SEC Championship preview

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LOKI
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SEC Championship preview


Just like old times, huh? When the SEC went to a championship game in 1992, it was Florida and Alabama who met with the league title on the line the first three years and four of the first five times.

In 1992 and ?93, the SEC Championship Game was played at Legion Field in Birmingham. The first game may have been the best ever. UF was an 8-3 team coming off a blowout loss at FSU, while Alabama was unbeaten with its eyes set on a Sugar-Bowl matchup against Miami for the national championship.

Steve Spurrier saw something on film that week. He found what might have been the only vulnerability in one of the premier defenses in NCAA history. Spurrier knew ?Bama was going to come after Shane Matthews all day and he also knew that the Tide was getting plenty of pressure with its front four all year.

So in his typical draw-it-up-in-the-dirt style, Spurrier created a ball play he thought would work. And it sure as hell did. On nearly a dozen occasions, Spurrier called what was in essence a draw play for All-SEC running back Errict Rhett.

But for this particular play that worked all night against the Tide, Spurrier would have Matthews do a straight dropback as if looking downfield for receivers, only to then do an under-handed pass to Rhett. It wasn?t a screen pass or a shuttle pass, it was a Spurrier creation.

With Alabama?s ends furiously rushing upfield thinking pass constantly, the short middle was left open and Rhett bullied his way for yardage all night. A touchdown midway through the fourth quarter brought the Gators even with ?Bama at 21-21. Not only that, but UF got a stop and had the ball deep in its own territory with a chance to mount a game-winning drive in the last two minutes.

And then it happened. In Alabama lore, it?s called The Antonio Langham Play. Whether or not it was a bad route or a monumental mistake by Matthews is up for debate. (I?ve been told by several former UF players that Spurrier stuck up for his three-time All-SEC QB by blaming it on the WR, when in fact Matthews was the one at fault). Whatever the case, Langham made a great read, jumped the slant route for an interception and raced 27 yards to paydirt.

And like that, it was game, set, match. Alabama 28, Florida 21. The Tide spanked the ?Canes for the national title a month later in New Orleans.

In ?93, the Gators exacted revenge with a 28-13 win as four-point favorites. Terry Dean and Jack Jackson were the catalysts in the UF victory.

The game shifted to the Georgia Dome in Atlanta in 1994. One week removed from ?The Choke at Doak? (a 31-31 tie at FSU when UF led 31-3 early in the final stanza), the Gators knocked off undefeated Alabama by a 24-23 count. However, the Tide took the cash as a seven-point underdog.

In ?96, the Gators rolled to a 45-30 victory over Alabama as 14 ?-point ?chalk.? On that same day, Texas stunned Nebraska as a 20 ?-point underdog, clearing the way for Florida to get a rematch against FSU in the Sugar Bowl. UF would take advantage by trouncing FSU 52-20 to win its first national title.

Three years would pass before UF and ?Bama got back together in Atlanta. When they did, Mike DuBose enjoyed the finest hour of an otherwise dreadful tenure, leading the Tide to a 34-7 blowout victory.

Eight years and subpar coaches like Mike Shula and Ron Zook would come and go before UF and ?Bama reconvened at the Ga. Dome. That was last year and we?ll get to that result shortly, but the point is that this second straight encounter that?ll take place Saturday might be one of many more to come between Nick Saban and Urban Meyer at this same venue.

Both coaches are in their prime. Both have their programs thriving. Both could retire tomorrow and go down as legends. And most importantly, neither looks like they?re leaving Gainesville or Tuscaloosa anytime soon.

And, oh yeah, both are sporting unbeaten records in 2009. The winner will advance to Pasadena to play for the BCS title, while the loser will go to the Sugar Bowl to most likely face TCU or Boise State. Seriously, could the stakes be any higher?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Florida (12-0 straight up, 6-5 against the spread) as a five-point favorite with a total of 43. As of early Friday afternoon, most sports books had the Gators favored by five with the total reduced to 41. Gamblers can back ?Bama to win outright for a plus-180 return (risk $100 to win $180).

Alabama (12-0 SU, 7-5 ATS) is coming off a 26-21 win at Auburn as a 10-point road favorite. The Tide trailed nearly the entire game, only to rally and take the lead with 1:24 left on Greg McElroy?s four-yard touchdown pass to Roy Upchurch.

With Heisman candidate Mark Ingram limited to a pedestrian 30 yards on 16 carries, McElroy stepped up and completed 21-of-31 passes for 218 yards and two touchdowns without an interception.

McElroy?s play was pivotal. The junior, who had never started a game until this year?s opener against Va. Tech in the Ga. Dome, played extremely well early in the season. Then in mid-season games against Tennessee, Ole Miss and LSU, McElroy seemingly regressed.

He had Julio Jones open for a couple of easy TD passes in the first half against LSU, only to badly misfire. But like the game against UT and Auburn last week, the Tide found a way to get the ?W? against Les Miles? bunch. Since then, McElroy has thrown five TD passes without an interception.

For the season, he has completed 60.1 percent of his throws for a 16/4 touchdown-interception ratio.

During Thursday?s interview on the Radio, we had Paul Finebaum on as a guest to discuss the game. Finebaum, a long-time columnist for the Mobile Press-Register who hosts one of the most popular radio shows in America based out of Birmingham, said this (1-hour mark, 12/3 show) about McElroy, ?I did a pre-game show before the Iron Bowl and said the one thing Alabama doesn?t want to do is force McElroy to go win the game in the final minutes.

?But that?s exactly what happened and I think that?s significant. He?s knows he?s capable of doing that now. McElroy has been a tough guy to wrap your hands around. He was horrible against Tennessee and was a joke vs. LSU, but he seems to be playing well coming into this game.?

The other quarterback, some dude that wears No. 15 for Florida and has led the program to a pair of national titles already, is also in a groove as these schools come to Atlanta. In his career finale at The Swamp last week, Tim Tebow connected on 17-of-21 passes for 214 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. He also rushed 15 times for 90 yards and two more TDs.

The Gators trounced FSU by a 37-10 score as 25-point favorites, but the game wasn?t nearly as close as the final score indicated. Meyer emptied the bench late in the third quarter to keep his starters healthy.

Tebow has completed 66.6 percent of his passes for 2,166 yards with a 17/4 TD-INT ratio. He has also rushed for 796 yards and 13 TDs. For his career, Tebow has an incredible 67/11 TD-INT ratio with 43 rushing touchdowns as well.

