Season Total Analysis

[pistol229]

Guys,

I was curious what the forum thought about factoring in how teams fared in one-run games in the previous season when doing analysis on season totals.

It is clear that teams success or failures were at least partly attributed to how they did in these games especially the teams that lost a number of them. They look to shore up this aspect specifically (get a reliable close, increase team speed to manufacture runs, etc.)

The other aspect is luck - let's face it, sometimes the ball rolls your way and sometimes it doesn't and that unfortunately contrubutes to how you fare in these games as well.

Is this stat overrated for this analysis. Does anyone have this information from last year and the year before?

Thanks,
Pistol

Leans are TX Over (I know that's dicey), MN over, CWS over (althought their D blows)

 

[pistol229]

Did some research and found it:

Alarming for the Cubs who were 18-36 in these games but even any sort of turnaround will not make up for the difference for the paltry 67 wins they had last year and the 83 +/- they are expected to reach this year.
Not a full analysis obviously.

*** Final 2002 MLB Statistics - Records in One Run Games ***
(Complete through Regular Season)

From The Sports Network

National League
---------------

Home Away Overall
W L W L W L
Arizona Diamondbacks 16 7 7 13 23 20
Atlanta Braves 14 5 14 12 28 17
Chicago Cubs 14 14 4 22 18 36
Cincinnati Reds 13 10 13 13 26 23
Colorado Rockies 9 3 9 16 18 19
Florida Marlins 14 10 10 10 24 20
Houston Astros 11 10 7 15 18 25
Los Angeles Dodgers 20 5 13 10 33 15
Milwaukee Brewers 8 12 6 16 14 28
Montreal Expos 18 10 12 12 30 22
New York Mets 18 15 9 11 27 26
Philadelphia Phillies 10 11 12 13 22 24
Pittsburgh Pirates 18 7 9 17 27 24
St. Louis Cardinals 14 8 8 11 22 19
San Diego Padres 13 11 5 14 18 25
San Francisco Giants 17 10 11 12 28 22


American League
---------------

Home Away Overall
W L W L W L
Anaheim Angels 24 8 7 14 31 22
Baltimore Orioles 12 11 10 14 22 25
Boston Red Sox 7 10 6 13 13 23
Chicago White Sox 9 8 6 13 15 21
Cleveland Indians 11 7 5 10 16 17
Detroit Tigers 15 8 8 15 23 23
Kansas City Royals 7 9 7 18 14 27
Minnesota Twins 19 5 10 11 29 16
New York Yankees 10 8 11 13 21 21
Oakland Athletics 18 7 14 7 32 14
Seattle Mariners 17 10 7 15 24 25
Tampa Bay Devil Rays 10 12 7 16 17 28
Texas Rangers 12 6 6 20 18 26
Toronto Blue Jays 11 8 12 13 23 21