Seattle-Washington - Scout Inc.'s take

BobbyBlueChip

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Belly of the Beast
Redskins have a lot to overcome By Scouts, Inc.


Why To Watch
Washington has won six in a row, including a hard-fought, physical wild-card game last week at Tampa. The last month and a half has more or less been a playoff scenario for the Redskins; one loss would have pretty much eliminated them from the postseason. There is no question that this team is rolling and peaking at the right time of the year. However, fatigue and injuries are sure to begin to take their toll sooner or later, especially on a cross-country road trip to Seattle, where the Seahawks are 8-0 this season.
The Seahawks lost their final game of the season but won a whopping 11 in a row before that to run away with home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. It's not easy to win in Seattle, and Washington is at a distinct disadvantage. These teams met in Washington in Week 3 when the Redskins pulled out a 20-17 victory. Redskins coach Joe Gibbs is an amazing 17-5 in the postseason with three Super Bowl victories, but Seattle has the league MVP, the league's second-ranked total offense, strong red-zone defense, home-field advantage, an excellent head coach with extensive postseason experience and a well-rested, talented squad.


When the Redskins have the ball
Rushing: The Redskins' offense has some balance with deep threat Santana Moss and underneath option Chris Cooley, but Clinton Portis and the running game are the backbone. Portis was suspiciously on the sidelines more than he is accustomed to last week and will be fighting a shoulder injury. The Redskins are hopeful this won't be an issue this week since they will surely have to lean on him in a big way.

In recent weeks, the Redskins have done a much better job of calling plays to utilize Portis' strengths with more zone-blocking schemes and stretch plays where he can use his excellent vision and explode through cracks in the defense. Out of a variety of personnel groupings and formations, Washington has begun running much more to the weak side, a contrast to the strong-side running attack they predominantly ran early in the season. Portis has been playing at a very high level and is running with conviction, never stopping his feet and attacking the line of scrimmage.

Ladell Betts will see time on third down and should spell Portis on a few occasions, particularly if Portis' shoulder becomes a problem. Betts is a powerful north-south runner who keeps his shoulders square to the line of scrimmage, can deliver a punishing blow and does a nice job as a receiver out of the backfield.

Seattle allows just 3.6 yards per rush and has yielded only six runs over 20 yards all year. The interior of the Redskins' offensive line is massive, but it's heavy-footed and should really struggle to get to the second level and get a body on MLB Lofa Tatupu and OLB LeRoy Hill, both rookies who are fast, playing with veteran presence and having excellent freshman seasons.

Seattle also rotates its defensive tackles effectively, keeping them fresh for the fourth quarter. SS Michael Boulware has great size and is a force against the run. Expect him to spend a lot of time near the line of scrimmage this week to tip numbers in Seattle's favor in the running game. For Washington to have a chance to pull off the upset, it must win the time of possession battle and keep Seattle's dangerous offense on the sidelines by running the football early and often.

Passing: The Redskins defeated Tampa Bay last week despite scoring only 10 points on offense and generating a paltry 41 passing yards. That won't get it done against the Seahawks, who are sure to put up substantial points at home. Mark Brunell continues to fight a knee injury on his plant leg that has affected his ability to move in the pocket, create plays with his legs and generate velocity on his throws when trying to fit the ball into a small window.

Washington lacks a legitimate wide receivers outside of Moss, who is as explosive and dangerous as any player in the league. Moss is sure to demand an awful lot of attention from Seattle's secondary, much like he did last week in Tampa Bay. Washington should throw Moss some quick hitches, slants and run reverses or other trick plays to get the ball in his hands. H-back Cooley has done an exceptional job of picking up the slack and is a tall, reliable target who Brunell looks to in the middle of the field.

SS Boulware has very good size and overall ability for the position. Boulware and Seattle's faster linebackers should do a good job of challenging the versatile, but inexperienced Cooley. Seattle's pass defense has allowed too many big plays, but its secondary should be well-rested and healthier than it has been in a long time. Seattle has produced 50 sacks this season and is sure to get pressure on Brunell, especially up the middle of the field. Seattle doesn't have one elite pass rusher and instead has many defenders who play their role well, hustle to the whistle and generate pressure from just about every position on their defense. This dilemma will be magnified for the Redskins due to extreme crowd noise that will make communicating very difficult.

When the Seahawks have the ball
Rushing: It is no secret that Seattle's offense goes through NFL MVP Shaun Alexander. Needless to say, Alexander was spectacular this season, leading the NFL in rushing with a gaudy 5.1 yards per attempt average and setting the all-time touchdown record. He runs behind Pro Bowl FB Mack Strong and an excellent offensive line, utilizing these blockers extremely well with his superb vision and patience. Alexander is one of those special runners who makes the game look effortless. As a pure running threat, he is pretty much without weakness and has the ability to break long runs with speed and quickness or grind out the tough yards with power.

As impressive as Alexander is, he might not see his typical ultra-heavy workload to begin this game, as Washington's front seven is among the top groups in the league and does a great job of slowing the run. The Redskins have very good size, are physical, gap-sound and well-coached, making it difficult to cut runs back against the grain. Alexander will see plenty of action as the game wears on, but early, he might make his biggest impact as a decoy on play-action passes that result in long gains downfield. If Seattle gets a substantial lead, it will use Alexander to punish Washington's front and seal a victory.

Passing: Seattle has four very solid receiving options that complement their fantastic running game, and QB Matt Hasselbeck is playing the best football of his career. Hasselbeck is very efficient and has thrown just nine interceptions in 449 attempts this season, so don't expect him to take unnecessary chances this week. The Seahawks have an excellent offensive line led by LT Walter Jones, the best offensive lineman in the league. This unit has allowed only 27 sacks this season and Washington lost starting LDE Renaldo Wynn to a broken arm last week.

DT Cornelius Griffin is very disruptive and could cause some problems for the right side of Seattle's line with his long arms, explosive first step and overall power. The Redskins' top cornerback, Shawn Springs, didn't play last week with a groin injury and his status for this week is up in the air. Do not be surprised to see all four of Seattle's top weapons, TE Jerramy Stevens and WRs Bobby Engram, Darrell Jackson and Joe Jurevicius, all on the field at the same time to force Washington to dig deep into its depleted secondary and put very ordinary football players on the field to match up against this proficient group while Hasselbeck picks and chooses mismatches.

FS Sean Taylor is a heat-seeking missile who must be accounted for on every play. Physically, he has no weaknesses, and with Seattle's variety of options, Hasselbeck would be wise to stay clear of the up-and-coming superstar. Washington is an attacking defense that loves to bring extra pass rushers on clear throwing downs, but expect Seattle's offensive line to hold up well and Hasselbeck to make quick precise throws when facing a heavy blitz. If Springs is unable to play (he missed last week's game), defensive coordinator Gregg Williams may have to be more conservative that he would like with his blitz packages.
 

BobbyBlueChip

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Belly of the Beast
? Washington must find its offense in a hurry, especially its pass offense. The secondary is one of Seattle's few weaknesses. DCs Marcus Trufant, Andre Dyson and Kelly Herndon have missed time late in the season with injuries, and the unit also lost FS Ken Hamlin.
Redskins QB Mark Brunell must be able to capitalize. He played like a rookie last week, forcing the ball into tight spots and failing to make adjustments at the line of scrimmage to counter the Tampa Bay defense. Brunell will have to play much better this week for Washington to advance to the NFC Championship Game.

? Washington needs to get H-back Chris Cooley more involved offensively. Due to the Redskins having very few weapons in their pass offense, WR Santana Moss is consistently double covered. Expect the Seahawks to take the same approach -- they will double Moss and force someone else in the Washington offense to beat them. The attention they will give Moss should really open up the field for Cooley. Cooley is a very good athlete and excels in the intermediate passing game.

