Senors' Leans/Selections Week 10

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
NFL
SIDES 38-25-2
Total 2-2


Action Plays plays are not counted on my record.

My $$$ plays are ranked from strongest to weakest
(top to bottom)

Of course they can change in rank & probably will, before gametime Sunday, depending on the circumstances.




Already played the following:


KC + 6 (inflated line)
Minny + 1.5 (wrong team favored here)
Baltimore - 5.5 ((double digit win))
Arizona - 3.5 ( Scratched due to iinjuries)
Washington + 3 (outright)
St Louis - 6 ((double digit win))
Panthers + 5.5 (Postal Play)
KC/SF OVER 51


=========================



Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers

1 of the NFLs best "Os" against 1 of the worst "Ds".
That aside......

LW against the Faders the 49ers ran 27 plays & controlled the final 15 minutes, which included reg & OT.
Check 30-15 FD edge & nearly a 200 yd advantage
Garcia, Owens & Hearst playing very well during their 5-1 run.

However KC also brings a premier "O" to the table.
Led by the NFLs leading rusher.....
Priest "My main- man" Holmes

KC is 7-0 ATS on the road & 29-19 ATS vs the NFC.


:director: Kansas City Chiefs + 6
Small on the over 51 & moneyline.

----------------------------------------


Cincinnatti Bungholes @ Baltimore Ravens

Classic payback game. (Blake against former team)

We all know that the Bengals "guaranteed win" came in LW.
The game included a career-high 4 TD passes from Kitna, who was excellent for the 2nd week in a row.
30-of-50 for 456 yds & 6 TDs w/No INTS
(vs Titans & Texans)

Now Cincy takes to the divsion road where it has been torture for
them of late. As they have failed to top 7 pts in 9 of their last 12 AFC Central guest spots.


Ravens have covered the spread in 5 of its last 6 games and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against the Bungholes.

Ravens have beaten the Bengals in the last 8 contests and have taken 5 straight at home.

Ravens "O" is sputtering but they are an amazing 10-1 ATS as series host.

Bungholes are a stanky 1-12 ATS on the road off SU win by 13 or more pts.
Also are 4-16 as division road dog.


This one should make Jack smile.....

Baltimore Ravens - 5.5 :D

-----------------------------------------


Washington Redskins @ Jacksonville Jaguars

What happened to the preseason-scoreboard-lighting-up 'Skins??
They are currently 4-4 mainly due to their 8th ranked "D" definitely NOT their 21st ranked "O".

Jags find themselves on a 4-game slide, after opening 3-1 & has not reached 21 pts since Oct 6th.

Putting 2 & 2 together and you gotta be thinking a low-scoring affair. Possibly so.

'Skins are on an outstanding 11-1 ATS as a Nov dog.

Jags are 4-14 ATS vs foes off a pair of SU wins.

Dog is 10-3 ATS in Jag tilts.

Dog ~~> kurby running loose.....'Skins + 3

----------------------------------------

And now for the much anticipated, mortgage the house, tell your friends....... "Postal Play of the Week"

New Orlean Saints @ Carolina Panthers


Here we have the Panthers "D" pitted against Saints "O"
Brooks & McAllister & Horn have the Aints just a 1/2 game behind the Bucs with the Panthers bringing up the rear in the NFC South.
The Aints have topped 31 pts in their last 4 outtings, while the Panthers have allowed just one team to top 17 pts (Atlanta) & are ceding just 14.6 ppg.

The puppy is 10-3-1 ATS in Carolina games of late, while the visitor is 14-7-1 ATS in New Orlean contests.

Saints are 1-11 ATS off a bye

Panthers are 10-2-1 as HDs vs rug teams.

Ladies & Gentlemen give it up to the....
Carolina Panthers as the Postal Play of the Week :brows:

I know what your thinking: "Did he drink the whole 12 pack of Heineken or just 7?" Well, to tell you the truth in all this excitement of Week 10, I've kinda lost track myself.
But this being "Senors' Postal Pick of the Week" one of the most powerful plays in the world, and can increase your wallet size two-fold, you've got to ask yourself one question.......
"Does he feel lucky?"
Well, do ya Senor?

Well ahhhh, errr a yup. That's for should.
:rolleyes:


------------------------------------
 
Last edited:

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
Beertime where are you?

Beertime where are you?