UF is dealing with a major distraction this week. Junior All-American DE Carlos Dunlap was arrested Tuesday morning and charged with DUI. Later that day, Meyer announced that Dunlap was suspended indefinitely. Translation: He?s definitely ?out? against ?Bama but might possibly be able to return for a bowl game.

Dunlap was ranked No. 3 on Mel Kiper?s Big Board last week for this spring?s draft, so that gives you an idea of the type of talent the Gators will be missing. Dunlap was named the Defensive MVP of last year?s win over Oklahoma in the BCS Championship Game. He also led the SEC in sacks in 2008.

Speaking of Oklahoma and its head coach Bob Stoops, Finebaum mentioned on the Power Hours how Stoops and Saban hung out in Tuscaloosa for several hours one day this past summer.

?I get the sense that they spent most of that day watching film on Florida and talking about a way to slow down Tebow,? Finebaum said. ?Schemes will only get you so far but if there?s a coach that can find a strategy to slow down Tebow, I think it?s Saban. He?s certainly the X-factor in this game.?

Another potential swing-factor is special teams, a battle both of these teams usually win against their opponents. Alabama has Javier Arenas, an explosive returner who can go the distance on any given touch. Arenas needs 109 punt-return yards to become the SEC?s all-time leader in that category.

UF has Brandon James, who came into 2009 ranked third in the SEC in career punt-return yardage. James hasn?t been able to bust loose as often this year as in season?s past but like Arenas, he?s capable of taking it the house at any time.

?Arenas and James are both capable of making a big play and that is something that could distort this game,? Bruce Marshall of The Gold Sheet said on the Radio. ?Another thing is Mark Ingram?s injury (hip pointer, ?probable?). I don?t think Alabama can win if he?s not a big factor. If it?s all on McElroy?s shoulders, that?s a bad thing for the Crimson Tide.?

If Ingram is not at full speed, Alabama does have very capable replacements in Trent Richardson and Roy Upchurch. Even the Tide?s No. 4 RB, Terry Grant, has more than 1,000 career rushing yards to his credit.

Dating back to last season?s home loss to Ole Miss, Florida has won 22 consecutive games, compiling a 15-5 spread record during that stretch. Of course, one of those victories came over Alabama in last year's SEC Championship Game. The Tide led 20-17 going into the third quarter, but Tebow threw a pair of TD passes in the final stanza to lift his team to a 31-20 win as a 10-point favorite. The 51 combined points stayed 'under' the 54-point total.

UF hasn?t been a single-digit favorite all year long. The Gators? shortest ?chalk? spot was when they were favored by 10 in a 13-3 win at LSU. With that said, Florida owns an 8-1 spread record in its last nine single-digit ?chalk? spots dating back to a 38-28 win over Arkansas as a three-point favorite in the 2006 SEC title game.

?Bama has only been an underdog four times on Saban?s watch, compiling a 2-1-1 spread record. This is the first ?dog situation for the Tide in 2009.

Kickoff is slated for 4:00 p.m. Eastern on CBS.



--The ?under? is 8-3 overall for Florida, 6-5-1 for Alabama. The ?under? is 8-1 in UF?s last nine SEC games, 8-2-1 in ?Bama?s last 11 SEC contests.

--Florida starting LB A.J. Jones missed the FSU game and is ?out? this week with a knee injury. Jones is expected to return to the field for the Gators? bowl game.

--Finebaum?s prediction on the Power Hours: Alabama 24, Florida 23. Meanwhile, Marshall likes the Gators to win and cover.

--For those with an ESPN Insider subscription, you can check out Chad Millman's preview of the Florida-Alabama game that has quotes from myself, Paul Stone of the Las Vegas Review-Journal and Ed Salmons, bookmaker at The Las Vegas Hilton.
 

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LOKI
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Gators face weight of expectations in SEC title matchup with Alabama

Gators face weight of expectations in SEC title matchup with Alabama

Gators face weight of expectations in SEC title matchup with Alabama

The rankings say it's No. 1 vs. No. 2. Technically, the stakes Saturday are exactly the same for both Florida and Alabama -- an SEC championship and a berth in the BCS National Championship Game.

But make no mistake: the pressure meter tilts heavily toward one sideline. For Alabama, a victory will be treasured, a loss disappointing. But for Florida, a loss Saturday will render its entire 2009 season a failure.

From the moment Tim Tebow stood on the stage at the Gators' victory celebration last January and uttered the words, "Oh, by the way, let's do it again. I'm coming back," the expectation level for this year's Florida team elevated to the highest possible degree.

Florida's 2006 and 2008 national title teams spent most of their seasons flying under the radar, sneaking back into the picture at the very end. This year's Gators, however, have been everyone's prohibitive favorite since the start of winter conditioning.

"[This season] is completely different," said Florida coach Urban Meyer. "The expectation level, it felt like it was on you the entire year. The players felt it and the coaches felt it."

With a former Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback, a trio of explosive tailbacks and the entire two-deep from last year's national-title defense all returning, the '09 Gators were expected by both fans and media to not only win, but win big. While the former happened, the latter didn't always. As a result, what would otherwise seem like a dreamy 12-0 regular season morphed at times into a drama-filled soap opera.

The scrutiny began with Florida's Sept. 19 game against Tennessee, a matchup that took on extraordinary interest when first-year Vols coach Lane Kiffin falsely accused Meyer of cheating in pursuit of a recruit last February. For months, the message boards and airwaves percolated with speculation as to just how many points the Gators would pile on in revenge.

When Florida posted a more modest 23-13 victory, criticism flushed over the defending champs.

"We beat a very good SEC team early in the year and [the reaction] was 'What happened? You guys didn't play very well,'" said Meyer. "As opposed to 'let's just find a way to win that game.'"

A week later at Kentucky, Florida's offense looked more like its 2008 version, as the Gators soared to a 31-0 first-quarter lead. But then, in the third quarter, Wildcats defensive end Taylor Wyndham laid a vicious sack on Tebow that sent the quarterback out with a concussion. Over the ensuing two weeks (which included a bye), Tebow's health became a daily, national storyline as the lead-in to Florida's showdown with then fourth-ranked LSU.

Tebow played, and Florida won, 13-3. Most followers overlooked the Gators' latest low-scoring output with the assumption Meyer was trying to protect Tebow. But when Florida required a last-second field goal (and a pair of highly controversial officiating mistakes) the following week to stave off Arkansas, 23-20, Gators fans went into full-on panic mode. AP pollsters dropped the Gators to No. 2, albeit just for a week. Florida was winning, but not the way many had envisioned.

"It's been a lot of ups and downs with us because people are expecting more on some games," said Tebow. "You've got to score more, got to be more flashy and make more big plays. Sometimes it's not just who we are."

Tebow's low point came on Oct. 24 at Mississippi State, when the senior star threw two interceptions that were returned for touchdowns in a 29-19 win. Tebow uncharacteristically declined to speak with media afterward, and Meyer acknowledged his quarterback was "frustrated."


All ensuing scrutiny over Tebow and the Gators' then-wobbly offense soon fell by the wayside, however, when, during Florida's 41-17 rout of rival Georgia the following week, cameras caught star linebacker Brandon Spikes attempting to eye-gouge Dawgs running back Washaun Ealey. Once again, Florida became a national storyline for reasons besides victory, especially when Meyer initially opted to suspend the All-America for just the first half of the next game.

The past month has gone far more quietly for the Gators, who clinched their division on Oct. 31. Public attention finally shifted from replay reviews and eye-gouges to the impending showdown with Alabama. Tebow and the offense seemed to find their groove starting with the Georgia game, and Florida rolled through five largely uneventful wins to end the regular season. Following an emotional Senior Day rout of Florida State, the Gators finally reached their first season-defining game.

"Our goal was very simple -- to get to Atlanta," said Meyer. "We had a team meeting [Sunday] and realized that with playing in the SEC Championship comes an enormous amount of obligation and responsibility."

Unfortunately, defensive end Carlos Dunlap didn't get that memo. At 3:25 a.m. Tuesday, Gainesville police found Florida's star pass-rusher asleep at the wheel of his red 2000 Chrysler. He was arrested for DUI and subsequently suspended for Saturday's game. While the ultra-deep Gators have survived attrition before -- they played last year's Alabama game without injured star receiver Percy Harvin -- Dunlap's arrest becomes the latest episode in a season-long string of off-the-field drama.

"We've had distraction after distraction," said Meyer. "This is a rather serious one, obviously, so it is a distraction. Sometimes this team's found ways to get a little tighter in distractions. We've had a few of them this year.''

It's tough to say what effect Dunlap's absence might have on Saturday's game. By all accounts, the Gators and Crimson Tide are as evenly matched as they come.

Alabama's defense has allowed 10 more yards than Florida's all season. Both rank in the top three nationally. Neither allows more than 10.8 points per game. Offensively the Gators, led by Tebow and explosive tailbacks Jeff Demps and Chris Rainey, rank sixth nationally in rushing offense (236.7 yard per game); the Tide, with their powerful backfield tandem of Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson, rank 13th (212.9). Tebow (66.4 percent completions, 8.9 yards per attempt, 17 touchdowns, four interceptions) has been a more efficient passer than Alabama counterpart Greg McElroy (60.8 percent, 7.5 yards per attempt, 16 TDs, four INTs), but the Tide (14 sacks allowed) have done a better job protecting their quarterback than the Gators (28).

The fact that Florida is considered a 5-6 point favorite speaks to the level of respect it has achieved through the course of its 21-game winning streak -- which includes a 31-20 victory over another undefeated Alabama team in this same game a year ago. In that contest, Tebow led two fourth-quarter touchdown drives to win.

On the one hand, this year's circumstances feel almost identical to last year's, when Alabama entered the game ranked No. 1 in the BCS standings, with Florida No. 4 but widely favored. With two Big 12 teams standing between them, there was little doubt that game, like this year's, would serve as a de facto national semifinal.

But Florida's '08 season was completely different from this one. The Gators, coming off a 9-4 rebuilding year, weren't even favored by many to win their own division (Georgia started No. 1 in the country), and spent much of the year playing catch-up following an early-season loss to Ole Miss. In '06, when Tebow was a freshman situational player, Florida didn't become a BCS contender until UCLA upset USC the same day as the SEC title game.

"In '06, we were just rebounding. I thought we had a good football team but we had a lot of issues on offense. And there certainly weren't expectations like we had this year," said Meyer. "Then following the 2007 season, we played very poorly in a bowl game and our defense was not very good. And we had a lot of sophomores turned juniors. So the expectation level maybe from some areas were there. But not like it was this year."

This year's expectations have been building for nearly 12 months, and even after 12 victories, they'll be rendered moot if Florida doesn't take care of business on Saturday. Win, and the Gators advance to Pasadena, possibly for a long-anticipated showdown with 12-0 Texas. Lose, and the final game of the Tebow era could be a Sugar Bowl consolation date with a team like Cincinnati, Pittsburgh or Boise State.

Few Florida fans could stomach that outcome.

"[Meyer] tried to keep us away from [thinking] if you lose a game, then was the season a failure. He didn't want that to be the case," said cornerback Joe Haden. "Now, we're all sitting here undefeated. SEC Championship, we win this, we go on to the national championship.

"So basically, this is the game."

And the season.

And the legacy.

No pressure.
 

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Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0) (5-0 H) vs Florida Gators (8-0) (3-0 A)

Game Time: 4:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, December 5

Stadium: GEORGIA DOME Surface: TURF




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Florida Gators HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 8 - 0 4 - 0 12 - 0 4 - 3 1 - 2 5 - 5 1 - 3 0 - 4 1 - 7
Last 5 games 4 - 0 1 - 0 5 - 0 3 - 1 0 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 1 0 - 1 1 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 0 4 - 0 8 - 0 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 5 1 - 2 0 - 4 1 - 6
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Alabama Crimson Tide HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 8 - 0 4 - 0 12 - 0 4 - 3 3 - 1 7 - 4 2 - 4 1 - 3 3 - 7
Last 5 games 3 - 0 2 - 0 5 - 0 1 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 0 4 - 0 8 - 0 2 - 2 3 - 1 5 - 3 0 - 4 1 - 3 1 - 7
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Florida Gators 1 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 0 4 - 3 0 - 0 4 - 3 0 - 0
Alabama Crimson Tide 3 - 1 0 - 0 3 - 1 0 - 0 4 - 3 0 - 0 4 - 3 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Florida Gators
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat CHARSC 62 - 3 W -0 -0 W 59 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat TROY 56 - 6 W -34.5 -37 W 13 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat TN 23 - 13 W -25 -30 L -20 52.5 53.0 U -17.0 G
09/26/09 Sat @KY 41 - 7 W -21 -20 W 14 56.0 53.0 U -5.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @LSU 13 - 3 W -9 -10 L 0 45.5 45.5 U -29.5 G
10/17/09 Sat AR 23 - 20 W -22 -25 L -22 57.0 58.0 U -15.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @MSST 29 - 19 W -24.5 -22.5 L -12.5 49.0 50.0 U -2.0 G
10/31/09 Sat GA 41 - 17 W -17 -16 W 8 48.0 49.5 O +- 8.5 G
11/07/09 Sat VANDY 27 - 3 W -35 -35 L -11 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @SC 24 - 14 W -15 -17.5 L -7.5 45.0 44.5 U -6.5 G
11/21/09 Sat FLINTL 62 - 3 W -43 -47 W 12 NL NL G
11/28/09 Sat FLST 37 - 10 W -21 -25 W 2 60.0 56.5 U -9.5 G


Alabama Crimson Tide
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat VATECH 34 - 24 W -4 -6.5 W 3.5 39.0 36.5 O +-21.5 G
09/12/09 Sat FLINTL 40 - 14 W -36 -33.5 L -7.5 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat NTX 53 - 7 W -32 -37.5 W 8.5 50.0 50.0 O +-10.0 G
09/26/09 Sat AR 35 - 7 W -14.5 -18 W 10 57.0 56.0 U -14.0 G
10/03/09 Sat @KY 38 - 20 W -15 -16.5 W 1.5 47.5 47.0 O +-11.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @MS 22 - 3 W -4 -4 W 15 45.5 45.5 U -20.5 G
10/17/09 Sat SC 20 - 6 W -17 -18 L -4 44.0 43.0 U -17.0 G
10/24/09 Sat TN 12 - 10 W -17 -14 L -12 44.0 42.5 U -20.5 G
11/07/09 Sat LSU 24 - 15 W -10 -7.5 W 1.5 37.5 39.5 U -0.5 G
11/14/09 Sat @MSST 31 - 3 W -14 -12 W 16 41.5 43.5 U -9.5 G
11/21/09 Sat TC 45 - 0 W -0 -0 W 45 NL NL G
11/27/09 Fri @AUB 26 - 21 W -13 -10 L -5 46.0 47.5 U -0.5 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/01/05 Sat FL 3 AL 31 +4 +3 AL +31 47.5 46.0 U -12 G
09/30/06 Sat AL 13 FL 28 -14.0 -15.5 FL --0.5 41.0 38.5 O +-2.5 G
12/06/08 Sat AL 20 FL 31 -8.5 -10.0 FL +1 50.0 54.0 U -3 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FL (off) 26.8 21 47 236 5.0 20 12 0.6 148 7.4 384 0.8 0.3
AL (def) 10.4 13 28 59 2.1 32 15 0.5 162 5.1 221 1.0 0.4
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FL (def) 10.8 14 33 76 2.3 26 14 0.5 130 5.0 206 2.0 0.3
AL (off) 32.9 22 42 228 5.4 26 16 0.6 203 7.8 431 0.6 0.6
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FL (off) 36.5 23 42 237 5.6 24 17 0.7 215 9.0 452 0.3 0.9
AL (def) 10.8 13 29 79 2.7 31 14 0.5 157 5.1 236 1.6 0.5
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FL (def) 9.8 14 31 90 2.9 28 14 0.5 143 5.1 233 1.7 0.3
AL (off) 31.7 21 41 213 5.2 26 16 0.6 195 7.5 408 0.4 0.5



SCORING AVERAGES:

Florida Gators (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 11.8 6.0 17.8 1.5 7.5 0.0 9
POINTS ALLOWED 2.5 6.0 8.5 0.8 1.5 0.0 2.3



Alabama Crimson Tide (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.4 9.1 17.5 5.5 9.9 0.0 15.4
POINTS ALLOWED 1.8 4.1 5.9 2.8 1.8 0.0 4.6



Florida Gators (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 9.1 12.6 21.7 7.3 7.6 0.0 14.9
POINTS ALLOWED 1.3 4.4 5.7 1.8 2.3 0.0 4.1



Alabama Crimson Tide (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.4 10.7 17.1 6.1 8.5 0.0 14.6
POINTS ALLOWED 2.8 2.8 5.6 3.3 2.0 0.0 5.3



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Florida Gators 67 -6.0 1.0
Alabama Crimson Tide 57
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 47 4 over
 

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SEC Championship
December 5, 2009
By SBGGlobal.com

SEC Championship Game
Alabama vs. Florida
Saturday, 4:05 pm Eastern ? CBS



The biggest game of the college football betting season takes place on Saturday at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta as #1 Florida faces #2 Alabama in the SEC Championship game with the winner headed to the BCS title game. Both teams are 12-0 and have a lot of similarities including excellent defenses. It is a rematch of last year?s SEC title game that saw Florida come from behind to win.



Florida is a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 41.5 at SBG Global.

With all due respect to the national title game which will occur in January, this game is bigger. "I can't think of a bigger football game that I've been a part of, that we've been a part of," Florida head coach Urban Meyer said, "College football wants this game. I've been hearing it for a long time and trying to ignore it and push it back. Our players have been, too." The winner of the game gets to play in the BCS title game while the loser is probably headed to the Sugar Bowl.



The two teams are very much alike but there is one big difference and he is at quarterback for Florida. When the Gators need a big play or an emotional lift they turn to Tim Tebow. He had five touchdowns in last Saturday?s 37-10 win over Florida State. Last year against Alabama he led the Gators to a 14 point fourth quarter as they rallied to a 31-20 win. Florida will not come into Saturday?s game at full strength though. Star defensive end Carlos Dunlap was suspended after he was arrested for driving under the influence last weekend. It is a huge loss for the Gators since he was considered a Top 10 NFL Draft pick.



Here are the college football betting stats for Saturday?s game. The Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite. The Gators are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Gators are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings against Alabama.



The Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 conference games. The underdog in this series is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.



The Under is 8-1 in the Gators last 9 conference games. The Over is 6-2 in the Gators last 8 neutral site games. The Under is 5-1-1 in Alabama?s last 7 games overall.
 

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Betting on No.1 or No.2 in SEC Title Tilt

Betting on No.1 or No.2 in SEC Title Tilt

Betting on No.1 or No.2 in SEC Title Tilt

As soon as the first BCS ratings were announced, it was a foregone conclusion these two SEC teams would meet again for what is essentially a semi-final game for the national championship. This is the second year in a row these teams will meet sporting a perfect records, however Alabama (12-0, 7-4 ATS) has closed the gap, now 5.5-point underdogs compared to +10 a season ago. The Crimson Tide have tailback Mark Ingram running behind five behemoths.

Quarterback Greg McElroy has rectified mid-season slump and again is on target to Julio Jones and other pass-catchers. The defense is led by nose tackle Terrence Cody and has a number of large bodies and they have been ranked with Florida all season among the top three defenses in college football. Bama is 13-5 ATS after eight or more consecutive straight up wins.

Just how good has the Florida (12-0, 6-5 ATS) football program been the last several of years? This senior class is 47-6, the best ever in the long history of the SEC and they are impressive 31-17-2 ATS, often facing spreads bigger than the Mt. Cody. Besides the numbers, this Florida team wants to leave an indelible mark, like the basketball team did a few years back.

The Gators are trying to be back-to-back champions and be first Florida squad to claim a national championship being unbeaten. Tim Tebow has put up numbers and accomplished feats that arguably make him the greatest college football player of all-time. The offense lacked the playmakers of a year ago but offensive line has pulled them through. The defense covered up what rough patches the offense suffered. The Gators are 9-2 ATS away from Gainesville after two or more consecutive straight up wins.
This is a de facto BCS Final Four encounter. Florida has the edge because they have Tebow and shined on this stage every time they have played under Urban Meyer. Pick the style of play, the Gators eat it up. Teams with winning records, Florida is 11-2 ATS. You play great defense and hold teams to 17 or fewer points, the Gators are 6-0 ATS. What about teams with high scoring offenses that total 31 or more points a game, 8-1 ATS the last three years. Did we mention Tin Tebow?

Job one of Alabama?s tremendous defense; take away the Florida dive play, that means you Mr. Cody. If LB Rolando McClain is making tackles within four yards of line of scrimmage, the Crimson Tide defense is doing its job. The Florida passing tends to run in streaks during games, don?t let Tebow get comfortable throwing the ball. Coach Nick Saban?s offensive line had played outstanding until last week in Auburn. They have to be great against fabulous Florida defense and they got early Christmas present, not having to deal with DE Carlos Dunlap (suspended for drunk driving charges). Mark Ingram can?t run like he did last week and QB Greg McElroy cannot crumble in the moment for a team that is 7-0 ATS away from home vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards per attempt.

Sportsbook.com has the Gators as favorites; however from our friends at Playbook.com, we find No.1 teams are 2-9 and 1-10 ATS off a win by 25 or more points. The total has been steady at 41 and Florida is 7-1 UNDER after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games and Alabama is 11-2 UNDER after five or more consecutive straight up wins over the last two seasons.

This has the making of classic defensive struggle and Florida is 6-4 and 5-4-1 ATS since 1992.

Power Line ? Florida by 6
*** ? Alabama covers
 

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SEC rematch and the matchup everyone expected

SEC rematch and the matchup everyone expected

SEC rematch and the matchup everyone expected

Back in those dog days of August, when the players were just reporting for two-a-days and no school is beyond dreaming of a title, this was the game everyone has circled on the schedule.

Before anyone had taken a snap, Florida and Alabama had already been penciled in for a rematch in the Southeastern Conference championship game.

Well here they are, having survived the gauntlet of 12 grueling games apiece and three months of expectations, scrutiny and pressure with not one slip-up between them.

The Gators vs. the Crimson Tide.

No. 1 vs. No. 2.

The game EVERYONE wanted to see.

``It's always in the back of your mind,'' Alabama linebacker Rolando McClain said. ``We want that rematch. They put us out of our run for the national championship last year, and we haven't forgotten.''

This is the second year in a row the teams have been 1-2 when they clashed for the SEC championship, though the roles were reversed in 2008. Alabama was undefeated and sitting on top, while Florida had clawed its way back up to second spot after an upset loss to Ole Miss.

Both teams made it through unscathed this time, marking one of those rare times in sports when not one, but two teams do everything that was projected of them.

Win big. Win close. Win them all.

``We had a plan to go to the SEC championship. That's the whole goal. That's the mindset for the whole team,'' Florida defensive back Joe Haden said. ``Now we're all sitting here undefeated, (playing for the) SEC championship. We win this, we go on to the national championship.''

Basically, it's a national semifinal game, a most enticing crumb thrown to all those proponents of a playoff system. The winner heads to Pasadena for the BCS championship. The loser likely to the Sugar Bowl.

There's plenty of motivation on both sides. Florida is going for its second straight national title and third in four years, the perfect capper for Tim Tebow's brilliant career. Alabama is eager to make up for a 31-20 loss to the Gators in last year's SEC championship game, its perfect season snatched away in the final 15 minutes.

The Tide went to the fourth quarter clinging to a three-point lead, but Tebow rallied Florida to a pair of touchdowns.

``We always pride ourselves on dominating the fourth quarter,'' McClain said. ``This defense, if everybody does their job, the defense takes care of itself. If everybody would have just done what they had to do in the fourth quarter instead of getting caught up in the moment, I think we would have been fine.''

No complaints about the defense on either side this season.

Florida has allowed the fewest points in the nation (9.8 a game), Alabama the second fewest (10.8). The Gators also have given up the fewest yards (233.1), the Tide is right there with them in the No. 3 spot (233.9). From Brandon Spikes to Terrence ``Mount'' Cody, it's hard to envision either team scoring very many points.

``Really good athletes all over the place,'' Haden said.

Then again, how many times do a pair of Heisman Trophy contenders get a chance to go head-to-head at this point in the season?

Florida will send out Tebow, its too-good-to-be-true quarterback. Alabama will counter with Mark Ingram, a dynamic runner with more than 1,400 yards on the ground. This will be like a three-hour-plus campaign commercial, both players making their final pitches for college football's top individual award.

Tebow already has one Heisman, becoming the first sophomore to capture the trophy two years ago. If he can win again as a senior, he'll join Archie Griffin as the only two-time winner of the award.

Amazingly, given its championship-filled, Bear-ingrained history, Alabama has never produced a Heisman winner. Ingram could be one big performance away from ending that drought, though he might not be at full strength. In last week's nail-biting win over Auburn, he was held to 30 yards rushing and went out on the final drive with a hip injury.

Tide coach Nick Saban said Friday that his star runner was able to practice this week with no major problems and should be good to go.

Florida took a big hit during the week that had nothing to do with anything on the field. Junior end Carlos Dunlap, one of the team's best pass rushers and defensive MVP of last season's BCS title game, was charged with driving under the influence early Tuesday. He won't be allowed to play against Alabama.

``He is devastated,'' said coach Urban Meyer, who met with Dunlap and his family after the player's arrest. ``He made the comment he didn't want to hurt his teammates. A very poor decision.''

