Se?or Cappers Wildcards

Senor Capper

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SATURDAYS ACTION



Washington Redskins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (37)


Despite the score of their 1st meeting --TB 36-35-- (despite a 186-61 RY deficit) these 2 teams relied more on their "D" (TB #1 & Was #9) to get them where they are now.
Statistically TB has the better "D" though the gap betweeen both "Ds" is very slim. The 'Skins have the better "O" & have the edge at QB although Brunell is not 100%.
'Skins played a much harder schedule & are riding a 5-game win streak.

The chalk is on a 9-1-1- ATS run in 'Skin games but I just can't count on the Bucs 23rd ranked "O"


'Skins +2.5 / Outright & Under 37


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Jacksonville Jaguars @ New England Patriots -7.5 (37)

For me, this is the toughest of the 2 Saturday games for to play.

Jags have a have a solid defensive edge over the Pats (Jax #6 & Pats #27). However IN THE LAST 5 WEEKS of the season, even resting their players LW, the Pats have the #1 "D" in the NFL statistically.

Pats clearly the better "O".

Jags are the among the best in the NFL (2nd) in protecting the football giving it away just 17 times.

Jags have the better rushing "O".

Pats have the #2 rated passing game in the NFL while the Jags QB ranks #7th.

New England is the hottest team in the NFL, winning their last 4 games by a combined 110-31 score., with 94-42 FD & 1,548-656 YD edges.


The chalk is an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meaningful games, with the only miss by a mere 2.5 pts.

Throw in the cold weather edge...


Patriots -7.5 & OVER 37


====================


SUNDAYS ACTION


Carolina Pannthers @ New York Giants -2.5 (43)

Panthers have the better "D"
Giants enjoy the better "O"

Both teams can run the ball effectively which of course will open up the passing games.

Giants benefited from an extra home game this season & took full advantage winning 8 out of 9 in the Meadowlands.

The experience in QBs will be the difference in this game. Delhomme & his confidence and with Mannings (23rd in the NFL) inexperience, of course none in the post season.

New York is on a 14-5 ATs run w/ 3 of their 5 losses by just 3,3, & 3 pts.

Only 1 team has reached 300 yards vs these Panthers since Oct 9th & they're 15-4-1 ATS on the road.



Panthers +2.5 / Outright & OVER 43


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Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (46.5) @ Cincinatti Bengals

Plenty of early action on this game. Cincy opened up as a 2.5 point favorite before money poured in on the Steelers. Understandably so due to Pitts playoff experience.

Steelers rank 5th in rushing "O" & 3rd in rushing "D" & are 13-1 in its last 16 road games.

Since 1995 home underdogs in the Wild Card round are 4-1 both SU & ATS.

Visitor is on a 14-5 ATS run in Pitt games & as well as 19-4-1 ATS in Cincy games.

Hard for me to pass up a this Home Dog, so I wont :).........


Bengals +3 / Outright & Under 46.5


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Mr. Black Cat

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I'm glad to see that we agree on the 3 sides I am playing. I thought I was the only one playing the Bengals. I love the home doggie here and grabbed the 3...even though it would be almost insane to do so... :brows:

I can't seem to pull the trigger on the Jags/Patriots yet. This may be a no play for me.

I decided to stay away from the totals.

Best of luck Senor...thanks for your insight all season.
 

ELVIS

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senor, i really want to play teh skins, but brunnel's knee and their injuries worry me - i refuse to bet on tb. anyway, curious if you saw the carnage from the philly game last week? that was a very physical game. regardless, gl this weekend. :)
 

sdf

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Senor Capper said:
SATURDAYS ACTION




Jacksonville Jaguars @ New England Patriots -7.5 (37)


New England is the hottest team in the NFL, winning their last 4 games by a combined 110-31 score., with 94-42 FD & 1,548-656 YD edges.


Patriots -7.5 & OVER 37


Um, didnt NE just lose to Miami at home, giving up a ton of points? Three of those 4 wins were Beefalo, Jets and Jets. VERY unimpressive.
They did dominate TB at home 28-0...that was impressive. It was TB's 3rd road game in a row (with a n00b QB no less), so there is some history there that TB would crap the bed in that game.

I think the weather could play a factor. Temps near freezing and wind chill below. that could be the X factor for the patsies.

gl
 

vinnie

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GOOD LUCK AMIGO ! :) on a few of them with you :clap:

Who's ole Lem playing ?
 

c20916

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Sr, while I am not knocking your pick, I wouldn't get too excited about NE having the best rated D over the last 5 weeks, they played the Jets twice, Buff, Miami and Tampa, not exactly offensive juggernauts.

I am with you on the under in the wash/tb game and Cincy. Gl with the rest of your plays.
 

MrChristo

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Both teams can run the ball effectively which of course will open up the passing games.

NYG av. 4.7 ypc (2nd in the NFL)

Caro av. 3.4 ypc (30th in the NFL)
 

Senor Capper

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c20916 said:
Sr, while I am not knocking your pick, I wouldn't get too excited about NE having the best rated D over the last 5 weeks, they played the Jets twice, Buff, Miami and Tampa, not exactly offensive juggernauts.

I'm far from excited. LOL :mj08:
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
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A few of the boyz were in today. Actually they're staying here at the Palms this weekend.

Ryan Sims
Eric Warfield
Derek Jeter
Ortiz

Quite of few Vikings, Falcons, Chief, Yankee & Red Sox players.

Kinda kewl.
 

ELVIS

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eric warfield.....

eric warfield.....

isn't he under "house arrest" :mj03:


i know that ankle monitor is not allowed in the casino..... :nono:


great job today, senor.

do you ever get autographs from these guys or is it against the casino rules?
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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House arrest ?
You must be thinking of someone off the Raiders team.

Like EVERYONE!!! LOL



I have autographs but NO we can't ask for 'em. :)

PS house arrest was for 80 days NOT years LOL
 
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