NFL YTD 16-5-0 ATS
Small & "for action" plays are not counted on my record.
My money/record plays are ranked from strongest to weakest
(top to bottom)
Of course they can change in rank
(& probably will) before gametime Sunday depending on the circumstances.
I will post my selections as time permits.
Also be advised I'm not telling you to bet these plays, remember these are MY plays, use your own judgement.
Tough Week people, real tough!
---------------------------
Oakland Raiders @ Buffalo Bills
The Bills, what can I say ?
Three weeks in a row as my "Best Play of the Day" and after all three I proceeded to the cashiers window & left smiling.
This week will be NO different!
@ Minny (+4 OT) won outright 45-39
@ Denver (+ 7.5) covered 23-28
Chicago (- 3 OT) won 33-27
Add the JETS (which they lost in OT) and that makes 3 OT games in 4 weeks
Kinda reminds me of Da Bears LY.
Bills completely dominated the Bears LW with a 26-15 FD edge along with a 170 yd advantage.
Bledsoe was 28 of 36 (4 TDs & NO Ints) vs that banged up Bears "D".
Gannon (Chefs should have never let him go)
matched Bledsoe with a near duplication in the Raiders dismantling of the Titans.
Oakland is 12-4 ATS on Oct road off a HG & 13-5 ATS on the rug.
So why the hell am I taking the Bills ?
Good question & thanks for asking.
Besides covering the last 3 games for me,
bills are an outstanding 6-0 ATS as HDs vs foe off a pair of wins & covers !
Buffalo is also an incredible 5-0 ATS vs the AFC West.
Double
Never say die..
Bills + 3 is the play here.
Bills 30 Faders 27
-----------------------------
Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans
'Skins fresh off a bye & dog on the road.
Titans have allowed 83 pts, along with 65 of 89 completions to the Browns & Raiders.
George aint 100% (turf toe)
McNair is in off a 4 int showing.
Titans are only 5 pts from a 4-14 spread slide.
Underdog is on an 11-2 spread run in Tennessee contests.
Titans are 5-0 ATS off 3 straight losses.
'Skins are 6-0 ATS off a bye &
9-2-1 ATS as dogs of more than 3.5 pts.
Itsy bitsy upset.......Washington + 5.5
'Skins 24 Titans 22
-------------------------------
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Tampa is currently on a nice 3-game run & are now slightly favored on the road. Their "D" has allowed just 21 pts over the past 3 weeks, but note those efforts came against teams ranked 29th, 13th & 28th in moving the skin.
Trends
Tampa is 3-15-1 ATS in Oct off a SU win.
Atlanta is 15-5-1 ATS in division play in Oct.
Third straight HG for the birds who are rested & who are just a couple of plays away from 3-0.
Bird play here...Falcons + 2
Atlanta 27 Tampa Bay 23
--------------------------------------
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers
Maybe I'm pushing my luck here with Carolina being my # 2 pick for 2 weeks in a row. However this selection may get bumped down.
If the Panthers didn't miss a 24-yrd FG in the final 10 seconds, along with 3 lost fumbles, they probably still would have been perfect both ATS & SU.
Not that I'm complaining, I cashed them in.
Panthers are 2nd in the entire NFL, defensively & have allowed just 11 ppg. They also lead the league in sacks.
Carolina is 10-2-1 ATS in Oct off a RG, while 'Zona is on a 9-3 spread run of its own.
This is the Panthers 2nd chalk setup this year & they covered by 21 in the 1st of such games.
Add RB Thomas Jones is probable for Sunday's game.
No play if Lamar Smith is out
:director: Small play only on Carolina - 3.5
------------------------------------------------------
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Eagles have been on a roll, having won their last 3 games by a combined score of 116-37.
Philly's "O" is getting better each week.
Jaguars "D" will have a tough time with the Eagles "O".
Eagles defense should be able to dominate the Jaguars.
Stop the run and force Brunall in the air.
This will really be the first good "D" that Jax has faced this year.
Trends
Jags are 2-7-1 ATS as Oct dogs & 1-5 ATS as dogs off a DD win.
Eagles are 19-7 ATS on the road & covered their last RG by 27 pts.
Until defeating a struggling JETS team last week the Jags had lost their last 4 HGs.
Philly, on the other hand, has covered their last 6 RGs as favs.
Philly -3
----------------------------------
Kansas City Chiefs -3
(might as well since the hook dropped off)
All $$ plays
---------------------------------
Adding Chargers + 6 (action only)
Small & "for action" plays are not counted on my record.
