Scrabbled Dinosaur Eggs (Fri Plays)

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Nolan Dalla

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Forum Member
Sep 7, 2000
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Washington, DC/Las Vegas, NV
Okay, so we're all up early looking at tomorrow's card. My head feels like it's going to explode after yesterday, but I think I'm going to play straight through. Here's some early yummy breakfast for all the night owls. Cock-a-dooooodle-dooooooo!!!!!!


DAILY REPORT FOR FRIDAY

DAILY SPORTS HANDICAPPING REPORT
Friday, March 21, 2003


**************************************************
2003 NCAA BASKETBALL HANDICAPPING RECORD
ALL RESULTS COMBINED ??? 38 -- 27 -- 3
WIN PERCENTAGE?????.?.. 58 percent
SIDES????????????...... 35 -- 27 -- 3
TOTALS??????????.....?. 1 -- 0 -- 0
FIRST-HALF BETS??????.... 2 -- 0 -- 0
**************************************************
PREVIOUS RESULTS: A somewhat disappointing 7-6-1 day yesterday, especially considering how the day started. I'm still pissed at the way BYU, WISCONSIN, and SAN DIEGO blew the covers. It could have been a monster day, but we took some horrendous beats -- especially on those three games. Don't give me any feedback that "bad beats" eventually even out in the long run. This simply is NOT true. I'll write more about this topic when I get the chance. As for recommendations on DUKE and KANSAS, I must be insane. Serves me right laying points to get totally burned. Let that be a lesson.

W. KENTUCKY +9.5 vs. ILLINOIS -- WON

1H: W. KENTUCKY +5.5 vs. ILLINOIS -- WON

MISSOURI -4 vs. SO. ILLINOIS -- LOST

HOLY CROSS +11 vs. MARQUETTE -- WON

1H: HOLY CROSS +6 vs. MARQUETTE -- WON

ARIZONA STATE +3.5 vs. MEMPHIS -- WON

KANSAS -16 vs. UTAH STATE -- LOST

CINCINNATI -1 vs. GONZAGA -- LOST

C. MICHIGAN +4 vs. CREIGHTON -- WON

DUKE -14 vs. CSU -- LOST

BYU +4.5 vs. CONNECTICUT -- LOST

SAN DIEGO +7 vs. STANFORD -- LOST

WISCONSIN -7 vs. WEBER STATE -- PUSH

OKLAHOMA / SO. CAROLINA STATE UNDER 133.5 -- WON


FRIDAY: I'm cutting back somewhat on the plays for Friday. I often do well the first day of the tournament and then struggle on the second day of the opening round. Therefore, I am going to limit myself to only the games that look like clear betting values based on the research I've done.

MANHATTAN +7.5 vs. SYRACUSE

SAM HOUSTON +19 vs. FLORIDA

1H: SAM HOUSTON +11 vs. FLORIDA

TROY STATE / XAVIER OVER 155
 
N

Nolan Dalla

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 7, 2000
1,201
2
0
Washington, DC/Las Vegas, NV
MANHATTAN +7.5 vs. SYRACUSE
Orangemen are still very young and are vulnerable on defense. Stated simply, this is not one of the better Syracuse teams we have seen and the line is inflated based on reputation and supposedly the better Big East conference (how many games yesterday did the team from the "weaker" conference cover?). I've only seen Manhattan play once this season, but it was memorable. They showed the ability to play with the best of the Big East -- beating St. Johns and Setan Hall (both road wins!). In fact, Jaspers won 16 road games SU this season -- an astounding statistic. I look for Manhattan to win the crowd over with a gutsy performance. Manhattan is a well-rounded team that has enough threats to keep this interesting. Syracuse just 3-8 ATS in tourney games -- which tells me this team is perpetually overrated. I'm taking the points.


SAM HOUSTON +19 vs. FLORIDA
1H: SAM HOUSTON +11
This is more of an AGAINST Florida bet than anything. I simply don't believe any team, aside from the top seeds deserve to be favored by nearly 20 points. History shows this is a huge handicap to overcome, especially for a flaky team like Florida which has lost 3 of 4 (SU and ATS) at the end of the season, the only victory of cheatin' Georgia. In fact, Florida is just 6-11 ATS since early January. Admittedly, I find it difficult to get enthusiastic about Sam Houston, which appears to be standing in front of a steamroller in this tournament. They play a totally shit second-rate conference and were a less than stellar 7-6 SU on the road this season. Sam Houston is so far out of the mix, there is no record of them for ATS results. Let's hope this group of one-timers show enough heart to play tough in their brief moment of glory, before becoming assistant fast food managers and assorted has beens. We get the added posibility that Florida will take one look at Sam Houston's schedule and not take this opponent seriously. It's a joke.


XAVIER / TROY STATE OVER 155
In a rare OVER play, I expect Xavier to run up and down the court like its feeding time in an antelope cage. Xavier is a big team which shold be able to produce plenty of points. Xavier has risen to the occasion later in the seaosn, going over in 3 of last 4, only excpetion was versus Temple which plays a slow-death defense. Musketeers are also physical -- whcih could mean many trip to the free throw line for both teams. Troy State averages 80 ppg, and if they can at least to 70, I expect this game to go OVER the number. Ineresting case study here that this is one of the higher totals of the first round -- and its high for a reason. I suspect LV could be making a "stand" on this game hoping to attract some casual money that might think this total is too high -- given most totals are in the 130-145 range. But that's just me -- and my wacky conspiratorialist ways.

Good luck!

Nolan
 
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