WINNING POINTS
***BEST BET****
*Miami over Philadelphia by 8
Dwayne Wade and Shawn Marion give the Heat some added respectability. The 76ers
can?t match either of those two players. The All-Star break gives Pat Riley a desperate
chance to get his team regrouped. There?s a chance Miami could get back its best
rebounder, Udonis Haslem. We like the 76ers much more when in an underdog role.
MIAMI 98-90
***BEST BET****
Michigan State* over Iowa by 24
Izzo stood around and watched his team lose at death-march tempo at Iowa, failing to
get out of the 30s. He has himself, the assistant coaches, and the kids to kick around
in advance of this re-hook, on his home floor, and if his Spartans with the 52.8%
Effective Field Goal percentage (2s and 3s) don?t seek to maximize the possession
count on their home floor against Iowa?s perimeter pass-happy long-distance shooters,
then he oughta give back his national championship, give Michigan back theirs, and
put himself into those practices with the helmets and shoulder pads. MICHIGAN
STATE, 75-51.
***BEST BET****
DePaul over Seton Hall* by 9
Don?t go into a game against Jerry Wainwright with a sophomore guard as your sixth
man, and nothing but a bunch of forwards to send in there after him. That?s what
slumping Seton Hall?s Bobby Gonzalez is down to at the moment, now four games
into the season-ending injury to guard Paul Gause (2.8 steals per game). DePaul ain?t
much, but Wainwright committed to a faster tempo early in the season (they are at
69.5 vs. 63.1 last year) and is playing 10 kids at least 10 minutes per game. Eventually,
you run into a situation where the full speed mistakes you were making start disappearing
vs. a certain type of opponent. Seton Hall can?t afford to keep playing the way
they?ve been playing (72 possessions per game, top 25 in national pace), but if they do
anything differently, they won?t necessarily be doing it any better. Both need a win to
stay within the Big East Tournament net, but one side has more hands on deck to
make the haul. DEPAUL, 79-70
***BEST BET****
Ohio* over George Mason by 14
Unless there are CAA referees on the floor, George Mason?s Will Thomas could finally
be ticketed for the foul trouble he eludes in conference play. Given that Ohio?s two
leading scorers are forwards, Thomas will have to play some defense. Or, not. NCWilmington,
with two double-digit scoring forwards, has beaten George Mason twice
this season, so there you go. OHIO, 77-63.