My money/record plays are ranked from strongest to weakest
(top to bottom)
Of course they can change in rank
(& probably will) before gametime Sunday depending on the circumstances.
I will post my selections as time permits.
Also be advised I'm not telling you to bet these plays, remember these are MY plays, use your own judgement.
Tough Week people, real tough!
---------------------------
Oakland Raiders @ Buffalo Bills
The Bills, what can I say ?
Three weeks in a row as my "Best Play of the Day" and after all three I proceeded to the cashiers window & left smiling.
This week will be NO different!
@ Minny (+4 OT) won outright 45-39
@ Denver (+ 7.5) covered 23-28
Chicago (- 3 OT) won 33-27
Add the JETS (which they lost in OT) and that makes 3 OT games in 4 weeks
Kinda reminds me of Da Bears LY.
Bills completely dominated the Bears LW with a 26-15 FD edge along with a 170 yd advantage.
Bledsoe was 28 of 36 (4 TDs & NO Ints) vs that banged up Bears "D".
Gannon (Chefs should have never let him go)
matched Bledsoe with a near duplication in the Raiders dismantling of the Titans.
Oakland is 12-4 ATS on Oct road off a HG & 13-5 ATS on the rug.
So why the hell am I taking the Bills ?
Good question & thanks for asking.
Besides covering the last 3 games for me,
bills are an outstanding 6-0 ATS as HDs vs foe off a pair of wins & covers !
Buffalo is also an incredible 5-0 ATS vs the AFC West.
Double
Never say die..
Bills + 3 is the play here.
Bills 30 Faders 27
-----------------------------
Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans
'Skins fresh off a bye & dog on the road.
Titans have allowed 83 pts, along with 65 of 89 completions to the Browns & Raiders.
George aint 100% (turf toe)
McNair is in off a 4 int showing.
Titans are only 5 pts from a 4-14 spread slide.
Underdog is on an 11-2 spread run in Tennessee contests.
Titans are 5-0 ATS off 3 straight losses.
'Skins are 6-0 ATS off a bye &
9-2-1 ATS as dogs of more than 3.5 pts.
Itsy bitsy upset.......Washington + 5.5
'Skins 24 Titans 22
-------------------------------
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Tampa is currently on a nice 3-game run & are now slightly favored on the road. Their "D" has allowed just 21 pts over the past 3 weeks, but note those efforts came against teams ranked 29th, 13th & 28th in moving the skin.
Trends
Tampa is 3-15-1 ATS in Oct off a SU win.
Atlanta is 15-5-1 ATS in division play in Oct.
Third straight HG for the birds who are rested & who are just a couple of plays away from 3-0.
Bird play here...Falcons + 2
Atlanta 27 Tampa Bay 23
--------------------------------------
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers
Maybe I'm pushing my luck here with Carolina being my # 2 pick for 2 weeks in a row. However this selection may get bumped down.
If the Panthers didn't miss a 24-yrd FG in the final 10 seconds, along with 3 lost fumbles, they probably still would have been perfect both ATS & SU.
Not that I'm complaining, I cashed them in.
Panthers are 2nd in the entire NFL, defensively & have allowed just 11 ppg. They also lead the league in sacks.
Carolina is 10-2-1 ATS in Oct off a RG, while 'Zona is on a 9-3 spread run of its own.
This is the Panthers 2nd chalk setup this year & they covered by 21 in the 1st of such games.
Add RB Thomas Jones is probable for Sunday's game.
No play if Lamar Smith is out
:director: Small play only on Carolina - 3.5
------------------------------------------------------
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Eagles have been on a roll, having won their last 3 games by a combined score of 116-37.
Philly's "O" is getting better each week.
Jaguars "D" will have a tough time with the Eagles "O".
Eagles defense should be able to dominate the Jaguars.
Stop the run and force Brunall in the air.
This will really be the first good "D" that Jax has faced this year.
Trends
Jags are 2-7-1 ATS as Oct dogs & 1-5 ATS as dogs off a DD win.
Eagles are 19-7 ATS on the road & covered their last RG by 27 pts.
Until defeating a struggling JETS team last week the Jags had lost their last 4 HGs.
Philly, on the other hand, has covered their last 6 RGs as favs.
Philly -3
----------------------------------
Kansas City Chiefs -3
(might as well since the hook dropped off)
All $$ plays
---------------------------------
Adding Chargers + 6 (action only)
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