In a part of the country where college football is king, Florida and Alabama are the gold standard. With a heritage that ranges from Bear Bryant in that houndstooth hat to Steve Spurrier throwing it all over the field in the ``Fun 'n' Gun,'' these are two programs where championships are expected, losing just isn't tolerated.

The Tide's success is more long term - it won the very first SEC title in 1933 and now stands at 20, the bulk of them won during Bryant's quarter-century reign. Alabama's last SEC title was 10 long years ago, and the faithful are getting restless for another.

``We sort of know that the expectations at the University of Alabama are relatively high,'' Saban deadpanned.

Florida has been the SEC's dominant team since Spurrier guided the school to its first conference title in 1991. The Gators now have nine trophies in their case.

``The history is phenomenal,'' Meyer said. ``When you start mentioning those names and you start talking about the Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida Gators playing for the Southeastern Conference for the right to play for the national championship, you're probably lying if you're not overwhelmed by the whole deal.''
 

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Key Performance Information

FLORIDA

AS A FAVORITE OF 3.5 TO 10 PTS
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 9-2 | ATS: 9-2 Since 1993
SU: 35-11 | ATS: 29-16
IN ALL GAMES
This season
SU: 12-0 | ATS: 6-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 34-5 | ATS: 25-11 Since 1993
SU: 182-47 | ATS: 117-96
AFTER 2 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE STRAIGHT UP WINS
This season
SU: 10-0 | ATS: 5-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 23-3 | ATS: 16-9 Since 1993
SU: 104-27 | ATS: 65-58
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A WINNING RECORD
This season
SU: 5-0 | ATS: 3-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 18-3 | ATS: 17-4 Since 1993
SU: 86-36 | ATS: 70-51
IN ALL LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 11-0 | ATS: 6-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 31-5 | ATS: 25-11 Since 1993
SU: 169-47 | ATS: 117-96
AS A FAVORITE
This season
SU: 11-0 | ATS: 6-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 31-4 | ATS: 24-11 Since 1993
SU: 155-30 | ATS: 97-84
AS A NEUTRAL FIELD FAVORITE OF 3.5 TO 7 PTS
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 1-1 Since 1993
SU: 7-3 | ATS: 6-4
AGAINST CONFERENCE OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 8-0 | ATS: 3-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 21-4 | ATS: 16-9 Since 1993
SU: 124-29 | ATS: 83-67
WHEN PLAYING ON A SATURDAY
This season
SU: 12-0 | ATS: 6-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 33-4 | ATS: 24-10 Since 1993
SU: 175-39 | ATS: 110-88
WHEN PLAYING WITH 6 OR LESS DAYS REST
This season
SU: 10-0 | ATS: 5-5 Last 3 seaons
SU: 26-4 | ATS: 19-10 Since 1993
SU: 130-32 | ATS: 83-69
IN DOME GAMES
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Since 1993
SU: 4-3 | ATS: 4-3
IN GAMES PLAYED ON A NEUTRAL FIELD
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 4-2 | ATS: 4-2 Since 1993
SU: 26-12 | ATS: 24-14
IN GAMES PLAYED ON TURF
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Since 1993
SU: 9-4 | ATS: 7-6
IN DECEMBER GAMES
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Since 1993
SU: 8-4 | ATS: 8-4
 

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Key Performance Information

ALABAMA

AS AN UNDERDOG OF 3.5 TO 10 PTS
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 2-3 | ATS: 2-2 Since 1993
SU: 9-19 | ATS: 15-12
IN ALL GAMES
This season
SU: 12-0 | ATS: 7-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 31-8 | ATS: 19-17 Since 1993
SU: 149-73 | ATS: 102-110
IN ALL LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 11-0 | ATS: 7-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 29-8 | ATS: 19-17 Since 1993
SU: 143-72 | ATS: 102-110
AS AN UNDERDOG
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 3-4 | ATS: 3-3 Since 1993
SU: 19-47 | ATS: 35-28
AS A NEUTRAL FIELD UNDERDOG OF 3.5 TO 7 PTS
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Since 1993
SU: 4-3 | ATS: 5-2
AGAINST CONFERENCE OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 8-0 | ATS: 5-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 20-5 | ATS: 13-11 Since 1993
SU: 92-56 | ATS: 70-75
WHEN PLAYING ON A SATURDAY
This season
SU: 11-0 | ATS: 7-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 29-7 | ATS: 18-15 Since 1993
SU: 138-69 | ATS: 93-104
AFTER PLAYING A CONFERENCE GAME
This season
SU: 7-0 | ATS: 4-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 17-7 | ATS: 11-11 Since 1993
SU: 94-53 | ATS: 69-70
IN DOME GAMES
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 2-2 | ATS: 2-2 Since 1993
SU: 4-2 | ATS: 4-2
IN GAMES PLAYED ON A NEUTRAL FIELD
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 3-3 | ATS: 3-3 Since 1993
SU: 11-10 | ATS: 10-11
IN GAMES PLAYED ON TURF
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 3-2 | ATS: 3-2 Since 1993
SU: 11-3 | ATS: 7-7
IN DECEMBER GAMES
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 1-1 Since 1993
SU: 5-7 | ATS: 4-8
OFF A WIN AGAINST A CONFERENCE RIVAL
This season
SU: 7-0 | ATS: 4-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 16-3 | ATS: 10-7 Since 1993
SU: 64-26 | ATS: 44-41
AFTER 2 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE STRAIGHT UP WINS
This season
SU: 10-0 | ATS: 6-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 22-3 | ATS: 15-8 Since 1993
SU: 74-25 | ATS: 53-42
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A WINNING RECORD
This season
SU: 5-0 | ATS: 3-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 10-7 | ATS: 7-9 Since 1993
SU: 52-54 | ATS: 51-52
 

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Alabama vs. Florida

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators (-5.5, 41.5)

For the second consecutive season and seventh time since its inception, the SEC Championship Game will match Florida and Alabama.

The game counters the two top-ranked teams in the country, two of the leading contenders for the Heisman Trophy and two of the most dominant defenses in college football.

Line movement

Florida opened as 4.5-point favorites. Heavy action on the Gators moved the line to -6 and it has since dropped to -5.5. The total opened at 41 and stayed there the majority of the week until recently rising to 41.5.

The over is where the biggest percentage of wagering is being placed while Alabama and the money line (+190) is a close second.

