Se?or Cappers Wk 14 -Peeks & Plays

[Senor Capper]

Week 14 = Big Chalk




Cincinnati
New England -11.0 43?o/u

NE-RB-Dillon-Questionable
LVSC Money Line: Cincinnati (+325), New England (-450)

NE or no play


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Cleveland
Buffalo -10.5 37o/u

I was hoping for a 10, still may be a play

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New York-N
Baltimore -9.5 33?o/u

LVSC Money Line: New York-N (+300), Baltimore (-400)

Ravens SHOULD roll


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Detroit
Green Bay -9.5 45?o/u

LVSC Money Line: Detroit (+300), Green Bay (-400)

Packers SHOULD roll

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Seattle
Minnesota -6.5

Line is about right



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Oakland
Atlanta -7.5 45o/u

LVSC Money Line: Oakland (+280), Atlanta (-360)

Pts worth a peek


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Chicago
Jacksonville -7.0 34o/u

???


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New Orleans
Dallas -7 47?o/u

Inflated Line ALERT!!!
Upset possibility


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Indianapolis -10.0 56o/u
Houston

LVSC Money Line: Indianapolis (-450), Houston (+325)

Played Indy -10

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New York-A
Pittsburgh -6.0 36?o/u

Pts worth a peek


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Miami
Denver -10.5 39o/u

LVSC Money Line: Miami (+375), Denver (-550)

Line continues to climb


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St. Louis
Carolina -5.5 44o/u

Played Panthers -5.5 :yup

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San Fran.
Arizona -6.0 38o/u

Line is right on

SF-QB-Rattay-Questionable


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Tampa Bay
San Diego -5.5 42?o/u

LVSC Money Line: Tampa Bay (+220), San Diego (-300)

Bought a ticket on the Money Train -5.5

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Philly -9.5 37?o/u
Washington

LVSC Money Line: Phila. (-400), Washington (+300)

Philly under 10 is worth a strong look


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Kansas City
Tennessee -1

GAME OFF BOARD:
KC-RB-Holmes-OUT
TEN-QB-McNair-Questionable

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[freelancc]

Week 14 = Big Chalk

you're tellin' me.. :look:

 

[Senor Capper]

Not waiting around for this one as the line is pushed to 6 at some Books already...........

St. Louis Rams @ Carolina Panthers-5.5

Rams have dropped their last 5 non-division RGs by 21, 19, 22, 21 & 21 pts ATS!!!

If that wasn't enough the Panthers are currently on fire with 4 straight wins. Check QB Delhomme 22 0f 29 LW @ New Orleans & RB Goings running for 353 yards in the last 3 weeks. The final score in that affiar (34-21) is decieving as the Aints scored 7 in the final 39 seconds.

Rams playoffs hopes still very much alive but can't overlook that they've been outscored to the tune of 82-34 in the last 2 RGs.


Faulk & Bulger are hurting & that definitely strengthens my play

This line would have been -2.5 to -3 if Faulk & Bulger were'nt injured. They're giving us an extra FG to take Chandler & Jackson.

No thanks....

Carolina Panthers -5.5

 

[freelancc]

:lol: :lol:

 

[ELVIS]

take a look at atl vs oak. r.curry out with achilles tear. (the only thing that saved you last week)


wo/ curry - collins loses 1/2 his production. should struggle against the falcon blitz. falcons were roughed up by tb, but tb owns vick. jmo


like cinncy - sorry.

 

[surferboy]

SC - WITH ON THE PANTHERS, STILL A GOOD BET AT THE NEW LINE -6.5??

CAN THE FAVORITES POSSIBLY COVER AGAIN THIS WEEK. I FEEL AN UPSET IN QUITE A FEW GAMES THIS WEEK.

SURFER

 

[ScreaminPain]

-6' @WSEX today

 

[surferboy]

SCREAMIN - WHERE YOU AT IN SOCAL??

SURFER

 

[Senor Capper]

It's now 6 @ my work but I'd still bet it at 6.5. :yup

 

[MrChristo]

Hey, Senor.

Looks like we agree on the fisrt play of the week anyway!!....Looks like I'll have to play -6.5, but have no problems doing so.

In fact, about the only game we seem to butt heads is SD...I think TB are a good chance to keep it close.

Good luck this weekend. :toast:

 

[Senor Capper]

SD is my toughest play by far this weekend. Tampa is one team I hate to bet against. I think we both agree SD is NOT 6 pts better than TB & SD is riddled w/ injuries.

What swayed me is that the Home Team in TB affairs are a perfect 7-0 both SU & ATS. Oh and TB is 0-6 ATS as division guests.

 

[ScreaminPain]

Surfer

Not far from you....Mission Viejo

 

[ScreaminPain]

S' Capper....I worked up this game this afternoon and feel really comfortable giving T. Bay the 5. I have San Diego winning by 10 and still being under the 43.

My numbers show Tampa having a difficult time scoring. For reference, I use Yds./pt a lot and Tampa is dead last in both Yds/Point-offense, and Yds/Point-Passing, either would be bad, but both is horrible. Combine that with the fact that SD is #2 in rushing defense. Add to fact that they're in San Diego, SD has a +12 turnover margin vs. TB 1, and there you have it....

Lay the wood, and climb aboard the $ train...plenty of good seats available!!! :clap:

 

[beertime]

11-3 ??????????????????????????

thats my number!

 

[bigac11]

totally with you on the saints. I think if they hold on to the ball they will have a good chance at winning this game. Last two ats losses they had -3 turnovers against carolina and -4 against denver, both at home. Dallas d didn't really impressive anyone against seattle. Hopefully, if they stop throwing throwing the ball so much and utilize their backfield, i think they can hang in there. Just a little insight.

 

[Senor Capper]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Diego Chargers -5

San Diego is currently on a 8-0-1 ATS run & are averaging 34 ppg @ home.

The Home Team in TB affairs are a perfect 7-0 both SU & ATS and
Tampa is 0-6 ATS as division guests.

I have to admit after the shutout of the Falcons, Tampa getting more than 4 looks attractive but looks can be deceiving.


I'm not ready to jump off this Money Train yet. :nono:



San Diego Chargers -5

 

[hedman]

San Diego is not that good of football team. It took 4 turnovers for them to beat an average Denver team by 3 points at home. I like Tampa Bay in this one

 

[AR182]

favorites are going to cover again this week.....

good luck

 

[halfbuck34]

I really like Atlanta, they should score close to 30 this week covering easy. New Orleans could win in Dallas SU and call me crazy...but I see Washington covering if not winning on Sunday night. Philly is going to be facing a quality defense with an improving offense (let Portis RUN)

 

[Senor Capper]

:idea:

San Diego is not that good of football team.

:thinking: + :idea: = :142slap: