Senors' Leans/Selections Week 13

Senor Capper

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
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Thanksgiving Weekend gotta love it.
Are you thankful ?
You bet I am.
Thankful I continue to take the "mans" money!!! ;)


50-35-2 YTD


Raiders - 6 (Bills Battle Trend) Played already
Packers - 9.5
Chefs - 9.5
Bungholes + 3
Chargers + 3
Lions + 6 LOSER
Cowbells +1 WINNER

Strong Leans
Brownies - 7.5
Vikings + 4

Selections narrowed down 11-30-02


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Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

Quick Katie, bar the door !!

Packers in off 2 road embarassments to Minny & TB, where Farve threw no less than 7 INTs.

Pack has won its last 3 HGs by a combined 94-33 score covering by 14, 9 & 16 pts, while Da Bears are still seeking cover #1 in div play (0-5 ATS so far).

GB is 23-11 ATS off TB & 11-2 ATS in Dec vs a foe off a SU win.

Chicago is currently on a 5-19 spread run

Da Bears get Pack slapped

Green Bay Packers - 9.5

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New York JETS @ Oakland Raiders

Quite a turnaround for the JETS who allowed 32 ppg in their 1st 5 games but just 13.5 ppg in winning 5 of their last 6.

NFL best "O" posted 520 yds in a rout over the cards which included Gannon surpassing 300 PYs for the 8th time this year.

NY is 16-4 ATS on the non-division road & 10-3 ATS as a Dec dog.

However, the Raiders are 12-4 ATS as Monday Night hosts.
The SU winner has covered all 11 Oakland games by an average of 15 pts.

Laying the wood & I aint talkin Tiger ;)

Oakland Raiders -6


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Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs

Until things change (they won't) the Cards will continue to be a go-against team. 5 stright losses & 6 straight line misses. They are in off SU losses by 21, 24 & 21 pts. 'Zona ranks 29th in overall "D" as well as 24th vs the run, allowing at least 187 RYs in 3 out of the past 4 weeks.
Granted KC has the worst "D" in the NFL but I don''t see Plummer & Co. putting up BIG numbers in Arrowhead.

Cards are 3-12 ATS in Dec vs foes off a SU loss.

SU winner is 37-1-4 in KC HGs.

Kansas City Chiefs - 9.5 ;)

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Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals[/b]

The improving Bengals (dont laugh) came back from a 17-0 deficit at Pitt LW taking a 21-20 lead before losing in heartbreaking fashion. Ditto week 11 where they were stopped inside Clevelands 1 in the final minute.

Ravens sneaked past the Titans LW despite managing only 12 FDs & 199 yds.

3 weeks ago the Ravens took the Bengals 38-27 thanks to 4 TOs.

Cincy is 25-11 ATS in Dec & 14-5 as a Dec HD.

Now class, take out your crayons & color this one revenge

Cincinnati Bengals Outright


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Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers

Chargers were NO match against for the homestanding Fins which such deficits as 24-12 in FDs, 413-144 in yds, 222-64 in rushing & 35:54 - 24:06 in possession time.
That game snapped a 5-game for the dog in SD games.

Conflicting trends here, as the Chargers are on a 0-4 spread run as division hosts, while the Broncos allowed 34 & 34 pts in their last 2 AFC West tilts.

Marty is a superb 18-5 ATS as a HD.

San Diego Chargers + 3 :scared

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R

Redhog

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Lanny I too played the Raiders already @ -6 1/2...gotta ride that Bills battle streak until it ends...peeping @ the cowgirls play but have not pulled the trigger yet...good luck
 
H

Hooks

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Hey Senor, Just finished Sagarins #s for college and pros. Then wanted to see what was updated here.

Looking at the #s plus schedules and came up with -

Miami

G.B.

Cleve.

S.F.

Oakland

Thursday looks like N.E. and Washington, although not to sure BOTH Favs will cover.