Significant injuries/suspensions

Florida defensive end Carlos Dunlap is suspended because of a recent DUI arrest. Dunlap is tied for the team lead in sacks, is second in passes broken up and was defensive MVP of last season?s BCS title game.

?This is a rather serious [distraction], obviously,? said Florida head coach Urban Meyer.

Alabama?s Mark Ingram, the SEC?s second-leading rusher, suffered a hip pointer in the regular-season finale but says he feels great and will play Saturday.

Seeking revenge

Alabama?s Nick Saban will be seeking revenge this Saturday after last season?s tough 31-20 loss to Florida.

Since he came to the SEC in 2000, 14 different teams have beaten Saban one year and had a rematch in the following season, but only one (Florida in 2000 and 2001 when Saban was at LSU) won both games back to back.

?Losing eats at [Saban],? said former assistant Lance Thompson. ?He?s not gonna rest until he finds a way to win.?

Sack attack

Alabama has eight more sacks (31 to 23) than this time a year ago. The only games this season it did not register a sack were in blowout wins over North Texas and Chattanooga ? games the Crimson Tide did not necessarily need to blitz.

Florida quarterbacks have been sacked 13 more times (28 to 15) in ?09 than in the 2008 regular season. Tebow was sacked just once against Alabama last year and, because of the great protection he had in the final quarter, was able to engineer two final scoring drives, leading the Gators to victory.

Part of Tebow?s protection is Xavier Nixon at left tackle. The true freshman has seen significant action in only the last five games, starting three, and will face a fierce ?Bama blitz.

Heisman hype

Apparently healthy, Heisman candidate Ingram will look to bounce back from his last performance of 16 carries for just 30 yards against Auburn. He will confront a Gator defense allowing just 233 yards and less than a touchdown per game.

Tebow, Florida?s leading passer and rusher, has willed his team to victory after victory. He is at his best in big games and when in the spotlight.

He?s guided the Gators to 22 consecutive wins ? the fourth most in SEC history.

Key matchup

After catching just 13 passes in Alabama?s first seven games, sophomore sensation Julio Jones has averaged 5.4 receptions per the last five games.

Florida?s Janoris Jenkins and Joe Haden will matchup against Jones, depending which side of the field the receiver lines up at.

Jenkins has not been the impact player he was a year ago while Haden leads the Gators in interceptions and is a Thorpe Award finalist. Jones is five inches taller than both players.

?Julio is a big, strong guy,? Haden said. ?What I'm going to try to do is get my hands on him and throw off his timing.?

Trends

Since he has been at Florida, Urban Meyer?s teams have finished strong, winning 10 of 11 and going 9-2 ATS against Florida State, in SEC title games, and bowls. Alabama is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 SEC games.

Coaching in the SEC, Meyer is 11-2 straight up and 13-0 ATS against AP top-10 opponents; Saban is 9-8 straight up and 10-7 ATS against the top 10.

The under is 8-1 in Florida?s last nine SEC games and 8-2-1 in Alabama?s last 11 SEC games.
 

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Preview:
Florida vs Alabama
When: 4:00 PM ET, Saturday, December 5, 2009
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia


Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Alabama Crimson Tide are ranked 40 on offense, averaging 407.4 yards per game. The Crimson Tide are averaging 212.9 yards rushing and 194.5 yards passing so far this season.

The Florida Gators are ranked 12 on offense, averaging 451.3 yards per game. The Gators are averaging 236.7 yards rushing and 214.7 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 7-0 at home this season, 8-0 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Crimson Tide are averaging 32.7 scoring, and holding teams to 8.4 points scored on defense.

The Florida Gators are 4-0 while on the road this season, 8-0 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Gators are averaging 26.8 scoring, and holding teams to 10.8 points scored on defense.
 

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Trends - No. 1 Florida vs No. 3 Alabama

Trends - No. 1 Florida vs No. 3 Alabama

Trends - No. 1 Florida vs No. 3 Alabama

ATS Trends

Florida

Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Gators are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gators are 20-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Gators are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Gators are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gators are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.
Gators are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
Gators are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Gators are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.


Alabama

Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.


OU Trends

Florida

Under is 5-0 in Gators last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Under is 7-0 in Gators last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-1 in Gators last 9 conference games.
Under is 7-1 in Gators last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Gators last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Gators last 10 games overall.
Under is 8-2 in Gators last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-2 in Gators last 10 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-2 in Gators last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Gators last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Gators last 8 neutral site games.
Over is 5-2 in Gators last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.
Under is 5-2 in Gators last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.


Alabama

Under is 5-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
Under is 8-2-1 in Crimson Tide last 11 conference games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 12-5 in Crimson Tide last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 13-6 in Crimson Tide last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.


Head to Head

Gators are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
 

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(1) Florida (12-0) vs. (2) Alabama (12-0)



Saturday, December 5th, 8:00 p.m. (et)



GAME NOTES: The top two teams in the country will collide in the Georgia Dome this weekend, as the top-ranked Florida Gators take on the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, with the SEC title and a spot in the BCS Championship game on the line.

The defending national champion Gators are sporting the nation's longest win streak and pushed it to a school-record 22 games with last weekend's rout of rival Florida State in the regular-season finale. With the win, Florida has now posted its first 12-0 regular-season campaign in school history. The Gators are playing Alabama for the seventh time in the SEC Championship game since its inception in 1992.

Not much has changed this season, as the Gators will be facing Alabama for the second straight season with the conference crown on the line. The Crimson Tide also ran the table this year, moving to 12-0 with a hard-fought 26-21 victory at Auburn last weekend.

Urban Meyer certainly recognizes the unique challenge that Alabama represents.

"It's a great week coming up for us. We've had a couple of those, so we have to stay focused on the task at hand. It's a mighty task. I put them in the great category and I don't do that often; their offense, defense and they have a dynamic returner. Their return units are also highly ranked. We'll have to do a great job covering the football. Defensively and offensively they are in the top statistical categories along with us. They are very good."

This is the 36th meeting between these two teams, with Alabama holding a 21-14 series advantage. Florida however, holds a 4-2 edge in SEC Title games against Alabama, including last year's 31-20 victory that sent the Gators on to a national championship.

Tim Tebow is in his final two games of an illustrious college career. He has certainly saved some of his best for last in 2009, as he has been instrumental in Florida's offensive balance. The team is putting up over 200 yards both rushing and passing and the former Heisman winner is leading the way in both categories. On the ground, he has rushed for 796 yards and 13 TDs, setting up the pass. He has completed an impressive 66.4 percent of his passes, going for 2,166 yards and 17 more scores.