He has solid speed to stretch the defense and should find some success this week. Seattle has had trouble containing solid TE/H-backs since losing Hamlin. Hamlin's replacement, Marquand Manuel, is a box player who struggles in coverage. Look for the Redskins to motion Cooley around to get him matched up with Manuel. Cooley's ability to get off to a good start is paramount to taking pressure off Moss and opening up the run game for Clinton Portis.

? Portis suffered a stinger in the first half of last week's game, but he returned and will be ready to go this week. The Redskins will need a solid effort from him this week vs. Seattle's fifth-ranked run defense. Washington will try to pound the ball early, because even though the Seattle defense has improved this season, it is perceived as being soft.

If Washington is to have success running the ball this week, it will need to get Seattle MLB Lofa Tatupu blocked at the point of attack. Tatupu will be playing with a little extra incentive this week, as he felt he should have been the Defensive Rookie of the Year (rather than Shawne Merriman). Tatupu is the complete package. He is a tough, physical and athletic player who can get over the top and make plays in space.

The biggest reason that Seattle's run defense improved this season is because of Tatupu. It is rare for a rookie to be able to step in and become the team's defensive leader, but Tatupu has done just that. Coaches are amazed at how well he has picked things up. Tatupu has committed fewer mental mistakes than any other player on Seattle's defense this season.

? Washington's run defense has been pretty solid all season, as well (13th this season vs. the run). The Skins will face a Seattle offense ranked No. 2 overall (third in rushing and 13th in passing). This is one of the most versatile offenses they will face this season; Matt Hasselbeck is the best quarterback in the NFC, and MVP Shaun Alexander is the best running back in the NFC. Washington defensive coordinator Gregg Williams will have to pick his poison this week.

Look for him to try to disrupt the entire Seattle offense by bringing consistent blitzes. His first goal in bringing the blitz will be to shoot gaps and disrupt Alexander. The Redskins want to force Alexander to jump-cut or change directions quickly so he doesn't get downhill with a full head of steam. When they blitz on a pass play, the Redskins linebackers are great at adjusting on the move and will continue coming in an effort to get to Hasselbeck and rattle him.

Hasselbeck's decision-making has vastly improved. He is excellent at getting the ball into the holes of a defense. If Seattle has one weakness offensively, it is the lack of elite playmakers at wide receiver. The Skins will have to blitz, try to make Hasselbeck throw early, and count on their defensive backs being able to win the one-on-one battles outside vs. Seattle's receivers.

? With no real superstar WR at his disposal, Hasselbeck does an excellent job of spreading the ball around to different targets on a weekly basis. Joe Jurevicius has been the closest thing to a No. 1 target this season, and Bobby Engram has also performed very well. One player who has received little attention is WR Darrell Jackson.

Jackson was expected to be the No. 1 guy this season, but he missed a lot of time with a knee injury. He sat out the season finale as a precautionary measure, but he will be as close to 100 percent this week as he has been all season. He likely will be matched up against.DC Shawn Springs, who missed a lot of action late in the season and didn't play in last week's game vs. Tampa Bay.

Springs says he is healthy and will be in the lineup this week. These two guys know each other well from Springs' days with Seattle. This matchup will go a long way toward deciding which team moves on to the NFC Championship Game.

? Seattle LDE Bryce Fisher (9 sacks) and backup DT Rocky Bernard (8? sacks) receive very little attention but are enjoying excellent seasons. Both are high-motor players who are extremely disruptive. Fisher will be matched up against Washington ROT Jon Jansen, who is a power player with above-average athleticism.

Fisher is an edge player who should be able to get up the field and force Brunell to stay in the pocket. Bernard is a quick-twitch inside player who utilizes his quickness. The Seahawks will try to get him matched up against Washington veteran OG Ray Brown. Brown, 43, is in his 20th NFL season. He is playing well but will have a lot of trouble with the athletic Bernard inside. If Washington is going to make any plays down the field, it must get Fisher and Bernard blocked up front.