Ya haven't pestered me @ my Postal Picks lately. ;)

FYI Postal Picks are 4-0 ATS for the season which includes:

Week # 1 ....HOUSTON + 8 & Moneyline over Dallas (WINNERS):eek:

Week # 4 ....DETRIOT ov New Orleans ;)

Week # 5 ...Baltimore moneyline then switched to + 7 over
CLEVELAND (Both were WINNERS) :eek:

Week # 6....ST LOUIS + 280 Moneyline over Oakland (WINNER) Oct 13 :eek:

Working on one for week 10. :cool:
 

kbyoda

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 31, 2001
292
0
0
52
Bethesda, MD
Hey Senor,

2 of my early leans you agree with...Pats and Zona. If you like these games and decided to play them, would you hold off and wait for better lines than the -3.5? I would really like to see them at 3, but 4 can be an easy push I would like to avoid. What would you recommend?

:shrug:
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
Well......

Well......

Cards - 3.5
Do you honestly see that much Seattle money coming in to push it backwards to - 3. :confused:
I sure the hell don't. ;)
But ya never know.
I bet it already small


Patsies - 3.5
Again 'cept Bear money.
I don't see it that's why I bet 'em both already.
Yes, I bet Patsies this evening (small)
Check the thread Bills Trend & see why I went small on this one.


If you honestly think either one of these games move to 3.
By all means Wait. Chances are they will go up.

G/L
 
Last edited:

kbyoda

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 31, 2001
292
0
0
52
Bethesda, MD
I got to go w/ yah on your advice Senor!! I 100% agree their will not be a flood of $ on Seattle and I do think Pats cover by a TD! I am going to put these plays in now as well. I appreciate you spending the time to reply back..thanks again and hopefully we hit these both!!
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
5
0
Sexlexia...
Always enjoy reading your thoughts, Senor, but I have New Orleans 6-2 ATS after their last 8 byes??

Good luck for the weekend.
Hope this doesn't affect the Postal PLay ;)
 

4bubba

Moderator
Forum Member
Jun 10, 2001
0
0
0
Las Vegas, NV
Nov 8

Senior Capper,
How's it going. I hope to see you at this years MJ Super Bowl party.

A little info on the ARI/SEA game:

WR Boston is out which makes 3 of 4 top WRs out for the Cardinals in the last 2 weeks.

A partial reprint from the Matchups forum:


Knee injury might end Boston's season

NFL.com wire reports


TEMPE, Ariz. (Nov. 7, 2002) -- Pro Bowl wide receiver David Boston of the Arizona Cardinals has a partially torn tendon in his right knee and probably will undergo season-ending knee surgery.

Boston is traveling to Dallas this week for a second opinion from specialist Dr. James Montgomery.

"If there's a tear there, I've got to have surgery, and probably my season is going to be over with," Boston said. "I've just got to go confirm that in Dallas."

An MRI on Nov. 6 showed two partial tears of the patella. One was an older tear that apparently was the cause of problems Boston had this summer and in training camp. The second tear apparently occurred in the Cardinals' loss Oct. 27 at San Francisco.

"It's disappointing," Boston said. "It's unfortunate that this injury would happen now. We had eight games left and I wanted to go out there and make enough plays to get this team to the playoffs."

If Boston can't come back this year, the Cardinals will have lost three of their top four wide receivers in the past two weeks. Bryan Gilmore broke his right leg when he fell on camera equipment in San Francisco, and MarTay Jenkins fractured his right shoulder blade in a Nov. 3 loss to St. Louis.

That leaves Frank Sanders as the only experienced wideout. Rookie Jason McAddley, a fifth-round draft pick out of Alabama, becomes the No. 2 receiver, and Jake Soliday, an undrafted rookie from Northern Iowa, becomes No. 3.

The other receivers are seldom-used 5-foot-8 Arnold Jackson and Nathan Poole, who was signed off the practice squad this week.


This game could be a great UNDER.
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
There ya go Bubba

There ya go Bubba

Oh ya know what sucks ?

at Best Bettor "lets say some idiot clicks on 49ers - 6.5 but really wanted KC + 6.5" and there is nothing you can do about it.
Aint that big of deal cause it doesn't cost us anything.
But betting against the Chefs ? That's sacrilege !!!
:(
 
Last edited:
Bet on MyBookie
Top