lions lost last visit to this site, 33-28. Illinois 4-10 vs spread in last 14 Big 11 home tilts. JoePa 3-6 vs spread in last nine tries as road favorite.

Former Utah offensive coordinator Sanford now the head man at UNLV, and Rebels are on a slide, losing four of last five games, with last two defeats by a combined score of 84-24; not good. Utes are 0-7 vs spread this season; they've allowed 26.7 ppg in losing their last three games. Rebel troubles have come on road; they're 2-0 at home, 6-4 in last ten tries as home dog, but cannot recommend either side in this game.

LSU won its last three games, as they get their lives back to normal, but they're 0-2 as home favorite this season. Home side won the last five Auburn-LSU games (4-0-1 vs the spread), with Auburn losing last two visits to this site by 27-14/ 31-7 scores. Auburn won last five games after opening loss; they're 17-9 vs spread in game following their last 26 wins, 5-2 in last seven as a road underdog. LSU is minus-6 in turnovers the last two games.

Carroll's beatings of Willingham-coached Irish teams are reason Tyrone is in Seattle now. USC trailed at half in three of last four games, as they play down to level of opponent; this is fourth road game in last five weeks, vs depressed foe that is 2-15 since start of last year; favorite covered last three UW home games. Trojans failed to cover last three games; they held Huskies to six first downs in last year's 38-0 win at Coliseum.

 

[TJBELL]

Other Games of Interest
-- Syracuse is 7-15 vs spread in last 22 tries as road underdog.
-- Wake Forest covered its last four home games vs NC State, but is 5-11 vs spread in games following their last sixteen losses.
-- Virginia covered eight of last nine games vs North Carolina.
-- South Carolina won last five games vs Vanderblt by average score of 32-16.
-- Georgia is just 3-7 vs spread in its last ten pre-Florida games.
-- Kent State covered four of last five as home dog; they lost 4 games in row, but last three were all by seven or less points.
-- Temple is non-competitive, losing last three games by average score of 47-6.
-- Ball State is 4-11 in its last fifteen tries as a road underdog.
-- Memphis is 9-17 vs spread in game following last 26 wins.
-- Mississippi State lost last three games, allowing 31.7 ppg.
-- Tulsa won four of last five games, with three of four wins by 15+ points.
-- TCU won its last five games; they're +15 in turnovers in their last four. Air Force won for first time in five games last week.
-- UConn is 13-6 vs spread after loss, but they're down to 3rd-string QB, who is a freshman. Rutgers won four of last five tilts.
-- Texas A&M covered three of last thirteen games on carpet, seven of last 26 games after a win.
-- Oklahoma State is 6-17 in last 23 tries as a road underdog.
-- Kansas scored total of six points in last two games; they'vs covered only 12 of last 32 tries as road underdog.
-- Bowling Green led Western Michigan 49-0 at half last year; they covered six of last nine tries as home favorite.
-- Idaho covered eight of its last 11 tries as home underdog.
-- Miami, OH covered 17 of last 23 tries as a favorite.
-- Average total in last 11 Hawai'i-San Jose games is 66.
-- Akron covered three of its last eleven games as home favorite.
-- Ole Miss is 5-12 in its last 17 games as an SEC home favorite.
-- Road team covered 10 of last 13 in Colorado State-Wyoming series, which is a local rivalry.
-- Toledo covered 12 of its last 14 games as a home favorite.
-- Oregon covered 11 of its last 14 games vs Arizona.
-- Texas-El Paso covered six of last seven conference home tilts.
-- Underdog is 10-5 vs spread in last 15 New Mexico-San Diego State games. Aztecs are 5-2 in last seven as a home favorite.
-- Average total in last seven Arizona St-Stanford games: 71.
-- Boise State covered just oen of last five as road favorite; they are 0-3 vs spread after a win this season.
-- Louisiana Tech is 14-8 vs spread in last 22 as a home fave.
-- Ul-Lafayette lost its last two visits to Middle Tennessee, by 41-38 and 48-35; they beat Raiders for first time in five tries last year, 24-17.
-- Florida Atlantic covered only one of its last six games.
-- Navy is 9-2 vs spread in their last eleven road games.

GOOD LUCK GUYS!!!! :thumb: