Smitty Says

Smitty

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Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
smart man fade my nfl picks. so here it is...

dallas (+3) 2 units

i know a lot of things point to philly tonight.... home field dominance in the nfc east... the eagles "need" this game... the eagles want revenge....

personally, i feel revenge is very overrated in the nfl. most of these guys are millionaires who will get their game check win or lose. plus, several teams have beat up the eagles this year. it's not like they're trying to avenge their only loss. what has really changed between these teams since they last played? not much. the eagles don't have t.o. that's kinda a wash... team chemistry will be much better, but they lost one of the best wr's in the game. jose cortez is on the eagles instead of the cowboys. advantage - dallas.

i think the cowboys will take advantage of a philly defense that will be determined not to get beat by the long ball again, and run right at them with julius jones and marion barber. and on d, they will continue to pressure mcnabb.

just some #'s to throw out there... philly has only covered one home game this year, and that was against SF. philly has dropped 4 straight ATS and, if not for the miracle comeback against KC, would be on a 6-game ATS losing streak.

all that being said... with the run i've been on in the nfl the last 2 weeks... anyone who's read this far down should probably take philly. what can i say, i'm very fadable right now. :)
 
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