Simon Says.....Phoenix/NJ

SIMON

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Nov 21, 2002
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Simon Says.....Bet what you LOVE this week...Not because you have too.

Last week showed us a lot of home team favs covering some
decent margin spreads.

This week those teams that were home are now on the road.

Watch for the some upsets this week...closer games
and back door covers.

Tonite 12/9 Phoenix +11.5

I don't like this game...maybe even pass....but this
has back door written all over it.

Some cappers here have the Nets dominating a 3 in 4
nite Suns team. That could be possible true.
BUT........
Suns last 5 games
90/90/98/102/94 average's to : 94.8 per game

Nets last 5 games
118/93/95/87/121 average's to: 102.8 per game

That's a Difference of 8 points.
I feel 11.5 is TOO much..even though the Nets have
dominated at home this year.

SO...with logical deduction, if the SUNS are scoring 90+ points
a game (and have over their last 5)...The Nets will have to
score over 100 against a SUNS team that is now considered a defensive minded team.

I don't like the fact that the NETS shot 55% the other nite
against the Magic. Usually when this happens..the next game
is a dud.

ALSO...I FEEL.....
If the NETS cover the 11....it will TEND to be low scoring (90-78)
If the Nets DON'T cover the 11.....it will tend to be high scoring
(102-94)

You can't have your cake and eat it too
Either.........Nets/Under or Suns/Over

That's why a lot of times we all go 1-1 for the nite.

SO....with this info.
I'll stick with consistency....Suns SHOWN they can reach 90
Nets last 5 have been sporactic.

Perfect nite to suck a big fat deeeeeeeek and back door a win of 8 to 9 points.

The bet is to take the points tonite....Phoenix +11.5 (small play)
Phoenix +11.5
 

Lefty Guns

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Sep 19, 2002
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Simon

Simon

I like your thinking. I think I will just be on the over. But every post I have read or everyone I have spoken to will be on the Nets. BACKDOOR WRITTEN ALL OVER IT
 

IK

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Mar 13, 2000
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like your thinking a lot....everyone seems to love Jersey and why not...what's not to love?..revenge for homers, travel and b2b for the dog.....points to a blow-out....so how come the number hasn't moved as much as one would think it should?....11' is a big number...plenty of room for the backdoor to open...gl
 

SIMON

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Nov 21, 2002
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DAMN

Final score Nets 106 - Suns 93

They had it up to 28

And as Marv Albert says..."Extensive GAR-BAGE Time"
was incerted

and missed the back door cover by 2....

I capped the game right ...see above 102.8 to 94.8

Should have bet the total..

I don't mind the loss - cause I capped it very well.

And it was a small play.....
 
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