- Mar 17, 2003
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Hey everyone,
I will be heading to Lambeau today to root on the Packers - hope they can give the Chiefs their first loss - not confident enough to make a wager on it...
Here is my updated YTD record:
NFL RECORD: 40W - 35L +13.55 UNITS
CFB YTD RECORD: 28W - 28L +15.45 UNITS
MLB YTD RECORD: 13W - 6L +53.96 UNITS
OVERALL RECORD: 81W - 69L +79.94 UNITS
I am not playing as many games tomorrow - mainly because I will be gone to the Packer game & not able to keep my eye on the other games...and also because I really have a lot of question marks about this weekends games...feel it has been the toughest one to cap as of yet...
Here are 2 plays i am playing tomorrow:
Bills -3 (+105)
Risking 4 units to win 4.2 units
Analysis:
I have to believe that after the last 3 weeks the public has jumped off of the Bills bandwagon...I really believe that the true line to this game should be Bills -6...the Jets will have a tough time tomorrow as this Defense will shut down Vinny & Martin...and look for the Bills offense to look a little more like the offense we saw during the first few weeks...this is the NFL and no the Jets will not be winless the whole season - but Buffalo has a better offense, better defense, and will beat the Jets by at least 7.
Philadelphia +1 (-110)
Risking 3.3 units to win 3 units
I will be the first to admit I am surprised by how well the Cowboys have started the season...I will also be the first to say that the Cowboys have not played a D as good as Philly's yet...look for Philly to continue to get back on track & they will beat the Cowboys tomorrow...Public jumping all over Dallas...not me...
One note about this weeks games - I know a lot of people are talking about this Miami/Jacksonville as a "trap game" w/ the Miami -3 line...the first games I always look at are the home dogs...I just don't understand why everyone is getting so excited about Jacksonville this weekend - Leftwich did play well - but he has not seen a D like Miami's - I see him making a few turnovers tomorrow...if i were to play this game - i would take the trap i guess and go w/ Miami - I still see Miami -3 as a solid play - I would force Jax to beat me - it is different if Miami was -7 or something but only laying 3 points I say there is a better chance that Miami wins & covers than Jax covers this game...I follow Miami closely & this team is maturing & playing well on the road this year - already winning against the NY Jets & Giants last week...I just don't see Jax winning this game
Also Carolina & the Redskins were tempting - but I can see Indy pouring it on at home - they are so good in the Dome - and I can see Carolina's Offense struggling in this one...and don't count TB out this weekend in Washington...
This weekend I just do not feel very comfortable w/ the dogs...so I have decided to lay off a little...I will watch how it plays out & take some notes...
I will be back for a Sunday Night Play!
Have a great day tomorrow everyone - i will be rooting Favre & the Pack on at Lambeau! Go Pack!
--SHOWRUNNER
I will be heading to Lambeau today to root on the Packers - hope they can give the Chiefs their first loss - not confident enough to make a wager on it...
Here is my updated YTD record:
NFL RECORD: 40W - 35L +13.55 UNITS
CFB YTD RECORD: 28W - 28L +15.45 UNITS
MLB YTD RECORD: 13W - 6L +53.96 UNITS
OVERALL RECORD: 81W - 69L +79.94 UNITS
I am not playing as many games tomorrow - mainly because I will be gone to the Packer game & not able to keep my eye on the other games...and also because I really have a lot of question marks about this weekends games...feel it has been the toughest one to cap as of yet...
Here are 2 plays i am playing tomorrow:
Bills -3 (+105)
Risking 4 units to win 4.2 units
Analysis:
I have to believe that after the last 3 weeks the public has jumped off of the Bills bandwagon...I really believe that the true line to this game should be Bills -6...the Jets will have a tough time tomorrow as this Defense will shut down Vinny & Martin...and look for the Bills offense to look a little more like the offense we saw during the first few weeks...this is the NFL and no the Jets will not be winless the whole season - but Buffalo has a better offense, better defense, and will beat the Jets by at least 7.
Philadelphia +1 (-110)
Risking 3.3 units to win 3 units
I will be the first to admit I am surprised by how well the Cowboys have started the season...I will also be the first to say that the Cowboys have not played a D as good as Philly's yet...look for Philly to continue to get back on track & they will beat the Cowboys tomorrow...Public jumping all over Dallas...not me...
One note about this weeks games - I know a lot of people are talking about this Miami/Jacksonville as a "trap game" w/ the Miami -3 line...the first games I always look at are the home dogs...I just don't understand why everyone is getting so excited about Jacksonville this weekend - Leftwich did play well - but he has not seen a D like Miami's - I see him making a few turnovers tomorrow...if i were to play this game - i would take the trap i guess and go w/ Miami - I still see Miami -3 as a solid play - I would force Jax to beat me - it is different if Miami was -7 or something but only laying 3 points I say there is a better chance that Miami wins & covers than Jax covers this game...I follow Miami closely & this team is maturing & playing well on the road this year - already winning against the NY Jets & Giants last week...I just don't see Jax winning this game
Also Carolina & the Redskins were tempting - but I can see Indy pouring it on at home - they are so good in the Dome - and I can see Carolina's Offense struggling in this one...and don't count TB out this weekend in Washington...
This weekend I just do not feel very comfortable w/ the dogs...so I have decided to lay off a little...I will watch how it plays out & take some notes...
I will be back for a Sunday Night Play!
Have a great day tomorrow everyone - i will be rooting Favre & the Pack on at Lambeau! Go Pack!
--SHOWRUNNER