Good luck this week brother
 
Senor Capper

Senor Capper

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Thanks

Thanks

for the info Hooks.
I'm on 'em all with the exception of the Turkey Day games which by the way I suck at every year. :(

Redhog: Bills Trend + NYJ due = Raiders cover ;)
 
J

JEFF

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Senor why didn't you tell us about that Bills battle trend before the season started.?

I could be rich by now!!:D
 
K

kcwolf

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Lanny

I realize our Chefs suck, but no reason to give up on that avatar.

;) gl this week, your having another great year, no surprise.

kcwolf
 
Senor Capper

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Miller Report

Miller Report

Miami at Buffalo 2 1/2/42

The Dolphins appear to have rightened their ship, and following a brief three-game slide, Ray Lucas has now led the team to consecutive victories.

This week, Lucas looks to avenge a 10-23 loss to the Bills earlier this season. Buffalo has slowed of late, and the once potent offense has clicked for a measly total of 36 points in its last three games. As a result, the 'under' is a perfect 5-0 in Buffalo's last five contests.

Four of the last five meetings in this rivalry have played 'over', however, it is the 'under' that is a combined 10-0 in these two teams' last five overall.
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Chicago at Green Bay -9 1/2/40

The Bears finally saw their losing streak snapped this past weekend when they used overtime to sneak past the woeful Lions. The win marked the Bears first in their last nine tries.

Offensively, Chicago continues to struggle, and the 'under' is a bankroll-padding 5-1 in the Bears' last six contests.

Three weeks ago, the Packers could have clinched a playoff berth with a win. Well, they lost, and in fact haven't won a game since.

After dropping two straight on the road, the Pack will return to the comfy-confines of Lambeau Field. Favre and the Packers are always tough to beat at home. However, it is the road team in this series that has won seven of the last eight tilts.
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Baltimore at Cincinnati 2 1/2/38 1/2

Despite being without the services of Ray Lewis, the Ravens still manage to cash tickets for their supporters. Although owning a 5-6 SU record on the season, the Ravens have stolen the loot in seven of their last nine overall.

The Bengals continue to lose week after week, and now they must face a Ravens team that has not treated them well during recent seasons. Cincy is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 versus Baltimore, and 3-7 ATS as the underdog this season.
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Carolina at Cleveland -7 1/2/38

As odd as it sounds, the Browns are rolling. Cleveland has won four of its last five games, while going a spotless 5-0 ATS.

This week they will look to hand the Panthers their eighth straight loss, while at least keeping pace with the division-leading Steelers.

Things probably couldn't get much worse for the Panthers. After jumping out to a quick 3-0 SU and AT ATS start, Carolina began a downward spiral that saw the team lose its next eight games (3-5 ATS).
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Pittsburgh at Jacksonville 3/45

It is undecided whether it will be Kordell Stewart or Tommy Maddox taking the snaps for the Steelers. During a run that has seen Pittsburgh go 5-1-1 SU, the black and gold have failed to cash at the window in each of its last four games.

The Jags are happy to return home after back to back road contests. The trip did not prove to be a successful one for Jacksonville as they barely snuck by the expansion Texans, and then lost outright to the Cowboys.

The Jags hold the recent ATS advantage in this series, posting a 5-2 ATS mark during the last seven meetings. Pittsburgh is a dismal 3-7 ATS as the favorite this season, while the Jags own a respectable 4-1 ATS record in front of their faithful.
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Arizona at Kansas City -9 1/2/47

The Chiefs are among the NFL's top money grabbers this season, entering this contest with a 7-3-1 ATS mark. However, when deemed the favorite, that record slips to a bankroll-burning 1-3 ATS.

If the big number leaves you a little hesitant here, perhaps have a look at the 'total'.

Kansas City's offense has slowed, and the defense has picked up its play, leading the 'under' to a 3-1 run in the team's last four games. For Arizona, the 'under' is a steady 24-12 in the team's last 36 games played on grass.

It's been nearly a month since the Cardinals last topped the 21 point plateau.
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Atlanta at Minnesota 3 1/2/48 1/2

Michael Vick and the Atlanta Falcons enter this week's contest unbeaten in their last seven games. The 'birds' have also been preying on the number, cashing at the window on six occasions during the streak.