? The TE has always been a staple of the West Coast offense. It has taken some time, but Jerramy Stevens is finally developing into a solid NFL starting TE. He has played a key role in Seattle's offense down the stretch and is poised to have another solid game this week. Stevens is a big TE, but he is a solid athlete and can press the seam. Seattle will try to get him matched up against SS Ryan Clark. Clark is much better in the box than in space and has struggled at times this season in coverage.

While Redskins DS Sean Taylor is listed on the depth chart as the free safety, he plays in the box more than Clark because he is such an intimidating defender. With Taylor cheating up to the line of scrimmage to try to take away Alexander, Clark will be forced into more coverage situations this week. This is a matchup the Seahawks will look to exploit early and often.

? Taylor's availability for this game was in question after he was kicked out of the game last week for allegedly spitting in the face of Tampa Bay RB Michael Pittman. The issue has been resolved, and Taylor will be in the starting lineup. This is bad news for Seattle's running game, as Taylor is one of the best in the NFL in terms of clogging the box at the line of scrimmage. At times, he is so aggressive coming downhill and strikes with such force, you might as well call him a linebacker.

It is crucial for Seattle to establish its run early this week. The Seahawks actually hope Taylor will inch closer to the line of scrimmage. While this will affect their running game, it also will open up their passing game. Taylor is so quick to help in run support, he often is fooled by play-action and allows WRs to sneak behind him for big plays. Once Seattle establishes a ground game, Taylor will be vulnerable in pass coverage.

Special Teams
The Redskins' special teams were less than stellar last week. PR Antonio Brown muffed a punt, and P Derrick Frost shanked a 14-yard punt late in the game. PK John Hall made his one FG attempt from 47 yards but had a lot of short kickoffs that resulted in good field position for the Tampa Bay offense.

The Seahawks' special teams have been inconsistent all season. They have committed way too many penalties on their return units, resulting in bad field position for their offense. They have had very little success returning punts this season, averaging a meager 5.7 yards per return. On the bright side, the cover units have done an excellent job of covering kicks and punts. The kicking game has also been solid lately. Josh Brown is a solid young kicker and will get a shot at revenge this week. He missed a last-second FG in the regular-season meeting that could have won the game. After the miss, Washington converted its FG attempt in overtime, handing Seattle one of its three losses this season.

Matchups
? Washington MLB Lemar Marshall vs. Seattle RB Shaun Alexander
? Seattle MLB Lofa Tatupu vs. Washington RB Clinton Portis
? Seattle DC Marcus Trufant vs. Washington WR Santana Moss
? Washington SS Ryan Clark vs. Seattle TE Jerramy Stevens
? Washington ROT Jon Jansen vs. Seattle LDE Bryce Fisher
 

BobbyBlueChip

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Belly of the Beast
Scouts' Edge
The Redskins won the first meeting between these teams in the regular season, but that game took place in Washington. The Redskins must find their offense; they totaled 120 yards last week. While that was enough to beat Tampa Bay, it certainly will not be enough this week. Washington must get a much better game from QB Mark Brunell. WR Santana Moss will see a lot of double coverage this week, so it is paramount that Brunell get H-back Chris Cooley more involved.

The Seahawks can beat you in many different ways. They have the best QB and RB in the NFC (Matt Hasselbeck and Shaun Alexander). They have excellent offensive balance, and Hasselbeck does an excellent job of getting all his receivers involved in the offense.

Nobody talks much about the Seattle defense, but this unheralded group has had a solid season and could be the difference this week vs. a Washington offense that struggles to consistently move the ball. Seattle is 8-0 at home this season and has far too many weapons on the offensive side of the ball. The Seahawks might be a little rusty after the layoff, but Seattle has learned to take care of business when it is the heavy favorite. Look for Seattle to move on to the NFC Championship Game.

Prediction: Seahawks 27, Redskins 17
 
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