The scary thing about this offense is that Tebow has a full array of weapons at his disposal. The ground game is bolstered by talented tailbacks Jeff Demps (7.7 ypc, seven TDs) and Chris Rainey (6.5 ypc, four TDs).

The vertical game features All-American candidate Aaron Hernandez (51 receptions, for 654 yards, four TDs) at the tight end position and Riley Cooper (41 receptions, for 703 yards, eight TDs) as the primary wideout.

There isn't a better defensive unit in the nation than the one that resides in Gainesville. The Gators lead the nation in scoring defense (9.8 ppg), pass defense (143.2 ypg) and total defense (233.1 ypg). In addition, the squad has shown a real penchant for getting after quarterbacks with 34 total sacks and tremendous ball-hawking skills (20 INTs).

The pass rush will take a hit this weekend with the suspension of star DE Carlos Dunlap (8.5 TFLs, seven sacks). Dunlap was arrested and charged with a DUI this week. That will put more pressure on end Jermaine Cunningham (11.5 TFLs, 7.0 sacks) to get upfield. He will get plenty of help though from All-American talent in Ryan Stamper (team-high 71 tackles, 5.5 TFLs, 2.5 sacks) and Brandon Spikes (53 tackles. 3.0 sacks) in the linebacking corps and Joe Haden (59 tackles, 3.0 sacks, four INTs) and Ahmad Black (57 tackles, one INT) in the secondary.

Alabama has its own Heisman candidate leading the way on offense in sophomore tailback Mark Ingram. The 5-10, 212-pound youngster is one of the premier rushers in the nation, rumbling for 1,429 yards and 12 TDs thus far, while averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Ingram is one of the nation's most complete backs as well, ranking second on the team in receptions (28), with three more TDs through the air.

All Ingram's work has made things a bit easier on junior signal-caller Greg McElroy, who has completed an efficient 60.8 percent of his passes, for 2,211 yards, with 16 TDs against just four INTs.

The team has a pair of difference makers on the outside in WRs Julio Jones (40 receptions, for 545 yards, four TDs) and Marquis Maze (25 receptions, for 423 yards, two TDs).

While Florida's defense is based on speed, the Alabama stop unit wears teams down with size and strength. The Crimson Tide have been stingy against both the run (77.1 ypg) and the pass (156.8 ypg) and rank third nationally in total defense (233.9 ypg).

It starts with 6-4, 260-pound LB Rolando McClain. An All-American candidate in his own right, McClain paces the team in tackles (96), with 12.0 TFLs, 4.0 sacks, two INTs and 11 QB hurries. Eryk Anders (12.0 TFLs, 5.0 sacks) joins McClain in the middle of the defense. The secondary has its share of star power, coming in the form of Javier Arenas (64 tackles, 12.0 TFLs, 5.0 sacks, two INTs) and Mark Barron (63 tackles, seven INTs), while the defensive front features huge rush ends like Brandon Deaderick (6-4, 306) and Marcell Dareus (6-4, 296) and mammoth tackle Terrence Cody (6-5, 354). Dareus has come on strong this year to pace the team in sacks with 6.5. In all, Alabama has done a terrific job rushing the passer (31 sacks), while forcing 25 turnovers.

Nick Saban is convinced his team is up for the challenge of another shot at the SEC title.

"This is a great opportunity for our team to play in the SEC Championship Game, especially for the second year in a row. This is a great competitive venue and one of the best competitive venues that I've had the opportunity to be involved in. I'm sure our players feel the same way about that. I think if you're a great competitor you love to play in these types of games. They have a lot of great players and had an undefeated season and have a very good team. It's certainly a challenge for our guys and everybody should be really motivated."

The Gators have unmatched speed and that has served them well this year. However, the Crimson Tide wear teams down with brute force and that could be the equalizer this weekend. Still, it will be the playmakers that decide this one, and there isn't a better one in the country than Tim Tebow.

Predicted Outcome: Florida 31, Alabama 20
 
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College Football Matchup - (1) Florida vs. (2) Alabama

College Football Matchup - (1) Florida vs. (2) Alabama

College Football Matchup - (1) Florida vs. (2) Alabama

(1) Florida Gators (12-0) vs. (2) Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0)
Date: Saturday, December 5th
Kickoff: 4 p.m. (et)
Site: Georgia Dome (71,500) -- Atlanta, Georgia
Surface: FieldTurf
Home Record: Florida 7-0; Alabama 7-0
Away Record: Florida 4-0; Alabama 5-0
Neutral Record: Florida 1-0; Alabama 0-0
Conference Record: Florida 8-0; Alabama 8-0
Current Win/Loss Streak: Florida 22W
Current Win/Loss Streak: Alabama 12W
Television: CBS
Announcers: Verne Lundquist, Gary Danielson and Tracy Wolfson
All-Time Series: Alabama (20-14)
Last Meeting: December 6, 2008 (Florida, 31-20 at Atlanta in SEC Championship)
Series Streak: Florida has won the last two meetings.

Season Schedule/Results
Florida Gators
Sep 5 - W vs. Char Southern, 62-3
Sep 12 - W vs. Troy, 56-6
Sep 19 - W vs. Tennessee, 23-13
Sep 26 - W at Kentucky, 41-7
Oct 3 - Open
Oct 10 - W at L-S-U, 13-3
Oct 17 - W vs. Arkansas, 23-20
Oct 24 - W at Miss State, 29-19
Oct 31 - W vs. Georgia, 41-17 (at Jacksonville, FL)
Nov 7 - W vs. Vanderbilt, 27-3
Nov 14 - W at So Carolina, 24-14
Nov 21 - W vs. FIU, 62-3
Nov 28 - W vs. Florida State, 37-10
Dec 5 - vs. Alabama, 4:00 PM (SEC Championship)
Alabama Crimson Tide
Sep 5 - W at Virginia Tech, 34-24
Sep 12 - W vs. FIU, 40-14
Sep 19 - W vs. North Texas, 53-7
Sep 26 - W vs. Arkansas, 35-7
Oct 3 - W at Kentucky, 38-20
Oct 10 - W at Ole Miss, 22-3
Oct 17 - W vs. So Carolina, 20-6
Oct 24 - W vs. Tennessee, 12-10
Oct 31 - Open
Nov 7 - W vs. L-S-U, 24-15
Nov 14 - W at Miss State, 31-3
Nov 21 - W vs. Chattanooga, 45-0
Nov 27 - W at Auburn, 26-21
Dec 5 - vs. Florida, 4:00 PM (SEC Championship)
 
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