As sad as the Vikings' play has been, the purple people eaters have managed to win three of their last four games inside the Metrodome. Minnesota has also cashed two straight against the number.

The 'under' is 6-1 in Atlanta's last seven games played indoors, but it is the 'over' that owns a 4-2 advantage in Minnesota home games this season.
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Tennessee at NY Giants -3/34 1/2

The Titans lost last weekend for the first time in their last six contests. Tennessee failed to keep pace with the surging Colts atop the AFC South Division standings.

The Titans enter this clash as the underdog - a role that has seen them go 3-1 ATS on the season.

The Giants have also been playing well at 3-1 SU in their last four, and continue to chase the McNabb-less Eagles in the NFC East. The Giants are 20-10 ATS the last 30 times when asked to lay points.
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Denver at San Diego 3/41

After losing a third straight home game on Monday night, the Broncos will again take to the road this week. Denver owns a 3-1-1 ATS when playing away from the faithful this season. Denver has enjoyed success in San Diego over the years, winning four of the last five visits there while posting a 3-2 ATS mark.

Although the Chargers have a new leader this season, the results are beginning to look the same as last. The Bolts have now dropped three of their last four, and are a dismal 7-14 ATS last 21 at home.
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Houston at Indianapolis -11/40 1/2

The Texans grabbed their third win of the season last week, sneaking past the surging Giants. Surprisingly, Houston has cashed for its' supporters in four of the teams' last five games.

The Colts have won three in a row, and under Dungy, Indy has improved considerably on defense. Indy has allowed just 12 points per game during the win streak, and the 'under' is 6-3-1 in the team's last 10.
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St. Louis at Philadelphia - 2/38 1/2

The Rams regained the services of Kurt Warner and watched their five-game winning streak go down the drain. In what has been a nightmare of a season for the Rams, they've posted a dismal 3-8 ATS mark.

The Eagles showed they can win without Donovan McNabb by beating the high-flying Niners. This week they'll have to take the field without their number one, and two, quarterbacks. Second-stringer, Koy Detmer, was injured in the win, leaving A.J. Feeley to take the snaps for the Eagles.

The Eagles are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
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Seattle at San Francisco - 9/43

The Niners were stunned by an undermanned Eagles team Monday night, and for the third straight week, the San Francisco offense managed only 17 points. The Niners are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games, but 3-0 ATS within their division this season.

Seattle pays visit to Candlestick flying on a two-game road winning streak. However, the Seahawks have yet to win back to back matchups this season.
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Tampa Bay at New Orleans - 1/40

The Bucs continue to stifle opponents with their stellar defensive play. Under John Gruden's guidance, Tampa rebounded from an opening week loss, to win nine of their next 10 games. They've posted an impressive 8-2 ATS mark during the run.

Ironically enough, that Week 1 loss came at the hands of these very Saints. After a blistering start, the Saints have stumbled, losing three of their last four games.

This contest will no doubt have 'totals' players pulling their hair out. The 'over' is 9-2 in Saints games this season, while the 'under' is 8-3 when the Bucs take the field.

Three of the last four meetings shot 'over' the 'total'.
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NY Jets at Oakland -6 1/2/49

The Raiders appear to be firing on all cylinders once again, and the Jets are also playing inspired football right now. Both sides ride win streaks into this Monday night affair and both are jockeying for playoff position. This should be a great Monday night battle.

It's the home team that has held the advantage in recent meetings, winning four of the last five tilts. However, as far as the number is concerned, it was the visitor who posted a 4-2 ATS mark during the last six matchups.

The Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games versus the AFC East.

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T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
Senor, i'm a little bit scared to be laying -6 for the raiders with an improving JETS squad.....

i may just sit back and watch it....

GO BILLS BATTLE TREND!!!!!

:thumb:


"good luck in your plays today." (said the dancing avatar....)
 
K

kcwolf

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get that Chiefs avatar back up there, or I'm not coming to Vegas to see you.

Chiefs win a sqeeker.:drinky:
 
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