Senors' Leans/Selections Week 15

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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59-41-3


Atlanta Falcons - 9.5 (bet 'em early)
up to - 10 Best Bet
Seattles QB may be Jeff George



Kansas City Chiefs + 4 (bet 'em early)
down to 3.5 Not going over board.



Miami Dolphins - 1 (small)
up to - 1.5



New York JETS - 5
up to 6 & 6.5 even seen some 7s
Bears starting QB is Chris Chandler



Tampon Bay Buccaneers - 8.5
Lions RB Stewart hasn't practiced this week



Cleveland Brownie +2


Buffalo Bills -3
Warm weather team traveling across country to the bitter cold & hopefully snow. Bolts "D" is one of the worst in the NFL the past 3 or 4 weeks. Yes SD needs the game. So what ;)



New England Patriots + 2
Nailbiter that I have no business betting especially since I've have swayed to the other side.

=======================

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos

These 2 are tied for 3rd in the AFC West with the Broncos on a 3-game slide as well as 4 of their last 5.
QB Griese was a solid 28-of-37 in his return vs the JETS unfortunately he threw an crucial INT at the NY 5 in the final 2 minutes.

KC, of course, is on fire :yup outscoring its last 2 opponents by a combined 98-10 with Holmes just a pair of TDs shy of matching Faulks 26 set in 2000.

Chiefs are just 7 pts from a 17-1 spread run & are currently on a 6-1-1 series spread run.

Ok team, repeat after me......

:director: Da Chefs + 3.5
& outright !!!
Game time forecast....
Mostly Cloudy
53?F Feels Like:50?F
Probability of Precipitation: 0%
Wind: From the West Southwest at 9 m

====================

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detriot Lions

LW the Bucs said they would again corral Vick & their magnificent "D" did just that holding the Falcons to 10 FDs & 181 TYS.
The Lions present no such offensive threat ranking 29th in both total & rushing "O", failing to top 17 pts in their 6 games previous to exploding for 20 pts vs Arizona & its 31st ranked "D".

Sure the host has covered 12-2 the last 8 games :eek: involving Tampa but the SU winner is 12-2 ATS when these 2 meet.

Harrington against this "D" is hardly cause for hope among the Lion faithful.

No letup here, despite Steelers on deck.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 8.5

=====================


San Diego Chargers @ Buffalo Bills


Talk about a bad game. QB Bledsoe returned to Foxboro LW & proceeded to toss 4 INTs which more than offset his 328 PYs.
The Bills are now on a 1-4 slide
(on the heels of a 3 game run).
& just about out of the playoffs.

Chargers came from 220 RYs to just 65 in a week & Brees had 3 INTs.
Defensively SD has allowed more than 28 ppg in its last 9 games which will prove disastrous vs the Bills NFLs 7th best offense.

Chargers lost their last non-division RG 30-3.

Bills are a perfect 6-0 ATS after facing New England.


Going against the Vegas Bookie Battle pick where the TOP 3 contestants selected San Diego.


Buffalo Bills - 3 :)

Game time forecast.....

Few Snow Showers
33?F Feels Like:24?F
Probability of Precipitation: 30%
Wind: From the West Southwest at 14 mph


====================

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons

LW Vick couldn't get it done in their loss at TB. And that one marked Atlantas 3rd stright RG.
Back on the friendly home confines here & I fully expect the Falcons to recapture the magic that resulted in a 7-0-1 SU run & a 7-1 spread streak with their only miss by a mere 4 pts.
Seahawks are searching for a defense, allowing 30.3 ppg in their last 4 outings & rank 29th in total "D".

Sure Hasselbeck is starting but his hot hand cooled down a bit LW with 3 INTs along with 4 sacks.

Going against 2 of the TOP 3 contestants in the Hilton Contest who selected Seattle + 9.5

Not a lock :nono: but a Best Bet ;)
Atlanta Falcons - 9.5

====================

Indianapolis Colts @ Cleveland Browns

Don't look now but the Brownies are hot out of the oven & are just a 1/2 game behind the Steelers in the AFC North, with their electrifying last secind win over the Jags, on a 50-yard Hail Mary
as time expired.
That makes 5 wins in their last 7 games.

But lest one thinks that it was a lucky win, check more than doubling the Jags' offensive output & another 119 RYs from Green.

3 Paytons INTs paved the way for the Colts' failure at Tennessee snapping a 4-game run.

Dungy is 15-3 ATS off a SU loss as a chalk.

Browns counter with 7-1-1 ATS as HDs of late.

Cleveland Brownies + 2

=====================
 
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wcb4

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Chandler?

Chandler?

If I were the Jets, I think I would have rather faced Jim Miller in the shape he was in to start the Phins game than Chandler here. I greatly respect your capping, but I see Chandler being able to carry out the game plan that Miller attemted against Miami. Short crossing patterns to Booker while also utilizing the tight ends and backs in the throwing game. The Bears D is bend but don't break right now, and while some may say that they were lucky that Miami didn't put up 40, others just call them opportunistic. I may eat my words here, but I think this is a public road fav to stay off of. FWIW the rest of your card looks very solid.
 

Senor Capper

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Hear ya on the JETS

Hear ya on the JETS

Looked at this game closer today & made me lean towards Da Bears. That being the case.......
consider them yanked
 
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Redhog

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Yank em..I too am scared of that game, as I really like the Jets but something deep down tells me to stay away........
 

Jhpga

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Senor......I dont see Tenn winning this game Mon night.They have played 5 perfect quarters of football and are due for a major letdown.Like I said before...Im a season ticket holder and last week was the best game they have played since the Philly win in week one.....New England's balanced attack on offense should eat up our weak secondary....and this will be the most complex defense Mcnair has seen since Philly....which Tenn was LUCKY to win..I see New England 24-13..Good Luck....keep rolling out those winners:D
 

motley plays

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I got an opinion on Small Medium and Big plays.

all plays should be the bet the same,enough with locks ,out laws,monsters etc.

I would rather play ever play for the same amount. Instead od doing this

big play $500
medium $300
Small= $200

you hit your small and meduim yet you lose your big and go 2-1 yet yuor $50 down. If you bet $200 on everygame you would be up $180.

keep everything the same and in the long run ..you will be ahead,slow and steady.

goodluck
 

"TheEdge"

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Hey Motley...

Hey Motley...

That sounds similar to an article I read yeaterday on the web that was written by IM Bettor out of Boston. VERY SIMILAR IN FACT!!!!!
 

tball

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chi/nyj is a trendy game. at first glance i said, cool--its jets over bears. then upon further review convinced my self couldnt be that easy
FYI trends goe as...

CHI is..
16-8 its L24 as a HD
12-4-2 vs AFC since 98
10-3-1 vs non-div L2Y


whereas NYJ are...
15-8 L23 vs NFC
4-1 L2Y as away fav
5-0 on turf the L2Y (is it illini stadium then?)

with trends like that, jeez it'll probably land on the number--though i hope whatever you take pays off. just to reiterate a strong belief of mine...and no concrete #'s to back up--though pretty sure holds true;t you pick the SU winner of the game, and probably landed yourslef the ATS winner too! So take the team who'll win---as yields a high payoff (or such is my understanding) -GLTA
 

tball

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...that said, i'll stand true to my first instinct/impression with Jets to win---and most importantly cover. Again GL Senor and all---write ups and insights are what this forums all about. go get'em -thanx
 

Brick

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Senor, great season so far. Always enjoy your write-ups and views. Just wanted to let you know Holmgren said today Hasselback has practiced last two days and he expects him to start. GL tommorrow.
 

tball

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the jets are the...um...contrarian contrarian pick this week. haha--good thing i'm sharp like i is to catch that!-haha
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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I'll check the where the most money

I'll check the where the most money

is going in the morning. I will post it around 8am Vegas time.
I have a feeling NYJ will be one-sided.:p
 

ddubs

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Re: Senors' Leans/Selections Week 15

Senor Capper said:

Ok team, repeat after me......

:director: Da Chefs + 3.5
& outright !!!


:director: Da Chefs + 3.5 & outright !!! :Yep:

Good luck, Senor.:D
 
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